[IMAGE] Syncrasy, LLC?   713.228.8470 Off  713.228.4147 Fax   909 Texas Avenue  Suite 1314  Houston, TX 77002         www.syncrasy.com         Sales:  713.228.4407   Development Offices:  970.247.4139 Off  970.247.7951 Fax   835 Main Avenue  Suite 221  Durango, CO 81301      	  	    [IMAGE]Complimentary version of Trader Summary  from Syncrasy, LLC and APB Energy Inc.   [IMAGE]- If you would like to receive this product early in the morning     please call Syncrasy at [IMAGE]713 228 4407for more information       or send an email to subscribe_TraderSummary@syncrasy.com    [IMAGE]- If you would like to be added to this daily email list     please send an email to TraderSummaryemail@syncrasy.com    [IMAGE]- If you would like to be removed from this daily email     please reply to this email with the words "CANCEL" or send an email to cancel_tradersummary@syncrasy.com      Data last updated: Thursday, Dec 27, 2001 at 08:26AM EST    [IMAGE]Congratulations Andy Weingarten, APB Energy!  Winner of the $50,000 Winter 2000-01 AQUILA/AMS Seasonal Forecasting Competition. For more information please visit: AMS or Aquila   [IMAGE]New! >> Printable [IMAGE]PDFTrader Summary (You must have Adobe Acrobat Reader to open or print a PDF)   Click here for a definition of 'Average-Daily Maximum Temperature'     Today: Thursday, December 27, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 28 +3 ERCOT(SP) 62 NC FRCC(SE) 61 NC MAAC(NE) 33 +2 MAIN(CTR) 29 +2 MAPP(HP) 26 +1 NPCC(NE) 29 +1 SERC(SE) 47 +1 SPP(SP) 46 +2 WSCC(NW) 40 -1 WSCC(RK) 34 NC WSCC(SW) 57 -1     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 25 29 28 38 27 47 52 52 Max 29 37 30 40 35 54 61 57 Min 23 26 24 35 22 43 45 48 Range 6 11 6 5 13 11 16 9 StD-P 1.5 3.3 1.7 1.2 3.8 2.9 4.4 2.3 Count 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Tomorrow: Friday, December 28, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 31 +2 ERCOT(SP) 65 +2 FRCC(SE) 69 +1 MAAC(NE) 38 +1 MAIN(CTR) 27 +2 MAPP(HP) 14 NC NPCC(NE) 31 +1 SERC(SE) 53 +3 SPP(SP) 48 +2 WSCC(NW) 44 NC WSCC(RK) 33 +2 WSCC(SW) 58 NC     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 24 24 30 40 31 53 55 54 Max 29 35 33 44 38 60 65 58 Min 21 19 25 38 26 50 45 50 Range 8 16 8 6 12 10 20 8 StD-P 1.9 4.1 1.9 1.2 3.7 2.5 4.6 2.8 Count 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix    Day 3: Saturday, December 29, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 23 -2 ERCOT(SP) 56 -3 FRCC(SE) 73 +2 MAAC(NE) 37 +1 MAIN(CTR) 18 -1 MAPP(HP) 10 +1 NPCC(NE) 31 +1 SERC(SE) 50 +1 SPP(SP) 33 -2 WSCC(NW) 44 +3 WSCC(RK) 30 +2 WSCC(SW) 57 +1     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 18 18 28 41 31 52 49 53 Max 23 24 31 44 37 56 61 58 Min 14 12 23 38 26 50 42 49 Range 9 12 8 6 11 6 19 9 StD-P 2.9 3.4 2.1 2.1 3.2 2.1 4.7 2.8 Count 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Day 4: Sunday, December 30, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 21 NC ERCOT(SP) 54 -4 FRCC(SE) 62 -5 MAAC(NE) 30 -1 MAIN(CTR) 20 +1 MAPP(HP) 12 +2 NPCC(NE) 26 -2 SERC(SE) 41 -3 SPP(SP) 36 +1 WSCC(NW) 41 +1 WSCC(RK) 34 +7 WSCC(SW) 58 +1     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 15 17 25 40 31 44 47 54 Max 18 21 30 44 37 54 53 58 Min 11 11 18 37 28 36 41 50 Range 7 10 12 7 9 18 12 8 StD-P 2.0 2.6 3.5 2.2 3.0 4.8 3.4 2.4 Count 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix    Day 