I'll let you guys know if we go out.
----- Forwarded by Susan J Mara/NA/Enron on 12/05/2000 05:12 PM -----

	"Fairchild, Tracy" <tracy.fairchild@edelman.com>
	12/05/2000 04:21 PM
		 
		 To: "Aaron Thomas (E-mail)" <athomas@newenergy.com>, "Andrea Weller 
(E-mail)" <aweller@sel.com>, "andrew Chau (E-mail)" <anchau@shellus.com>, 
"Bill Chen (E-mail)" <bchen@newenergy.com>, "Douglas Oglesby (E-mail)" 
<doao@chevron.com>, "Jeffrey Hanson (E-mail)" <jeff.hanson@phaser.com>, 
"jennifer Chamberlin (E-mail)" <jnnc@chevron.com>, "john Barthrop (E-mail)" 
<jbarthrop@electric.com>, "John Leslie (E-mail)" <jleslie@luce.com>, "Joseph 
Alamo (E-mail)" <jalamo@enron.com>, "Kathleen Magruder (E-mail)" 
<kmagruder@newpower.com>, "Marcie Milner (E-mail)" <Marcie.Milner@enron.com>, 
Michael Nelson <mnelson@electric.com>, "Mona Petrochko (E-mail)" 
<mpetroch@enron.com>, "Peter Bray (E-mail)" <pbray@newpower.com>, "Rebecca 
Schlanert (E-mail)" <rschlanert@electric.com>, "Richard Counihan (E-mail)" 
<rick.counihan@greenmountain.com>, "Robert Morgan (E-mail)" 
<rmorgan@newenergy.com>, "Sue Mara (E-mail)" <smara@enron.com>
		 cc: "Warner, Jami" <jami.warner@edelman.com>, "Allen, Stevan" 
<stevan.allen@edelman.com>, "Beiser, Megan" <Megan.Beiser@edelman.com>
		 Subject: ISO to Call Stage 3 Tonight?


Hello to the ARM Team,

FYI---the following memo was released by the ISO this afternoon

Tracy Fairchild


 This memo is to alert you to the likelihood that we will be declaring a
> Stage 3 emergency later today and interrupting approx.. 1500 MW of firm
> load for the 5:00 to 8:00 timeframe.  The anticipated emergency is due to
> greatly reduced imports (2700 MW, down from 5300 MW) and the large number
> of unit outages, both planned (4800 MW) and forced (6300, of which 2400
> are NoX constrained), combined with a projected peak of approximately
> 34,000 MW.  We have advised the Governor's office, the EOB, FERC and DOE
> of the situation, and we are working with the State to bring on line some
> of the NoX constrained units, which, due to ramp up, will not be available
> until sometime tomorrow at the earliest. With predictions of colder
> weather for later this week and the urgent need for maintenance on one of
> the nuclear units during the weekend, we are facing a challenging week.
> 
> 
Thanks, 

Kim Hubner
Executive Assistant
Terry M. Winter, President & CEO
California ISO
(916) 351-2222 voice
(916) 351-2350 facsimile
(916) 499-1217 pager 
(916) 802-2495 cell
<mailto:khubner@caiso.com>