Enerfax Daily
NORTH AMERICA'S FREE POWER AND GAS INFORMATION SOURCE 
              Monday, February 4 2002 No. 926
Visit: http://www.enerfax.com to view our web version or for Oil 
Prices & News http://www.enerfaxgold.com

PHYSICAL NATURAL GAS PRICES ??
Gulf/Eastern Region     
| Agua Dulce              | 2.06  |
| ANR SE                  | 2.15  |
| Carthage TG             | 2.13  |
| Chicago Citygate        | 2.20  |
| Columbia Gulf Onshore   | 2.17  |
| Dominion South Point    | 2.37  |
| Henry Hub               | 2.19  |
| Houston Ship Channel    | 2.18  |
| Katy Hub                | 2.13  |
| NGPL LA Pool            | 2.14  |
| NGPL - Midcontinent     | 2.07  |
| NGPL STX                | 2.10  |
| NGPL TX/OK              | 2.12  |
| NNG Demarc.             | 2.16  |
| Niagara                 | 2.36  |
| Sonat Tier 1            | 2.16  |
| TCO IPP Pool            | 2.27  |
| Tetco ELa               | 2.16  |
| Tetco M-3               | 2.48  |
| Tetco STX               | 2.08  |
| TGP Zone 0              | 2.11  |
| TGP Zone 1 (500 Leg)    | 2.15  |
| TGT Zone SL             | 2.17  |
| New York Citygate       | 2.56  |
| Transco Station 65      | 2.22  |
| Transco Zone 6 (NY)     | 2.56  |
| Trunk ELa               | 2.15  |
| Western Region          
| California Border       | 2.17  |
| El Paso Keystone        | 2.05  |
| El Paso San Juan-Blanco | 2.05  |
| Waha Hub                | 2.10  |
| Canadian/Rockies Region 
| Nova/Aeco (C$/gig)      | 2.99  |
| Dawn Hub/Union          | 2.30  |
| Northwest Stanfield     | 2.04  |
| Wyoming Pool            | 1.91  |
| Opal                    | 1.91  |
| PGT-Malin               | 2.10  |
| Sumas                   | 2.00  |
        Flow Dates 02/2-4
-------------------------------------------------------------

NATURAL GAS FUTURES
Henry Hub 
12 Month Strip ?2.5156  -0.0023 ? ? ? 
18 Month Strip ?2.6121  -0.0052? ? 
| Month | High  |  Low  | Close | Change |
| MAR   | 2.175 | 2.100 | 2.138 | +0.000 |
| APR   | 2.220 | 2.160 | 2.198 | +0.008 |
| MAY   | 2.280 | 2.240 | 2.266 | +0.008 |
| JUN   | 2.350 | 2.310 | 2.331 | +0.005 |
| JUL   | 2.410 | 2.385 | 2.391 | +0.000 |
| AUG   | 2.465 | 2.425 | 2.446 | -0.002 |
| SEP   | 2.470 | 2.430 | 2.446 | -0.002 |
| OCT   | 2.480 | 2.440 | 2.470 | -0.002 |
| NOV   | 2.710 | 2.650 | 2.695 | -0.004 |
| DEC   | 2.920 | 2.880 | 2.894 | -0.010 |
| JAN   | 3.020 | 2.480 | 2.981 | -0.013 |
| FEB   | 2.960 | 2.480 | 2.931 | -0.016 |
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Natural Gas Futures End Friday Flat


    Natural gas futures for March delivery on the NYMEX  ended 
another boring session flat for the day last Friday at $2.138 per 
MMBtu. The April contract gained $0.008 to $2.198 per MMBtu. The 
market opened lower, but was soon boosted by short-term cold and 
short-covering from speculators and locals pushing as high as $2.165 
per MMBtu. Buy-stops were believed to be above $2.17 per MMBtu, and 
will still likely be there today. Estimated volume Friday was only 
about 50,400 contracts, with 19,600 of those spreads. There just was 
not enough volume to hit the buy-stops as the market hovered mostly 
between $2.14 ? $2.15. With the market unable to breach $2.17, 
speculators were forced to back-off late. If $2.17 can be breached 
today, the market could rise to the next resistance level at $2.22, 
and then possibly as high as $2.48 before reality once again sinks 
in. However, if the cash market opens lower this morning, the market 
may not get a chance to test the resistance. With still more than 1 
Tcf in excess storage over last year and a relatively mild winter so 
far, the market's short to medium term bias is still down. Natural 
gas for weekend delivery across the US and Canada was generally flat 
to $0.10 higher Friday. Natural gas for weekend delivery at the Henry 
hub gained $0.05 to $2.19 per MMBu.
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Today's Power Bulletins
 * Office of Public Utility Council Suing Texas Public Utility 
Commission Over Rates Default Provider Can Charge in Western Service 
Territory for TXU Corporation
 * PG&E Sends Bankruptcy Details to Judge
 * AmerenEnergy's Trading and Marketing President James Whitesides 
Resigns
 * Niagara Mohawk Continues Western New York Storm Restoration Efforts
 * Midwest ISO Implements Next Phase of Commercial Operations Plan
 * Sempra Energy Honored in Mexico City for Developing Cross-Border 
Infrastructure
 * Plug Power CEO to Speak at Salomon Smith Barney Distributed 
Generation and Power Technology Conference Tomorrow in New York
 * Nuclear Energy Institute Says Nuclear Power Plants Set Reliability 
and Output  Records in 2001
 * Court Tells VP Cheney to Explain Energy Task Force Secrecy 
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Enron Power Trading Falls in 4th Quarter

