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[IMAGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE]        Syncrasy, LLC?   713.228.8470 Off  713.228.4147 Fax   909 Texas Avenue  Suite 1314  Houston, TX 77002         www.syncrasy.com          Sales:  713.228.4407   Development Offices:  970.247.4139 Off  970.247.7951 Fax   835 Main Avenue  Suite 221  Durango, CO 81301      	  	 [IMAGE]    Complimentary version of Trader Summary  from Syncrasy, LLC and APB Energy Inc.    - If you would like to receive this product early in the morning       please call Syncrasy at 713 228 4407 for more information       or send an email to subscribe_TraderSummary@syncrasy.com     - If you would like to be added to this daily email list       please send an email to TraderSummaryemail@syncrasy.com     - If you would like to be removed from this daily email       please reply to this email with the words "CANCEL" or send an email to cancel_tradersummary@syncrasy.com       Data last updated: Tuesday, Oct 23, 2001 at 08:45AM ET    Congratulations Andy Weingarten, APB Energy!  Winner of the $50,000 Winter 2000-01 AQUILA/AMS Seasonal Forecasting Competition. For more information please visit: AMS  or Aquila    Click here for a definition of 'Average-Daily Maximum Temperature'     Today: Tuesday, October 23, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 70 +1 ERCOT(SP) 88 NC FRCC(SE) 84 -2 MAAC(NE) 70 +1 MAIN(CTR) 67 +2 MAPP(HP) 61 +2 NPCC(NE) 58 NC SERC(SE) 83 +1 SPP(SP) 81 +1 WSCC(NW) 54 +2 WSCC(RK) 58 +1 WSCC(SW) 72 NC     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 62 56 61 47 52 78 82 70 Max 69 63 65 54 61 83 87 75 Min 58 49 58 42 47 73 74 65 Range 11 14 7 12 14 10 13 10 StD-P 3.0 4.3 2.0 4.2 4.4 3.1 4.3 2.5 Count 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10    Due to Andy Weingarten's absence there will be no commentary today.   Tomorrow: Wednesday, October 24, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 70 -1 ERCOT(SP) 86 -1 FRCC(SE) 87 +1 MAAC(NE) 76 NC MAIN(CTR) 57 -5 MAPP(HP) 47 -3 NPCC(NE) 69 +1 SERC(SE) 85 NC SPP(SP) 69 -2 WSCC(NW) 52 +1 WSCC(RK) 46 +4 WSCC(SW) 72 +2     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 57 45 67 47 42 78 77 70 Max 63 52 72 52 50 85 83 74 Min 51 39 62 42 34 73 68 65 Range 12 13 10 10 16 12 15 9 StD-P 2.4 3.5 3.2 3.2 5.2 3.7 4.9 2.7 Count 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10   Day 3: Thursday, October 25, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 51 -1 ERCOT(SP) 73 NC FRCC(SE) 86 +1 MAAC(NE) 68 +1 MAIN(CTR) 48 NC MAPP(HP) 43 NC NPCC(NE) 64 +1 SERC(SE) 74 NC SPP(SP) 62 NC WSCC(NW) 56 -1 WSCC(RK) 52 +1 WSCC(SW) 75 +1     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 43 45 62 51 50 71 67 72 Max 47 51 64 56 55 76 77 75 Min 38 38 59 47 41 68 57 67 Range 9 13 5 9 14 8 20 8 StD-P 2.5 3.6 1.6 2.7 4.5 3.2 5.2 2.1 Count 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8   Day 4: Friday, October 26, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 47 +2 ERCOT(SP) 75 +1 FRCC(SE) 77 +2 MAAC(NE) 53 +1 MAIN(CTR) 47 +2 MAPP(HP) 40 -1 NPCC(NE) 50 -1 SERC(SE) 66 +2 SPP(SP) 63 +1 WSCC(NW) 58 -2 WSCC(RK) 52 -5 WSCC(SW) 75 +2     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 41 42 45 55 48 61 66 73 Max 44 48 50 58 55 68 72 76 Min 37 35 42 51 38 55 57 69 Range 7 13 8 7 17 13 15 7 StD-P 2.7 4.6 2.0 2.3 6.4 4.2 5.9 2.4 Count 