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[IMAGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE]        Syncrasy, LLC?   713.228.8470 Off  713.228.4147 Fax   909 Texas Avenue  Suite 1314  Houston, TX 77002         www.syncrasy.com          Sales:  713.228.4407   Development Offices:  970.247.4139 Off  970.247.7951 Fax   835 Main Avenue  Suite 221  Durango, CO 81301      	  	 [IMAGE]    Complimentary version of Trader Summary  from Syncrasy, LLC and APB Energy Inc.    - If you would like to receive this product early in the morning       please call Syncrasy at 713 228 4407 for more information       or send an email to subscribe_TraderSummary@syncrasy.com     - If you would like to be added to this daily email list       please send an email to TraderSummaryemail@syncrasy.com     - If you would like to be removed from this daily email       please reply to this email with the words "CANCEL" or send an email to cancel_tradersummary@syncrasy.com       Data last updated: Friday, Jan 18, 2002 at 07:40AM EST    Congratulations Andy Weingarten, APB Energy!  Winner of the $50,000 Winter 2000-01 AQUILA/AMS Seasonal Forecasting Competition. For more information please visit: AMS  or Aquila    New! >> Printable PDF Trader Summary  (You must have Adobe Acrobat Reader  to open or print a PDF)   Click here for a definition of 'Average-Daily Maximum Temperature'      Today: Friday, January 18, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 32 +1 ERCOT(SP) 60 +1 FRCC(SE) 74 -2 MAAC(NE) 39 +1 MAIN(CTR) 25 +2 MAPP(HP) 17 +4 NPCC(NE) 32 NC SERC(SE) 54 +1 SPP(SP) 40 +2 WSCC(NW) 36 +3 WSCC(RK) 24 +1 WSCC(SW) 53 +1     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 21 23 29 33 20 55 55 48 Max 28 27 34 37 25 58 58 53 Min 17 20 25 30 15 54 52 45 Range 11 7 9 7 10 4 6 8 StD-P 2.3 1.8 2.4 1.8 3.1 1.5 1.9 2.2 Count 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 Click Here  to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix     Andy Weingarten is out of the office; Due to his absence there will be no commentary today.     Tomorrow: Saturday, January 19, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 30 +1 ERCOT(SP) 58 -2 FRCC(SE) 78 -1 MAAC(NE) 31 -3 MAIN(CTR) 30 +2 MAPP(HP) 26 +1 NPCC(NE) 25 -1 SERC(SE) 51 +3 SPP(SP) 42 +1 WSCC(NW) 39 +2 WSCC(RK) 31 +3 WSCC(SW) 52 +1     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 27 28 28 35 24 58 53 48 Max 31 35 33 39 31 61 57 53 Min 24 24 24 31 17 55 48 44 Range 7 11 9 8 14 6 9 9 StD-P 1.5 2.7 2.1 2.1 3.7 1.4 2.4 3.0 Count 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 Click Here  to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Day 3: Sunday, January 20, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 38 +2 ERCOT(SP) 62 NC FRCC(SE) 77 NC MAAC(NE) 40 NC MAIN(CTR) 34 NC MAPP(HP) 26 -1 NPCC(NE) 33 +1 SERC(SE) 53 +1 SPP(SP) 47 NC WSCC(NW) 41 +1 WSCC(RK) 30 -1 WSCC(SW) 54 +1     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 29 31 28 37 24 54 54 49 Max 31 33 35 41 30 58 58 54 Min 27 27 24 34 19 50 46 45 Range 4 6 11 7 11 8 12 9 StD-P 1.1 1.6 2.8 1.8 3.7 2.4 3.6 2.9 Count 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 Click Here  to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix    Day 4: Monday, January 21, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 38 -1 ERCOT(SP) 64 -1 FRCC(SE) 76 +1 MAAC(NE) 44 +2 MAIN(CTR) 36 -1 MAPP(HP) 30 -1 NPCC(NE) 37 +2 SERC(SE) 59 NC SPP(SP) 54 +1 WSCC(NW) 41 NC WSCC(RK) 40 +1 WSCC(SW) 57 NC     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 33 34 34 37 31 58 55 52 Max 35 41 38 41 40 64 62 57 Min 30 31 31 33 28 52 45 49 Range 5 10 7 8 12 12 17 8 StD-P 1.4 2.5 2.3 2.1 2.4 3.2 5.1 2.1 Count 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Click Here  to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Day 