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[IMAGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE]        Syncrasy, LLC?   713.228.8470 Off  713.228.4147 Fax   909 Texas Avenue  Suite 1314  Houston, TX 77002         www.syncrasy.com          Sales:  713.228.4407   Development Offices:  970.247.4139 Off  970.247.7951 Fax   835 Main Avenue  Suite 221  Durango, CO 81301      	  	 [IMAGE]    Complimentary version of Trader Summary  from Syncrasy, LLC and APB Energy Inc.    - If you would like to receive this product early in the morning       please call Syncrasy at 713 228 4407 for more information       or send an email to subscribe_TraderSummary@syncrasy.com     - If you would like to be added to this daily email list       please send an email to TraderSummaryemail@syncrasy.com     - If you would like to be removed from this daily email       please reply to this email with the words "CANCEL" or send an email to cancel_tradersummary@syncrasy.com       Data last updated: Thursday, Oct 18, 2001 at 09:07AM ET    Congratulations Andy Weingarten, APB Energy!  Winner of the $50,000 Winter 2000-01 AQUILA/AMS Seasonal Forecasting Competition. For more information please visit: AMS  or Aquila    Click here for a definition of 'Average-Daily Maximum Temperature'     Today: Thursday, October 18, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 58 NC ERCOT(SP) 79 NC FRCC(SE) 80 +1 MAAC(NE) 57 NC MAIN(CTR) 59 +1 MAPP(HP) 54 +2 NPCC(NE) 53 -2 SERC(SE) 67 -1 SPP(SP) 71 +3 WSCC(NW) 57 -1 WSCC(RK) 58 +3 WSCC(SW) 76 +1     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 54 52 49 53 54 64 73 74 Max 61 61 56 59 61 71 80 78 Min 48 45 43 48 47 58 65 70 Range 13 16 13 11 14 13 15 8 StD-P 3.4 4.2 3.9 2.7 4.5 3.7 4.5 2.2 Count 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10    Andy Weingarten is unavailable for commentary today.  We look forward to his return on Friday.   Tomorrow: Friday, October 19, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 58 -1 ERCOT(SP) 77 -1 FRCC(SE) 82 NC MAAC(NE) 62 -1 MAIN(CTR) 58 NC MAPP(HP) 57 +1 NPCC(NE) 59 -1 SERC(SE) 72 NC SPP(SP) 70 NC WSCC(NW) 62 NC WSCC(RK) 62 +2 WSCC(SW) 76 NC     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 54 57 56 57 58 69 72 74 Max 61 65 61 62 66 74 79 78 Min 47 48 50 53 48 62 62 70 Range 14 17 11 9 18 12 17 8 StD-P 3.4 4.4 3.4 2.7 5.1 3.5 4.3 2.2 Count 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10   Day 3: Saturday, October 20, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 62 NC ERCOT(SP) 81 -1 FRCC(SE) 83 NC MAAC(NE) 65 +1 MAIN(CTR) 63 NC MAPP(HP) 61 NC NPCC(NE) 59 NC SERC(SE) 76 +1 SPP(SP) 76 +1 WSCC(NW) 59 NC WSCC(RK) 63 +1 WSCC(SW) 76 NC     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 57 58 55 53 59 70 75 74 Max 63 66 60 59 66 77 81 76 Min 51 50 50 48 51 63 68 70 Range 12 16 10 11 15 14 13 6 StD-P 3.2 4.7 2.9 3.3 4.9 4.3 4.5 1.8 Count 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8   Day 4: Sunday, October 21, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 67 +1 ERCOT(SP) 83 +1 FRCC(SE) 84 NC MAAC(NE) 66 +1 MAIN(CTR) 65 +1 MAPP(HP) 57 +1 NPCC(NE) 60 NC SERC(SE) 77 +1 SPP(SP) 76 +1 WSCC(NW) 54 -1 WSCC(RK) 58 NC WSCC(SW) 72 -1     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 57 52 57 50 55 71 76 70 Max 63 59 62 54 62 78 81 73 Min 54 46 53 46 50 66 70 66 Range 9 13 9 8 12 12 11 7 StD-P 2.3 4.2 2.7 2.4 4.2 3.3 3.8 2.4 Count 