  
    Enron's 4th quarter power trading volumes were about 26% lower 
than the previous quarter, which is surprising since it was bankrupt 
for a third of the quarter and in deep trouble for over half of the 
period. Enron Power Marketing sold almost 221 million MW from October 
through December, down from about 300 million MW sold during the 3rd 
quarter. Last week, the FERC began investigating allegations that 
Enron unfairly raised wholesale power prices during California's 
power crisis last year. After Enron took a $1.2 billion write-down in 
shareholder equity related to its off-balance-sheet transactions, 
other energy firms limited their trading with Enron out of concern 
credit obligations. In the first 3 quarters of 2001, Enron had about 
15% of the nations wholesale power market and AEP was next in line 
with about an 8% share. The table below shows Enron's biggest 
customers, the total MW sold and the highest price paid by each for 
the 4th quarter. 

ENRON'S TOP 10 CUSTOMERS - 4th-QUARTER 2001 
                               Total MW         High Price ($ per MW) 
American Electric Power       17,942,497                   317 
Williams Energy               16,604,339                   353 
Aquila Energy                 15,321,220                   205 
Duke Energy                   14,635,810                   335 
New York ISO                  13,401,592                   134 
Dynegy                        12,923,756                   205 
Reliant Energy                10,759,800                   180 
Mirant Energy Marketing       10,702,749                   305 
El Paso Merchant Energy        8,413,494                   385 
PG&E Energy Trading            6,885,501                   160 

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Natural Gas NYMEX Volume
02MAR   31,239
02APR   11,175
02MAY    4,559
02JUN    3,411
02JLY    2,139
02AUG    5,355
02SEP    2,694
02OCT    1,932
02NOV    1,166
02DEC      912
03JAN    1,188
03FEB    1,473
03MAR    2,151
03APR    1,839
03MAY      482
03JUN    1,329
03JLY      150
03AUG      103
03SEP      132
03OCT      413
03NOV      379
03DEC      506
04JAN      269
04FEB      163
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Mirant Moving to Allay Investor Fears


    In an attempt to allay the fears of investors, Mirant plans to 
sell assets and reduce expenditures to lower its debt. Shares of 
Mirant have fallen by 50% in the last 2 months, following the 
downfall of Enron and the downgrade of about $4.9 billion of its debt 
to junk status by Moody's. Last week, Mirant said that 4th quarter 
earnings had dropped by 55%, due to lower energy prices and a charge 
of $66 million from exposure to Enron. It also cut its capital budget 
by 50% and lowered its earnings forecast in 2002 to $1.60 to $1.70 
per share, from its December estimate of  $1.90 to $2.00, because of 
lower profit margins. Mirant expects 1st quarter profits of $0.30 per 
share, lower than last year's $0.52 per share. Profit for the 4th 
quarter dipped to $30 million, or $0.09 per share, from $67 million, 
or $0.20 per share a year ago. Revenue was off 9%, to $7.24 billion 
from $7.96 billion. Mirant was spun off from Southern Company in 
September 2000 and the deal was completed last April, when Southern 
distributed 272 million shares, or 80% of Mirant for $9.44 billion. 
In efforts to distance itself from Enron, Mirant points out that 
assets, such as power plants, contributed 90% to its profitability, 
unlike Enron, whose trading unit was responsible for 90% of its 2000 
revenue. Mirant has delayed plans to spend $3 billion on tripling its 
15,000 MW of power this year. Instead it will limit capital spending 
to the completion of power plants that will produce 5,700 MW. Mirant 
will also cut about 65% of job at its German unit, Bewag, which it 
wants to sell.
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PHYSICAL POWER PRICES
|            | High  |  Low  | Average |
|            | $/MWh | $/MWh |  $/MWh  |
| Cinergy    | 21.00 | 19.00 |  19.40  |
| ECAR       | 22.25 | 16.50 |  20.25  |
| ERCOT      | 21.00 | 18.50 |  19.10  |
| Entergy    | 19.00 | 17.00 |  18.35  |
| TVA        | 23.00 | 20.15 |  22.55  |
| ComEd      | 20.25 | 19.75 |  20.10  |
| Nepool     | 29.50 | 29.25 |  29.30  |
| PJM West   | 22.75 | 21.75 |  22.00  |
| Main       | 20.25 | 18.00 |  19.55  |
| MAPP       | 21.25 | 19.00 |  20.40  |
| Palo Verde | 26.50 | 23.50 |  24.95  |
| Mid C      | 21.00 | 19.00 |  19.60  |
| COB        | 24.00 | 22.00 |  22.60  |
| 4 Corners  | 24.25 | 23.25 |  23.90  |
| Mead       | 25.75 | 24.00 |  24.95  |
| NP 15      | 27.00 | 24.00 |  24.80  |
| SP 15      | 27.50 | 24.00 |  25.35  |
-------------------------------------------------------------
Baker Hughes Weekly Rig Count

