[IMAGE] Syncrasy, LLC?   713.228.8470 Off  713.228.4147 Fax   909 Texas Avenue  Suite 1314  Houston, TX 77002         www.syncrasy.com         Sales:  713.228.4407   Development Offices:  970.247.4139 Off  970.247.7951 Fax   835 Main Avenue  Suite 221  Durango, CO 81301      	  	    [IMAGE]Complimentary version of Trader Summary  from Syncrasy, LLC and APB Energy Inc.   [IMAGE]- If you would like to receive this product early in the morning     please call Syncrasy at [IMAGE]713 228 4407for more information       or send an email to subscribe_TraderSummary@syncrasy.com    [IMAGE]- If you would like to be added to this daily email list     please send an email to TraderSummaryemail@syncrasy.com    [IMAGE]- If you would like to be removed from this daily email     please reply to this email with the words "CANCEL" or send an email to cancel_tradersummary@syncrasy.com      Data last updated: Friday, Dec 28, 2001 at 08:28AM EST    [IMAGE]Congratulations Andy Weingarten, APB Energy!  Winner of the $50,000 Winter 2000-01 AQUILA/AMS Seasonal Forecasting Competition. For more information please visit: AMS or Aquila   [IMAGE]New! >> Printable [IMAGE]PDFTrader Summary (You must have Adobe Acrobat Reader to open or print a PDF)   Click here for a definition of 'Average-Daily Maximum Temperature'     Today: Friday, December 28, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 32 +1 ERCOT(SP) 66 +1 FRCC(SE) 69 NC MAAC(NE) 40 +2 MAIN(CTR) 27 +1 MAPP(HP) 15 +1 NPCC(NE) 33 +2 SERC(SE) 55 +2 SPP(SP) 52 +5 WSCC(NW) 43 -1 WSCC(RK) 33 -1 WSCC(SW) 57 -1     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 23 24 31 40 30 53 55 52 Max 30 30 35 43 37 59 65 58 Min 20 20 28 38 25 44 48 49 Range 10 10 7 5 12 15 17 9 StD-P 2.1 2.8 2.5 1.2 3.4 3.6 5.4 2.6 Count 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Tomorrow: Saturday, December 29, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 23 +1 ERCOT(SP) 59 +1 FRCC(SE) 74 +1 MAAC(NE) 39 +2 MAIN(CTR) 18 +1 MAPP(HP) 11 +1 NPCC(NE) 31 +1 SERC(SE) 51 +1 SPP(SP) 34 NC WSCC(NW) 41 -3 WSCC(RK) 28 -2 WSCC(SW) 56 -1     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 18 17 30 39 29 54 50 52 Max 24 24 34 43 36 60 63 58 Min 14 10 25 37 23 50 42 48 Range 10 14 9 6 13 10 21 10 StD-P 2.9 3.9 2.7 1.8 3.2 2.8 5.3 3.1 Count 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix    Day 3: Sunday, December 30, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 23 +2 ERCOT(SP) 52 -2 FRCC(SE) 65 +2 MAAC(NE) 30 +1 MAIN(CTR) 22 +2 MAPP(HP) 14 +2 NPCC(NE) 28 +1 SERC(SE) 40 NC SPP(SP) 31 -4 WSCC(NW) 41 NC WSCC(RK) 28 -5 WSCC(SW) 57 -1     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 17 15 25 39 29 44 46 53 Max 20 19 31 42 33 55 52 57 Min 12 9 19 36 25 37 41 49 Range 8 10 12 6 8 18 11 8 StD-P 2.2 2.9 3.1 1.7 2.5 4.1 2.4 2.6 Count 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Day 4: Monday, December 31, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 26 +2 ERCOT(SP) 53 -3 FRCC(SE) 64 +4 MAAC(NE) 33 +2 MAIN(CTR) 21 +1 MAPP(HP) 11 +1 NPCC(NE) 27 +1 SERC(SE) 40 -3 SPP(SP) 33 -6 WSCC(NW) 39 -4 WSCC(RK) 26 -9 WSCC(SW) 57 -2     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 16 15 25 38 27 43 44 53 Max 19 19 28 42 33 46 48 57 Min 12 11 18 34 22 39 41 50 Range 7 8 10 8 11 7 7 7 StD-P 2.4 2.4 2.7 2.4 2.9 2.2 2.1 2.4 Count 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix    Day 5: