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From KHOU-TV's Dr. Neil Frank & Reliant Energy W.A.R.N. :
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WTNT72 KNHC 250232

SPFAT2

SUBTROPICAL STORM TWO PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL

11 PM AST SAT NOV 24 2001



PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION

PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS



AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR

LATITUDE 31.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  50.6 WEST



CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES

OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST TUE NOV 27 2001



LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E



32.5N  52.9W      41  X  X  X 41   33.0N  55.5W      18  2  1  1 22

32.8N  54.2W      26  1  X  1 28   BERMUDA            X  X  X  4  4



COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT

A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN

FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES

B FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON

C FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON

D FROM  8PM MON TO  8PM TUE

E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE

X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT



FORECASTER BEVEN




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