   The number of rigs searching for oil and natural gas in the US 
fell by 6 to 853 last week, according to Baker Hughes. The total was 
down from 1,138 a year ago. The number searching in Canada was down 7 
to 452, compared to 579 a ago. The number of rigs in the Gulf of 
Mexico was down 3 to 114, compared to 159 a year ago. In the US, the 
number searching on land was 714, and the number offshore was 121. 
Eighteen were operating in inland waters. The total North American 
rig count fell by 13 to 1,305, down from 1,717 a year ago. 
-------------------------------------------------------------
OPEN SEASON

SG Resources Mississippi, L.L.C., a wholly owned subsidiary of SGR 
Holdings, L.L.C., is conducting an open season for firm storage 
services at its new high-deliverability, salt cavern, natural gas 
storage facility, known as the Southern Pines Energy Center. The open 
season will begin at 9:00 a.m. CDT on February 4, 2002, and will 
continue until 5:00 p.m. CDT on March 4, 2002. The project is located 
at the border of Mississippi and Alabama with access to the major 
pipelines serving the Mid-Atlantic and the Southeastern United 
States. The facility is ideally located to serve as a transportation 
and storage hub for shippers on any one of nine major pipelines that 
will be interconnected directly or indirectly to the project. 
Information on the facility and the Open Season is available on our 
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or contact us at 713-914-8188.
-------------------------------------------------------------
Todays Gas Bulletins
 * S&P May Cut Williams' Credit Rating
 * Ex-Enron CEO Ken Lay Breaks Silence with Testimony in Front of 
Congressional Hearing Today; Former CEO Jeff Skilling and Former CFO 
Andrew Fastow to Testify Thursday in Front of House Energy and 
Commerce Committee.
 * President Bush Touts Pension Reform Without Mentioning Enron
 * Transco to Pay $1.4 Million Fine and Clean Up Soil and Groundwater 
Contamination 
 * Andersen's British Clients Seek Further Assurances Company Still 
Viable
 * Justice Department Tells White House Not to Destroy Enron Papers
 * House of Representatives Democrat Waxman Wants to Interview Army 
Secretary Thomas White This Week About Role as Former Senior 
Executive at Enron
 * NiSource Credit Rating Cut to Lowest Investment Grade Above Junk
 * Williams Companies and Williams Communications and Officers and 
Directors 
Sued on Behalf of Investors
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-------------------------------------------------------------
Midwest ISO Begins Selling Regional Transmission Service  