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6   Day 5: Saturday, October 27, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 43 NC ERCOT(SP) 69 -3 FRCC(SE) 75 +2 MAAC(NE) 49 +1 MAIN(CTR) 42 -4 MAPP(HP) 41 -7 NPCC(NE) 47 +1 SERC(SE) 59 +1 SPP(SP) 58 -5 WSCC(NW) 59 +3 WSCC(RK) 57 -4 WSCC(SW) 73 +2     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 36 42 42 57 52 58 60 70 Max 41 49 47 61 59 63 67 73 Min 31 34 38 54 42 52 51 66 Range 10 15 9 7 17 11 16 7 StD-P 3.0 5.5 2.4 2.3 5.9 3.7 5.8 2.2 Count 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6   Day 6: Sunday, October 28, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 44 -3 ERCOT(SP) 67 -6 FRCC(SE) 70 -3 MAAC(NE) 49 -1 MAIN(CTR) 46 -4 MAPP(HP) 47 -4 NPCC(NE) 46 -2 SERC(SE) 56 -4 SPP(SP) 59 -6 WSCC(NW) 56 +1 WSCC(RK) 61 +1 WSCC(SW) 72 +4     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 40 52 40 50 56 52 59 67 Max 48 60 46 56 62 58 70 72 Min 31 44 38 48 50 45 48 65 Range 17 16 8 8 12 13 22 7 StD-P 6.4 5.8 2.5 2.4 4.8 5.2 8.6 1.8 Count 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5   Day 7: Monday, October 29, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 49 -2 ERCOT(SP) 68 -7 FRCC(SE) 73 -1 MAAC(NE) 52 -1 MAIN(CTR) 49 -4 MAPP(HP) 49 -3 NPCC(NE) 49 NC SERC(SE) 60 -3 SPP(SP) 62 -4 WSCC(NW) 56 +1 WSCC(RK) 58 +4 WSCC(SW) 73 +5     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 43 51 41 50 53 53 61 69 Max 51 56 50 56 60 62 71 73 Min 36 45 37 47 47 45 52 67 Range 15 11 13 9 13 17 19 6 StD-P 5.9 4.6 3.4 2.3 4.8 6.1 7.1 1.5 Count 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5   Day 8: Tuesday, October 30, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 37 NC ERCOT(SP) 61 -3 FRCC(SE) 62 -1 MAAC(NE) 38 +3 MAIN(CTR) 43 -3 MAPP(HP) 49 NC NPCC(NE) 38 NC SERC(SE) 43 -4 SPP(SP) 55 -2 WSCC(NW) 52 +4 WSCC(RK) 49 +5 WSCC(SW) 70 +8     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 46 53 42 52 51 54 63 69 Max 53 58 52 57 59 65 71 72 Min 42 47 38 46 46 47 60 63 Range 11 11 14 11 13 18 11 9 StD-P 4.2 3.4 5.1 2.3 3.7 6.3 3.9 2.7 Count 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5   Day 9: Wednesday, October 31, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 44 +2 ERCOT(SP) 61 -2 FRCC(SE) 66 -2 MAAC(NE) 45 +1 MAIN(CTR) 47 NC MAPP(HP) 48 -5 NPCC(NE) 43 -1 SERC(SE) 47 -3 SPP(SP) 54 -3 WSCC(NW) 54 +8 WSCC(RK) 49 +3 WSCC(SW) 68 +10     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 49 53 47 50 49 57 64 65 Max 55 57 51 54 50 63 69 68 Min 46 50 43 46 49 51 60 62 Range 9 7 8 8 1 12 9 6 StD-P 3.4 2.7 3.2 3.6 0.5 6.0 4.1 2.9 Count 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4   Day 10: Thursday, November  1, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 45 +2 ERCOT(SP) 61 -4 FRCC(SE) 67 -4 MAAC(NE) 47 NC MAIN(CTR) 46 NC MAPP(HP) 47 -4 NPCC(NE) 45 -1 SERC(SE) 50 -5 SPP(SP) 58 NC WSCC(NW) 48 +5 WSCC(RK) 52 +10 WSCC(SW) 68 +8     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 44 49 43 42 45 54 59 58 Max 45 53 45 48 53 57 61 68 Min 42 42 36 35 34 51 56 48 Range 3 11 9 13 19 6 5 20 StD-P 1.1 3.9 3.4 6.2 7.4 1.6 1.8 9.7 Count 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4    Trader Summary is designed around and formatted for the  [IMAGE]Plasma displays, RainbowWall? and DataWall?   Trader Summary can also be viewed from www.syncrasy.com  or     www.apbenergy.com  or  www.truequote.com     [IMAGE]