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HotToday: Futures - http://ctsTrader.com

______June the 1st, 2001__________
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CTS HOT TODAY: FUTURES
By Nick Van Nice
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_________Volume 3, Number 108___________

Good morning everyone, the purpose of CTS Hot Today: Futures
is to help you prepare for the trading day ahead.
--------------------------------------------------------
Nick's Trading Tip of the Day (06/01)
--------------------------------------------------------

"Power Trading Tips for utilizing Net Trader Positions"

1. Filter new trend-following, signals if the commercials are at or
near a 4-year extreme net position against the trend.

2. Look to trade with the trend, if the commercials are at or near a
4-year extreme in the direction of the trend. Some of the best trades
each year occur following this set-up. The stock market decline unfolding
in March of 2000 is a good example.

3. Refer to the accuracy summary below and only follow the commercials
in markets that have an accuracy of 65% or higher.

10-Year Analysis of commercial extremes
"Accuracy Table"
A signal was generated when the commercial positions reached a
new 4-year extreme. A new 4-year extreme net long position would generate a
hypothetical buy signal.
Conversely, a new 4-year extreme in net short positions would create a
hypothetical sell signal. An event is a signal. Going back 10 years in
the copper market, there were a total of 13 events (signals) that occurred.
The research is provided to give you a better feel of how to use the
Commitment of
Trader information.  The analysis gives you a better understanding of
how the indicator works in different markets.  From this information,
you might fit it into your personal trading method. Some traders base
their entire trading decisions on the Commitment of Traders data.  Others
use the data to identify key turning points in the marketplace. It is a
great
tool for the active trader.

10-year study of 4-year commercial extremes

Gold     -85% accurate - 8 events - 3.6 week average lag time turn
S+P 500  -66% accurate - 8 events - 4 weeks lag time before turn
Soybeans - 100% accurate-6 events - 5 weeks lag
Cattle   - 100% accurate-7 events - 5.7 week lag
Copper  - 85% accurate - 13 events - 4 week lag

Risk Disclosure
The above table is a summary of the qualitative analysis done by
the research team at ctsTrader.com.  The analysis goes back through
10-years of history from the CTS data bank. Qualitative analysis has
certain inherent limitations and is subject to human discretion. CTS has
performed this analysis in good faith, but can not guarantee its accuracy
or ability to forecast prices into the future. Use this information to
stimulate prudent decision making on your own and at your own risk.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results
as



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Please Note: Please allow 3-6 weeks for delivery. Futures
and futures options trading, stock and stock options trading
is speculative and involves substantial risk of loss. No
liability is assumed with respect to the use of the information
contained in this package. There is a risk of loss in
commodity, commodity option, stock, and stock option
trading. All investments carry risk and all trading decisions
of an individual remain the responsibility of that individual.
There is no guarantee that systems, indicators, or trading
signals will result in profits or that they will not result in
losses. All traders are advised to fully understand all
risks associated with any kind of trading they choose to do.

------------------------------------------------------
Key Technical Developments (close of 05/31)
-------------------------------------------------------

The grains appear to be losing downside momentum! Perhaps all the
bearish news has been discounted. Any signs of trouble with
the crop could be very bullish! Bean meal and beans are my favorites
based on the intra-market spreads.

The energies appear to have topped out! If July gas closed below
91.40, then the bull run is likely over. The bear spreading in crude
oil between June and July told the true story!

The Pound is knocking on the door once again at a meaningful downside
breakout! A close below 141.40 does it for me! Next target would be
140.

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Opportunity Alerts (Links to premium content)
-------------------------------------------------------
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------------------------------------------------------
Traders'Key Report Calendar
------------------------------------------------------
Friday. June the 1st
8:30 am ET
May non-farm payrolls - est -25k
Unemployment rate - 4.5%
10:00 am ET
April construction spending - est .1%
May NAPM - est 43.5
_____________________________________________

I hope you found today's message helpful.


Your partner in futures trading,

Nick Van Nice

P.S. E-mail me your comments to:
nvannice@ctsinternet.com
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House Keeping Notes
-------------------------------------------------------
CTS HotToday: Futures is a free service for subscribers
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If you do not wish to receive CTS HotToday: Futures, it's easy
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___________________###_______________________
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DISCLAIMER: Past performance is not indicative of
future results. The ideas expressed in this document
should be viewed in an educational light. Use the
concepts and trade suggestions to help stimulate
prudent decision-making ideas. As with all
speculation, there is risk of loss. It is up to
each individual to determine his or her own
financial suitability. Any mention to profits relate to
hypothetical profits and may not accurately reflect
the slippage and commissions in the real market.
Trading futures is highly risky and should only be
done after seeking the services of a registered series
3 broker or Certified Financial Planner. Use this information
at your own risk.

Please refer a friend who might enjoy this FREE resource.
We welcome new members.



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*** 03/28/01 Notice: ***

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