[IMAGE] Syncrasy, LLC?   713.228.8470 Off  713.228.4147 Fax   909 Texas Avenue  Suite 1314  Houston, TX 77002         www.syncrasy.com         Sales:  713.228.4407   Development Offices:  970.247.4139 Off  970.247.7951 Fax   835 Main Avenue  Suite 221  Durango, CO 81301      	  	    [IMAGE]Complimentary version of Trader Summary  from Syncrasy, LLC and APB Energy Inc.   [IMAGE]- If you would like to receive this product early in the morning     please call Syncrasy at [IMAGE]713 228 4407for more information       or send an email to subscribe_TraderSummary@syncrasy.com    [IMAGE]- If you would like to be added to this daily email list     please send an email to TraderSummaryemail@syncrasy.com    [IMAGE]- If you would like to be removed from this daily email     please reply to this email with the words "CANCEL" or send an email to cancel_tradersummary@syncrasy.com      Data last updated: Monday, Dec 31, 2001 at 07:41AM EST    [IMAGE]Congratulations Andy Weingarten, APB Energy!  Winner of the $50,000 Winter 2000-01 AQUILA/AMS Seasonal Forecasting Competition. For more information please visit: AMS or Aquila   [IMAGE]New! >> Printable [IMAGE]PDFTrader Summary (You must have Adobe Acrobat Reader to open or print a PDF)   Click here for a definition of 'Average-Daily Maximum Temperature'     Today: Monday, December 31, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 23 -1 ERCOT(SP) 43 -3 FRCC(SE) 65 -2 MAAC(NE) 32 NC MAIN(CTR) 19 NC MAPP(HP) 12 +2 NPCC(NE) 28 +1 SERC(SE) 40 NC SPP(SP) 33 +1 WSCC(NW) 42 +1 WSCC(RK) 27 +1 WSCC(SW) 57 +1     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 16 15 25 38 25 44 38 52 Max 24 20 31 42 30 46 42 57 Min 12 9 21 36 20 41 32 49 Range 12 11 10 6 10 5 10 8 StD-P 2.3 3.5 2.2 1.2 2.9 1.8 2.8 2.0 Count 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Tomorrow: Tuesday, January  1, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 22 -1 ERCOT(SP) 41 NC FRCC(SE) 66 -1 MAAC(NE) 32 +1 MAIN(CTR) 19 NC MAPP(HP) 11 +1 NPCC(NE) 27 NC SERC(SE) 41 NC SPP(SP) 29 +1 WSCC(NW) 43 +1 WSCC(RK) 24 -4 WSCC(SW) 55 NC     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 17 15 25 39 23 43 38 51 Max 25 23 30 43 30 47 41 57 Min 11 10 18 36 18 39 34 47 Range 14 13 12 7 12 8 7 10 StD-P 2.1 2.9 2.6 2.0 3.3 2.1 1.9 2.7 Count 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix    Day 3: Wednesday, January  2, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 24 -3 ERCOT(SP) 45 +2 FRCC(SE) 70 +4 MAAC(NE) 33 -2 MAIN(CTR) 19 -3 MAPP(HP) 16 -4 NPCC(NE) 31 -1 SERC(SE) 35 -2 SPP(SP) 27 -4 WSCC(NW) 45 NC WSCC(RK) 34 -2 WSCC(SW) 56 NC     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 17 19 26 43 26 42 37 51 Max 19 24 31 45 33 46 41 55 Min 13 14 21 41 23 39 31 47 Range 6 10 10 4 10 7 10 8 StD-P 2.0 3.4 2.2 1.0 2.6 1.6 2.9 2.3 Count 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Day 4: Thursday, January  3, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 26 -2 ERCOT(SP) 50 -1 FRCC(SE) 57 -5 MAAC(NE) 33 -2 MAIN(CTR) 26 -1 MAPP(HP) 24 +2 NPCC(NE) 30 -2 SERC(SE) 37 -4 SPP(SP) 40 -3 WSCC(NW) 43 NC WSCC(RK) 39 NC WSCC(SW) 56 NC     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 19 28 27 40 32 39 40 52 Max 24 34 30 45 39 43 47 56 Min 14 24 21 37 29 34 34 48 Range 10 10 9 8 10 9 13 8 StD-P 2.7 2.1 2.7 2.4 1.7 2.7 3.1 2.2 Count 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix    Day 5: Friday, January  4, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 30 +1 ERCOT(SP) 55 -4 FRCC(SE) 59 -3 MAAC(NE) 30 -3 MAIN(CTR) 29 +1 MAPP(HP) 29 +5 NPCC(NE) 19 -2 SERC(SE) 44 -3 SPP(SP) 41 -3 WSCC(NW) 43 +2 WSCC(RK) 33 -2 WSCC(SW) 56 +1     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 25 32 20 40 28 40 48 51 Max 29 35 30 43 40 47 51 56 Min 22 29 10 36 19 34 45 46 Range 7 6 20 7 21 13 6 10 StD-P 1.7 1.7 6.0 2.1 5.9 3.1 1.7 3.3 Count 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Day 6: Saturday, January  5, 2002  Click Here for Syncrasy's 6-10 summary information.  Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 33 +2 ERCOT(SP) 57 -3 FRCC(SE) 68 +2 MAAC(NE) 38 +4 MAIN(CTR) 32 +1 MAPP(HP) 29 +2 NPCC(NE) 32 +8 SERC(SE) 47 -2 SPP(SP) 42 -3 WSCC(NW) 43 NC WSCC(RK) 33 +1 WSCC(SW) 56 NC     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 30 32 27 40 26 47 49 51 Max 33 34 34 43 34 51 53 55 Min 28 29 23 37 19 45 45 45 Range 5 5 11 6 15 6 8 10 StD-P 1.7 1.5 2.7 1.3 4.8 1.5 3.0 3.3 Count 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix    Day 7: Sunday, January  6, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 34 NC ERCOT(SP) 56 -1 FRCC(SE) 68 -1 MAAC(NE) 40 +2 MAIN(CTR) 31 NC MAPP(HP) 28 +2 NPCC(NE) 35 +6 SERC(SE) 48 -3 SPP(SP) 44 +3 WSCC(NW) 43 +3 WSCC(RK) 37 +4 WSCC(SW) 58 +2     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 29 34 33 41 30 50 46 53 Max 31 36 36 43 37 53 53 58 Min 27 30 30 40 26 47 38 49 Range 4 6 6 3 11 6 15 9 StD-P 1.0 1.7 1.5 0.7 3.0 1.8 4.8 2.3 Count 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Day 8: Monday, January  7, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 26 +2 ERCOT(SP) 50 +10 FRCC(SE) 56 -5 MAAC(NE) 38 +8 MAIN(CTR) 33 +10 MAPP(HP) 36 +13 NPCC(NE) 40 +13 SERC(SE) 43 +4 SPP(SP) 45 +16 WSCC(NW) 46 +4 WSCC(RK) 35 +9 WSCC(SW) 54 +7     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 31 37 33 44 34 48 50 56 Max 34 41 39 46 41 54 57 60 Min 27 32 27 42 29 44 45 52 Range 7 9 12 4 12 10 12 8 StD-P 1.2 2.6 3.3 1.3 2.6 3.6 2.9 2.1 Count 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix    Day 9: Tuesday, January  8, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 27 +6 ERCOT(SP) 52 +8 FRCC(SE) 61 +8 MAAC(NE) 31 +8 MAIN(CTR) 31 +3 MAPP(HP) 37 +4 NPCC(NE) 26 +8 SERC(SE) 46 +10 SPP(SP) 48 +8 WSCC(NW) 44 +2 WSCC(RK) 35 +4 WSCC(SW) 56 +5     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 31 39 30 44 35 49 51 57 Max 33 43 35 45 39 54 56 59 Min 29 36 24 42 32 45 48 54 Range 4 7 11 3 7 9 8 5 StD-P 0.9 1.9 3.1 0.7 2.3 2.5 2.4 1.7 Count 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Day 10: Wednesday, January  9, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 28 +2 ERCOT(SP) 56 +8 FRCC(SE) 58 +4 MAAC(NE) 26 NC MAIN(CTR) 36 +3 MAPP(HP) 38 +4 NPCC(NE) 17 -2 SERC(SE) 46 +6 SPP(SP) 49 +4 WSCC(NW) 42 -1 WSCC(RK) 30 NC WSCC(SW) 54 NC     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 29 37 24 40 27 44 45 48 Max 34 40 31 42 31 48 54 54 Min 26 33 19 37 23 38 36 40 Range 8 7 12 5 8 10 18 14 StD-P 3.1 2.8 3.0 2.0 2.0 3.9 8.2 6.5 Count 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix     Trader Summary is designed around and formatted for the  Plasma displays, RainbowWall? and DataWall?   Trader Summary can also be viewed from www.syncrasy.com or     www.apbenergy.com or  www.truequote.com