5: Tuesday, January 22, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 43 NC ERCOT(SP) 64 -5 FRCC(SE) 73 -2 MAAC(NE) 43 -1 MAIN(CTR) 42 +1 MAPP(HP) 36 +5 NPCC(NE) 33 -3 SERC(SE) 58 -1 SPP(SP) 57 +2 WSCC(NW) 39 NC WSCC(RK) 37 +3 WSCC(SW) 55 -2     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 36 36 35 34 32 57 60 49 Max 41 43 39 40 40 62 64 57 Min 32 31 30 30 25 51 57 44 Range 9 12 9 10 15 11 7 13 StD-P 2.6 2.4 3.0 3.6 4.2 3.5 2.1 3.8 Count 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Click Here  to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix    Day 6: Wednesday, January 23, 2002  Click Here  for Syncrasy's 6-10 summary information.  Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 44 +2 ERCOT(SP) 68 +1 FRCC(SE) 75 NC MAAC(NE) 47 -1 MAIN(CTR) 37 +3 MAPP(HP) 29 +6 NPCC(NE) 39 +1 SERC(SE) 60 +1 SPP(SP) 50 +3 WSCC(NW) 42 +3 WSCC(RK) 32 +2 WSCC(SW) 55 -1     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 37 32 36 35 25 61 63 49 Max 41 41 41 42 40 63 67 56 Min 35 27 33 30 16 59 60 41 Range 6 14 8 12 24 4 7 15 StD-P 1.2 3.9 2.0 3.1 8.1 0.9 1.7 4.7 Count 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Click Here  to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Day 7: Thursday, January 24, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 39 +2 ERCOT(SP) 62 +1 FRCC(SE) 76 +1 MAAC(NE) 49 +7 MAIN(CTR) 33 +3 MAPP(HP) 26 +3 NPCC(NE) 38 +6 SERC(SE) 59 +3 SPP(SP) 47 +4 WSCC(NW) 42 +1 WSCC(RK) 35 +1 WSCC(SW) 59 +2     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 35 28 43 37 24 63 56 50 Max 39 34 50 42 36 67 65 59 Min 30 23 38 31 14 61 48 44 Range 9 11 12 11 22 6 17 15 StD-P 2.2 3.4 3.8 2.7 6.1 1.5 5.6 4.0 Count 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Click Here  to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix    Day 8: Friday, January 25, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 25 -4 ERCOT(SP) 47 +2 FRCC(SE) 65 -6 MAAC(NE) 37 -4 MAIN(CTR) 25 -4 MAPP(HP) 30 -3 NPCC(NE) 37 +14 SERC(SE) 43 -9 SPP(SP) 40 NC WSCC(NW) 38 NC WSCC(RK) 31 NC WSCC(SW) 53 NC     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 27 32 40 39 31 56 50 53 Max 31 37 51 43 41 63 59 59 Min 18 25 31 36 21 47 45 45 Range 13 12 20 7 20 16 14 14 StD-P 3.0 3.7 4.0 1.9 4.2 5.2 5.2 3.3 Count 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Click Here  to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Day 9: Saturday, January 26, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 34 NC ERCOT(SP) 54 +2 FRCC(SE) 53 -1 MAAC(NE) 31 +4 MAIN(CTR) 38 -3 MAPP(HP) 41 -1 NPCC(NE) 15 -1 SERC(SE) 42 -2 SPP(SP) 52 +4 WSCC(NW) 36 -2 WSCC(RK) 33 -2 WSCC(SW) 52 -2     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 30 37 26 37 34 49 53 54 Max 37 43 33 43 41 56 57 59 Min 23 30 19 31 32 43 50 49 Range 14 13 14 12 9 13 7 10 StD-P 5.3 4.6 5.2 3.4 2.9 4.5 2.0 2.8 Count 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 Click Here  to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix    Day 10: Sunday, January 27, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 40 -1 ERCOT(SP) 62 +3 FRCC(SE) 59 NC MAAC(NE) 41 +3 MAIN(CTR) 43 -1 MAPP(HP) 40 -7 NPCC(NE) 28 -2 SERC(SE) 51 NC SPP(SP) 54 -1 WSCC(NW) 30 -1 WSCC(RK) 29 -6 WSCC(SW) 46 -6     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 31 31 26 29 24 47 49 42 Max 42 37 31 33 31 52 61 50 Min 17 21 21 23 15 41 34 33 Range 25 16 10 10 16 11 27 17 StD-P 8.3 5.6 3.6 2.2 5.6 4.3 10.7 5.6 Count 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 Click Here  to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix    Trader Summary is designed around and formatted for the  [IMAGE]Plasma displays, RainbowWall? and DataWall?   Trader Summary can also be viewed from www.syncrasy.com  or     www.apbenergy.com  or  www.truequote.com     [IMAGE]