Tuesday, January  1, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 26 +2 ERCOT(SP) 51 -6 FRCC(SE) 68 +5 MAAC(NE) 33 +2 MAIN(CTR) 19 -3 MAPP(HP) 7 -9 NPCC(NE) 28 +2 SERC(SE) 43 -1 SPP(SP) 30 -9 WSCC(NW) 39 -6 WSCC(RK) 22 -15 WSCC(SW) 55 -3     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 17 13 24 38 23 44 42 52 Max 20 20 29 41 31 47 47 57 Min 11 5 17 34 16 40 38 47 Range 9 15 12 7 15 7 9 10 StD-P 2.4 4.9 2.7 2.2 4.7 1.9 3.2 2.8 Count 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Day 6: Wednesday, January  2, 2002  Click Here for Syncrasy's 6-10 summary information.  Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 26 -3 ERCOT(SP) 46 -14 FRCC(SE) 69 +6 MAAC(NE) 32 -2 MAIN(CTR) 19 -8 MAPP(HP) 12 -10 NPCC(NE) 29 +2 SERC(SE) 41 -5 SPP(SP) 27 -18 WSCC(NW) 42 -2 WSCC(RK) 28 -12 WSCC(SW) 56 -3     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 16 18 25 41 25 43 37 52 Max 22 27 29 44 30 47 47 56 Min 11 9 18 38 16 37 30 48 Range 11 18 11 6 14 10 17 8 StD-P 3.3 5.9 3.0 1.6 5.3 2.7 5.5 2.5 Count 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix    Day 7: Thursday, January  3, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 26 -6 ERCOT(SP) 50 -15 FRCC(SE) 65 NC MAAC(NE) 34 -2 MAIN(CTR) 22 -10 MAPP(HP) 15 -12 NPCC(NE) 30 NC SERC(SE) 43 -7 SPP(SP) 37 -13 WSCC(NW) 42 -1 WSCC(RK) 30 -10 WSCC(SW) 56 -3     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 20 24 26 40 30 42 38 52 Max 29 34 30 42 34 47 47 56 Min 13 13 18 38 27 35 29 48 Range 16 21 12 4 7 12 18 8 StD-P 4.9 5.8 3.5 1.2 2.7 4.2 5.4 2.4 Count 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Day 8: Friday, January  4, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 8 -24 ERCOT(SP) 35 -25 FRCC(SE) 54 -6 MAAC(NE) 19 -10 MAIN(CTR) 1 -36 MAPP(HP) -1 -34 NPCC(NE) 19 -5 SERC(SE) 30 -17 SPP(SP) 14 -34 WSCC(NW) 37 -4 WSCC(RK) 22 -3 WSCC(SW) 46 -6     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 20 25 27 39 29 43 43 51 Max 30 33 34 42 36 48 50 56 Min 3 10 18 35 21 35 31 45 Range 27 23 16 7 15 13 19 11 StD-P 8.1 7.2 5.2 2.1 4.6 5.2 5.9 3.5 Count 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix    Day 9: Saturday, January  5, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 8 -29 ERCOT(SP) 24 -25 FRCC(SE) 50 -19 MAAC(NE) 11 -29 MAIN(CTR) 12 -20 MAPP(HP) 22 -10 NPCC(NE) 7 -27 SERC(SE) 22 -32 SPP(SP) 15 -23 WSCC(NW) 36 -6 WSCC(RK) 20 -14 WSCC(SW) 45 -8     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 23 28 24 39 27 44 43 51 Max 32 34 35 42 36 53 54 56 Min 13 21 8 35 18 28 21 45 Range 19 13 27 7 18 25 33 11 StD-P 6.2 3.6 9.8 2.4 6.1 8.1 10.9 4.1 Count 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Day 10: Sunday, January  6, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 20 -15 ERCOT(SP) 34 -17 FRCC(SE) 55 -10 MAAC(NE) 19 -26 MAIN(CTR) 26 -9 MAPP(HP) 32 -3 NPCC(NE) 13 -28 SERC(SE) 31 -20 SPP(SP) 30 -18 WSCC(NW) 39 -4 WSCC(RK) 29 -6 WSCC(SW) 48 -9     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 24 29 22 37 22 41 36 43 Max 28 34 30 39 27 50 41 48 Min 16 20 15 33 16 36 32 37 Range 12 14 15 6 11 14 9 11 StD-P 2.8 4.4 5.7 1.7 3.1 4.6 3.8 4.5 Count 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix     Trader Summary is designed around and formatted for the  Plasma displays, RainbowWall? and DataWall?   Trader Summary can also be viewed from www.syncrasy.com or     www.apbenergy.com or  www.truequote.com