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6   Day 5: Monday, October 22, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 66 +1 ERCOT(SP) 83 +1 FRCC(SE) 85 +1 MAAC(NE) 69 +2 MAIN(CTR) 62 +1 MAPP(HP) 54 -1 NPCC(NE) 62 +2 SERC(SE) 78 +1 SPP(SP) 74 +1 WSCC(NW) 55 -1 WSCC(RK) 57 +1 WSCC(SW) 70 -1     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 55 55 60 50 53 73 77 68 Max 60 60 64 55 60 79 81 72 Min 51 49 57 45 46 69 74 63 Range 9 11 7 10 14 10 7 9 StD-P 2.9 3.6 1.9 3.4 4.8 3.5 2.6 3.3 Count 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6   Day 6: Tuesday, October 23, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 69 +3 ERCOT(SP) 83 +1 FRCC(SE) 85 NC MAAC(NE) 69 +1 MAIN(CTR) 65 +2 MAPP(HP) 58 +1 NPCC(NE) 60 -1 SERC(SE) 79 +1 SPP(SP) 74 +1 WSCC(NW) 54 -1 WSCC(RK) 52 -3 WSCC(SW) 71 -1     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 61 53 57 46 48 74 78 69 Max 64 57 63 54 54 80 81 72 Min 57 47 54 40 40 72 75 64 Range 7 10 9 14 14 8 6 8 StD-P 2.7 4.4 2.7 4.6 6.4 2.4 2.4 3.4 Count 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5   Day 7: Wednesday, October 24, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 66 +2 ERCOT(SP) 79 -2 FRCC(SE) 86 +1 MAAC(NE) 69 +1 MAIN(CTR) 59 -2 MAPP(HP) 52 -4 NPCC(NE) 63 +3 SERC(SE) 76 -1 SPP(SP) 66 -5 WSCC(NW) 54 NC WSCC(RK) 49 -5 WSCC(SW) 71 -1     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 57 46 62 46 42 74 73 67 Max 61 54 65 54 56 78 78 71 Min 54 39 60 42 32 73 66 62 Range 7 15 5 12 24 5 12 9 StD-P 2.2 5.7 1.3 3.4 8.9 1.4 5.3 3.6 Count 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5   Day 8: Thursday, October 25, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 45 NC ERCOT(SP) 62 -13 FRCC(SE) 77 NC MAAC(NE) 63 +3 MAIN(CTR) 42 -1 MAPP(HP) 39 -5 NPCC(NE) 61 +5 SERC(SE) 64 -5 SPP(SP) 49 -14 WSCC(NW) 47 +7 WSCC(RK) 40 -5 WSCC(SW) 67 +3     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 47 46 61 52 46 70 65 70 Max 54 56 62 56 55 74 74 72 Min 42 41 58 47 42 67 59 67 Range 12 15 4 9 13 7 15 5 StD-P 4.1 4.4 1.1 4.0 3.9 2.3 4.8 2.2 Count 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5   Day 9: Friday, October 26, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 38 -11 ERCOT(SP) 61 -17 FRCC(SE) 70 -7 MAAC(NE) 44 NC MAIN(CTR) 38 -12 MAPP(HP) 36 -8 NPCC(NE) 45 NC SERC(SE) 54 -14 SPP(SP) 50 -17 WSCC(NW) 53 +13 WSCC(RK) 50 +13 WSCC(SW) 69 +4     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 42 50 49 53 53 60 64 70 Max 53 58 55 59 58 64 75 75 Min 37 44 44 46 50 57 58 68 Range 16 14 11 13 8 7 17 7 StD-P 5.5 6.1 4.6 3.3 2.8 2.4 5.6 2.1 Count 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4   Day 10: Saturday, October 27, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 36 -16 ERCOT(SP) 67 -5 FRCC(SE) 64 -12 MAAC(NE) 42 -18 MAIN(CTR) 41 -1 MAPP(HP) 50 +14 NPCC(NE) 43 -11 SERC(SE) 51 -17 SPP(SP) 64 +13 WSCC(NW) 46 -5 WSCC(RK) 54 +11 WSCC(SW) 67 -3     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 39 49 42 47 46 55 61 60 Max 41 56 44 49 55 62 67 67 Min 36 37 42 45 35 51 53 51 Range 5 19 2 4 20 11 14 16 StD-P 2.1 7.3 0.6 1.2 9.2 3.5 6.2 7.0 Count 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4    Trader Summary is designed around and formatted for the  [IMAGE]Plasma displays, RainbowWall? and DataWall?   Trader Summary can also be viewed from www.syncrasy.com  or     www.apbenergy.com  or  www.truequote.com     [IMAGE]