    The Midwest Independent Transmission System Operator has 
implemented its tariff and will now provide regional transmission 
service for bulk power in the Midwest ISO footprint. Transmission 
customers are now able to request transmission service from Midwest 
ISO without going to individual transmission owners. The Midwest ISO, 
which serves 21 transmission owners in 15 states, is responsible for 
evaluating and coordinating requests for access to the regional power 
grid on a non-discriminatory basis. The Midwest ISO says that 
transmission customers in the Midwest will now benefit from 
standardized rates, terms and conditions for service over its 86,000 
miles of transmission lines. Transmission customers are now able to 
request transmission service from the MISO's OASIS website, giving 
them the ability to view transmission availability data at the same 
time and request transmission service in the same manner. It also 
provides for streamlined electronic scheduling which allows customers 
to easily schedule approved transactions for service across multiple 
control areas in the MISO footprint. In addition, customers will now 
have access to an independent, regional analysis of bulk power flows 
utilizing a standard methodology. The MISO will provide a single bill 
to customers for all transmission service provided. 
-------------------------------------------------------------
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-------------------------------------------------------------
POWER FUTURES ?
| Month |   COB   | Change |   PV    | Change |
| MAR   |  19.25  | +0.25  |  21.25  | -0.20  |
| APR   |  19.75  | +0.00  |  22.50  | -0.25  |
| MAY   |  19.50  | +0.50  |  24.50  | +0.25  |
| JUN   |  20.00  | -1.00  |  27.50  | +0.25  |
| JUL   |  26.50  | -2.00  |  37.50  | +0.00  |
| AUG   |  38.00  | -0.50  |  42.50  | -0.25  |
| SEP   |  26.00  | -6.00  |  32.50  | -0.50  |
| OCT   |  24.00  | -5.00  |  29.00  | +1.00  |
| NOV   |  24.50  | -3.75  |  27.50  | +0.50  |
| DEC   |  26.00  | -4.00  |  28.50  | +1.00  |
| JAN   |  30.00  | +0.00  |  28.50  | -0.50  |
| FEB   |  27.50  | +0.00  |  27.75  | -0.75  |
| Month | Entergy | Change | Cinergy | Change |
| MAR   |  20.00  | +0.40  |  21.30  | -0.10  |
| APR   |  20.00  | +0.40  |  21.50  | +0.10  |
| MAY   |  22.50  | -0.60  |  24.50  | -0.25  |
| JUN   |  27.10  | -0.40  |  29.80  | +0.05  |
| JUL   |  34.65  | -0.35  |  38.40  | +0.05  |
| AUG   |  34.65  | -0.35  |  38.40  | +0.15  |
| SEP   |  21.70  | -0.05  |  23.15  | -0.10  |
| OCT   |  21.95  | -0.05  |  23.00  | +0.00  |
| NOV   |  21.95  | -0.05  |  23.00  | +0.00  |
| DEC   |  21.95  | -0.05  |  23.00  | +0.00  |
| JAN   |  24.25  | +0.00  |  26.00  | -0.10  |
| FEB   |  24.25  | +0.00  |  26.00  | -0.10  |
------------------------------------------------------------
Power Futures     
| Month |  PJM  | Change |
| MAR   | 25.10 | +0.20  |
| APR   | 25.10 | +0.20  |
| MAY   | 28.55 | -0.05  |
| JUN   | 35.25 | -0.25  |
| JUL   | 46.35 | +0.15  |
| AUG   | 46.35 | +0.15  |
| SEP   | 27.10 | +0.10  |
| OCT   | 26.10 | +0.10  |
| NOV   | 26.10 | +0.10  |
| DEC   | 26.10 | +0.10  |
| JAN   | 30.25 | -0.10  |
| FEB   | 30.25 | -0.10  |
-------------------------------------------------------------
Commodity Futures Trading Commission

NYMEX Natural Gas Futures 
Reportable Positions as of  1/29/02 

Open Interest: 465,995                                  10,000 MMBtu 
                                                       Nonreportable

Non-Commercial         |   Commercial |     Total    | Positions
Long | Short| Spreading| Long | Short | Long | Short | Long  | Short
11,147 59,577  40,707  377,068 333,282 428,922 433,566 37,073 32,429

Changes from 1/22/02                Change in Open Interest: -23,395
 7,861 ?6,352  -2,837  -26,347 ?11,959 ?21,323  21,148 -2,072 -2,247

Percent of Open Interest for Each Category of Traders
  2.4   12.8      8.7     80.9    71.5   92.0     93.0     8.0   7.0
-------------------------------------------------------------
Energy Seminars, Inc. Announces Key Seminar Offerings for February:

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----------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------
Wisconsin Energy Power Plant Plan 

    Wisconsin Energy plans to build $3 billion in new electricity 
generators over the next nine years to meet growing energy demands. 
Forecasts indicate Wisconsin will need more than the 2,800 MW the new 
units will generate by 2011. The projects include 2 natural gas fired 
generators and 3 coal burning units at existing power plants. Other 
power producers including Calpine and Mirant have delayed new 
construction in the state because of lower electricity demand and 
prices. The first natural gas fired should be under construction by 
early next year to be in service before the summer of 2005. Wisconsin 
Energy has created a subsidiary that would build and own the 
generators and lease them back to the utility for up to 25 years. 
Calpine, Enron and PG&E had opposed the proposal, saying it would 
delay deregulation in the state by more than a decade. 
-------------------------------------------------------------

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-------------------------------------------------------------
FINANCIAL SUMMARY
The TSE 300 gained 42.02 points to 7690.57
The CRB Index climbed 2.22 points to 189.51
The US Dollar decreased 0.38 points to 119.79
The Dow declined 12.74 points to 9907.26
The S&P 500 lost 8.00 points to 1122.20
The Nasdaq was down 22.79 points to 1911.24
March NYMEX Crude Oil added 0.90 to 20.38
Canadian-US Exchange fell 0.0016 to 1.5907
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