[IMAGE] Syncrasy, LLC?   713.228.8470 Off  713.228.4147 Fax   909 Texas Avenue  Suite 1314  Houston, TX 77002         www.syncrasy.com         Sales:  713.228.4407   Development Offices:  970.247.4139 Off  970.247.7951 Fax   835 Main Avenue  Suite 221  Durango, CO 81301      	  	    [IMAGE]Complimentary version of Trader Summary  from Syncrasy, LLC and APB Energy Inc.   [IMAGE]- If you would like to receive this product early in the morning     please call Syncrasy at [IMAGE]713 228 4407for more information       or send an email to subscribe_TraderSummary@syncrasy.com    [IMAGE]- If you would like to be added to this daily email list     please send an email to TraderSummaryemail@syncrasy.com    [IMAGE]- If you would like to be removed from this daily email     please reply to this email with the words "CANCEL" or send an email to cancel_tradersummary@syncrasy.com      Data last updated: Monday, Dec 24, 2001 at 07:37AM EST    [IMAGE]Congratulations Andy Weingarten, APB Energy!  Winner of the $50,000 Winter 2000-01 AQUILA/AMS Seasonal Forecasting Competition. For more information please visit: AMS or Aquila   [IMAGE]New! >> Printable [IMAGE]PDFTrader Summary (You must have Adobe Acrobat Reader to open or print a PDF)   Click here for a definition of 'Average-Daily Maximum Temperature'     Today: Monday, December 24, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 31 +1 ERCOT(SP) 53 +1 FRCC(SE) 72 +2 MAAC(NE) 45 +2 MAIN(CTR) 26 +2 MAPP(HP) 20 +3 NPCC(NE) 42 +1 SERC(SE) 51 +2 SPP(SP) 39 +3 WSCC(NW) 39 NC WSCC(RK) 31 +2 WSCC(SW) 55 +1     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 24 24 40 35 23 53 45 48 Max 33 33 43 39 31 59 52 54 Min 20 19 36 30 13 48 37 44 Range 13 14 7 9 18 11 15 10 StD-P 3.3 3.3 1.8 2.2 4.4 3.4 4.1 2.8 Count 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Tomorrow: Tuesday, December 25, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 27 +1 ERCOT(SP) 54 +5 FRCC(SE) 66 +3 MAAC(NE) 35 NC MAIN(CTR) 21 +2 MAPP(HP) 15 +1 NPCC(NE) 36 NC SERC(SE) 44 +1 SPP(SP) 35 +2 WSCC(NW) 38 NC WSCC(RK) 31 +2 WSCC(SW) 54 +1     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 20 22 34 35 24 47 44 49 Max 24 32 41 39 32 55 50 55 Min 17 17 27 31 13 41 35 44 Range 7 15 14 8 19 14 15 11 StD-P 2.1 3.7 4.0 2.4 5.1 3.3 3.9 3.3 Count 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix    Day 3: Wednesday, December 26, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 23 NC ERCOT(SP) 54 +2 FRCC(SE) 62 -1 MAAC(NE) 33 -1 MAIN(CTR) 21 +2 MAPP(HP) 21 +4 NPCC(NE) 33 -1 SERC(SE) 41 NC SPP(SP) 39 +4 WSCC(NW) 40 +2 WSCC(RK) 35 +3 WSCC(SW) 56 +3     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 19 27 29 36 27 42 42 50 Max 20 32 34 40 36 50 50 57 Min 16 23 23 32 18 36 30 46 Range 4 9 11 8 18 14 20 11 StD-P 1.3 2.6 2.9 2.3 4.9 3.2 5.5 3.6 Count 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Day 4: Thursday, December 27, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 25 +2 ERCOT(SP) 60 +3 FRCC(SE) 59 NC MAAC(NE) 30 -1 MAIN(CTR) 26 +3 MAPP(HP) 20 -1 NPCC(NE) 30 -2 SERC(SE) 43 +3 SPP(SP) 43 +3 WSCC(NW) 40 +1 WSCC(RK) 30 NC WSCC(SW) 56 +2     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 21 26 27 36 27 41 48 51 Max 23 31 31 40 36 46 56 56 Min 19 23 22 32 19 37 43 48 Range 4 8 9 8 17 9 13 8 StD-P 1.1 2.3 2.5 1.9 5.4 3.0 3.4 3.0 Count 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix    