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From KHOU-TV's Dr. Neil Frank & Reliant Energy W.A.R.N. :
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WTNT75 KNHC 292029

SPFAT5

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL

5 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2001



PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION

PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS



AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR

LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  83.5 WEST



CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES

OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT THU NOV  1 2001



LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E



14.7N  84.1W      47  X  X  X 47   MZBZ 175N 883W     X  6  7  4 17

15.9N  84.7W      25  4  X  X 29   MGPB 157N 886W     X  3  6  4 13

17.0N  85.5W      10 14  1  1 26   MHNJ 165N 859W    13 11  1  1 26

MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  X  2  2   MNPC 141N 834W    99  X  X  X 99

MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  1  7  8   MNBL 120N 839W    23  1  X  X 24

MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X  3  3   SKSP 126N 817W    10  1  1  X 12

MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  1  6  7   MMFR 185N 926W     X  X  X  5  5

MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X  4  4   MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  4  7 11

MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  3  7 10   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  2  2

MMCZ 205N 869W     X  2  9  5 16



COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT

A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE

FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES

B FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED

C FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED

D FROM  2PM WED TO  2PM THU

E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU

X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT



FORECASTER FRANKLIN





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