5: Monday, December 31, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 24 -1 ERCOT(SP) 56 +6 FRCC(SE) 60 -6 MAAC(NE) 31 +1 MAIN(CTR) 20 NC MAPP(HP) 11 -1 NPCC(NE) 26 NC SERC(SE) 43 +1 SPP(SP) 38 +7 WSCC(NW) 44 +2 WSCC(RK) 35 +9 WSCC(SW) 59 +3     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 16 18 24 41 32 43 47 54 Max 20 22 27 44 39 49 52 59 Min 10 14 17 38 27 36 41 51 Range 10 8 10 6 12 13 11 8 StD-P 2.4 2.4 2.4 1.7 3.8 3.8 3.6 2.5 Count 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Day 6: Tuesday, January  1, 2002  Click Here for Syncrasy's 6-10 summary information.  Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 24 -3 ERCOT(SP) 57 +8 FRCC(SE) 63 -4 MAAC(NE) 30 -4 MAIN(CTR) 22 -1 MAPP(HP) 16 -1 NPCC(NE) 26 -1 SERC(SE) 44 +1 SPP(SP) 39 +5 WSCC(NW) 45 +3 WSCC(RK) 36 +5 WSCC(SW) 59 +2     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 16 20 24 42 31 43 46 55 Max 20 26 27 45 38 47 54 59 Min 9 17 16 40 26 37 39 52 Range 11 9 11 5 12 10 15 7 StD-P 3.1 2.0 2.8 1.4 3.9 3.1 4.1 2.4 Count 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix    Day 7: Wednesday, January  2, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 29 NC ERCOT(SP) 60 +8 FRCC(SE) 63 -5 MAAC(NE) 34 -2 MAIN(CTR) 27 +4 MAPP(HP) 22 +4 NPCC(NE) 27 -2 SERC(SE) 46 +2 SPP(SP) 45 +9 WSCC(NW) 44 +2 WSCC(RK) 40 +7 WSCC(SW) 59 +3     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 18 27 23 43 34 42 47 55 Max 25 32 29 45 41 49 56 59 Min 12 20 16 41 30 36 36 52 Range 13 12 13 4 11 13 20 7 StD-P 2.8 3.5 3.2 1.1 2.7 4.4 5.5 2.1 Count 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Day 8: Thursday, January  3, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 19 +3 ERCOT(SP) 60 +25 FRCC(SE) 54 -6 MAAC(NE) 23 -3 MAIN(CTR) 27 +15 MAPP(HP) 32 +16 NPCC(NE) 19 +3 SERC(SE) 38 +6 SPP(SP) 50 +28 WSCC(NW) 39 -1 WSCC(RK) 35 +2 WSCC(SW) 55 +2     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 24 33 25 41 36 43 51 55 Max 30 39 31 44 41 52 61 59 Min 20 28 18 38 32 38 38 51 Range 10 11 13 6 9 14 23 8 StD-P 2.2 3.3 3.7 1.9 1.9 3.9 5.4 2.4 Count 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix    Day 9: Friday, January  4, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 33 +15 ERCOT(SP) 60 +13 FRCC(SE) 60 +7 MAAC(NE) 29 +5 MAIN(CTR) 36 +16 MAPP(HP) 33 +2 NPCC(NE) 24 +5 SERC(SE) 47 +16 SPP(SP) 48 +7 WSCC(NW) 41 -1 WSCC(RK) 25 -2 WSCC(SW) 51 -3     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 29 33 28 40 31 47 54 53 Max 35 35 31 43 41 51 62 59 Min 26 29 22 38 24 41 44 49 Range 9 6 9 5 17 10 18 10 StD-P 2.8 2.3 2.7 1.6 5.2 2.5 4.2 3.0 Count 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Day 10: Saturday, January  5, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 36 +11 ERCOT(SP) 49 +3 FRCC(SE) 69 +14 MAAC(NE) 39 +12 MAIN(CTR) 33 +6 MAPP(HP) 32 +2 NPCC(NE) 34 +11 SERC(SE) 54 +16 SPP(SP) 38 NC WSCC(NW) 42 -2 WSCC(RK) 34 -1 WSCC(SW) 53 -2     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 27 29 29 38 26 48 45 46 Max 34 36 36 42 33 56 50 53 Min 22 23 23 33 20 36 41 37 Range 12 13 13 9 13 20 9 16 StD-P 4.5 4.9 4.3 2.9 4.6 5.8 2.5 6.7 Count 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix     Trader Summary is designed around and formatted for the  Plasma displays, RainbowWall? and DataWall?   Trader Summary can also be viewed from www.syncrasy.com or     www.apbenergy.com or  www.truequote.com