Day 5: Friday, December 28, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 26 +1 ERCOT(SP) 57 +3 FRCC(SE) 65 +3 MAAC(NE) 34 +3 MAIN(CTR) 23 NC MAPP(HP) 18 -3 NPCC(NE) 29 -1 SERC(SE) 46 +3 SPP(SP) 39 NC WSCC(NW) 40 -1 WSCC(RK) 30 -3 WSCC(SW) 56 +1     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 21 23 27 37 26 45 46 52 Max 23 28 30 40 33 49 55 56 Min 18 18 22 33 21 42 38 48 Range 5 10 8 7 12 7 17 8 StD-P 1.1 2.8 2.1 1.5 3.7 1.6 5.2 2.8 Count 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Day 6: Saturday, December 29, 2001  Click Here for Syncrasy's 6-10 summary information.  Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 26 NC ERCOT(SP) 58 +1 FRCC(SE) 66 +2 MAAC(NE) 32 +1 MAIN(CTR) 22 -1 MAPP(HP) 12 -10 NPCC(NE) 28 +1 SERC(SE) 46 NC SPP(SP) 39 -5 WSCC(NW) 40 NC WSCC(RK) 28 -9 WSCC(SW) 56 -1     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 18 19 26 38 26 44 47 52 Max 21 24 29 40 31 49 54 56 Min 14 10 21 31 19 40 43 46 Range 7 14 8 9 12 9 11 10 StD-P 2.3 5.3 2.5 2.0 4.6 3.2 4.0 3.3 Count 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix    Day 7: Sunday, December 30, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 26 NC ERCOT(SP) 53 -6 FRCC(SE) 66 NC MAAC(NE) 34 +3 MAIN(CTR) 23 -5 MAPP(HP) 13 -14 NPCC(NE) 29 +3 SERC(SE) 45 NC SPP(SP) 34 -13 WSCC(NW) 37 -6 WSCC(RK) 25 -14 WSCC(SW) 55 -3     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 17 15 25 35 24 43 45 51 Max 20 24 30 39 30 50 53 56 Min 12 4 20 29 14 38 37 45 Range 8 20 10 10 16 12 16 11 StD-P 2.4 6.5 2.4 3.5 6.0 4.3 4.9 3.5 Count 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Day 8: Monday, December 31, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 20 +1 ERCOT(SP) 35 -10 FRCC(SE) 55 +2 MAAC(NE) 27 +8 MAIN(CTR) 17 -6 MAPP(HP) 10 -15 NPCC(NE) 26 +14 SERC(SE) 33 -4 SPP(SP) 19 -18 WSCC(NW) 27 -17 WSCC(RK) 5 -25 WSCC(SW) 48 -5     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 18 17 27 35 21 42 41 52 Max 24 26 33 42 29 49 49 56 Min 13 7 21 27 6 36 31 48 Range 11 19 12 15 23 13 18 8 StD-P 2.5 6.0 2.4 4.6 8.3 4.9 6.4 2.7 Count 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix    Day 9: Tuesday, January  1, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 20 -1 ERCOT(SP) 28 -20 FRCC(SE) 60 +2 MAAC(NE) 26 +4 MAIN(CTR) 16 -4 MAPP(HP) 8 -14 NPCC(NE) 24 +9 SERC(SE) 32 -11 SPP(SP) 15 -23 WSCC(NW) 36 -7 WSCC(RK) 13 -19 WSCC(SW) 48 -5     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 20 19 26 38 24 41 37 51 Max 24 35 32 42 34 48 47 56 Min 15 8 21 36 14 34 25 47 Range 9 27 11 6 20 14 22 9 StD-P 3.5 7.9 2.7 1.8 6.1 4.6 8.5 2.9 Count 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Day 10: Wednesday, January  2, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 19 +3 ERCOT(SP) 30 -20 FRCC(SE) 54 -6 MAAC(NE) 26 +4 MAIN(CTR) 15 NC MAPP(HP) 12 -11 NPCC(NE) 22 +7 SERC(SE) 30 -7 SPP(SP) 16 -28 WSCC(NW) 36 -4 WSCC(RK) 21 -13 WSCC(SW) 48 -5     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 19 18 22 35 21 35 31 44 Max 21 31 24 36 25 37 36 48 Min 15 12 21 32 19 33 27 39 Range 6 19 3 4 6 4 9 9 StD-P 2.0 5.2 0.7 1.5 1.6 0.9 4.0 4.3 Count 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix     Trader Summary is designed around and formatted for the  Plasma displays, RainbowWall? and DataWall?   Trader Summary can also be viewed from www.syncrasy.com or     www.apbenergy.com or  www.truequote.com