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[IMAGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE]        Syncrasy, LLC?   713.228.8470 Off  713.228.4147 Fax   909 Texas Avenue  Suite 1314  Houston, TX 77002         www.syncrasy.com          Sales:  713.228.4407   Development Offices:  970.247.4139 Off  970.247.7951 Fax   835 Main Avenue  Suite 221  Durango, CO 81301      	  	 [IMAGE]    Complimentary version of Trader Summary  from Syncrasy, LLC and APB Energy Inc.    - If you would like to receive this product early in the morning       please call Syncrasy at 713 228 4407 for more information       or send an email to subscribe_TraderSummary@syncrasy.com     - If you would like to be added to this daily email list       please send an email to TraderSummaryemail@syncrasy.com     - If you would like to be removed from this daily email       please reply to this email with the words "CANCEL" or send an email to cancel_tradersummary@syncrasy.com       Data last updated: Wednesday, Jan 16, 2002 at 07:34AM EST    Congratulations Andy Weingarten, APB Energy!  Winner of the $50,000 Winter 2000-01 AQUILA/AMS Seasonal Forecasting Competition. For more information please visit: AMS  or Aquila    New! >> Printable PDF Trader Summary  (You must have Adobe Acrobat Reader  to open or print a PDF)   Click here for a definition of 'Average-Daily Maximum Temperature'      Today: Wednesday, January 16, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 38 +2 ERCOT(SP) 69 +2 FRCC(SE) 71 -1 MAAC(NE) 41 NC MAIN(CTR) 36 +3 MAPP(HP) 25 +4 NPCC(NE) 33 +1 SERC(SE) 56 NC SPP(SP) 50 +1 WSCC(NW) 37 +4 WSCC(RK) 27 +4 WSCC(SW) 54 +2     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 31 27 32 33 21 54 61 49 Max 36 31 36 37 28 60 65 55 Min 29 22 28 29 15 50 56 46 Range 7 9 8 8 13 10 9 9 StD-P 1.4 2.2 2.4 2.2 4.1 3.2 2.5 2.7 Count 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 Click Here  to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix     Andy Weingarten is out of the office; Due to his absence there will be no commentary today.       Tomorrow: Thursday, January 17, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 35 NC ERCOT(SP) 68 +6 FRCC(SE) 75 NC MAAC(NE) 43 -1 MAIN(CTR) 27 +1 MAPP(HP) 21 +2 NPCC(NE) 34 +1 SERC(SE) 58 NC SPP(SP) 43 +4 WSCC(NW) 35 -2 WSCC(RK) 24 NC WSCC(SW) 53 NC     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 27 24 35 32 22 58 59 49 Max 32 29 38 36 28 61 63 54 Min 24 20 31 27 14 55 55 45 Range 8 9 7 9 14 6 8 9 StD-P 2.1 2.2 1.4 2.6 4.1 2.2 2.4 2.9 Count 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 Click Here  to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Day 3: Friday, January 18, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 31 NC ERCOT(SP) 61 -2 FRCC(SE) 77 -1 MAAC(NE) 38 +1 MAIN(CTR) 23 -3 MAPP(HP) 12 -3 NPCC(NE) 32 +2 SERC(SE) 54 NC SPP(SP) 37 -2 WSCC(NW) 33 -2 WSCC(RK) 22 -1 WSCC(SW) 51 -1     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 21 20 30 30 22 56 56 48 Max 28 25 37 34 27 61 61 53 Min 14 14 25 25 15 53 53 43 Range 14 11 12 9 12 8 8 10 StD-P 3.2 3.9 3.3 3.3 4.0 2.4 2.4 2.8 Count 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 Click Here  to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix    Day 4: Saturday, January 19, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 29 -4 ERCOT(SP) 62 +4 FRCC(SE) 79 NC MAAC(NE) 36 -1 MAIN(CTR) 25 -5 MAPP(HP) 20 -5 NPCC(NE) 27 -1 SERC(SE) 52 -4 SPP(SP) 36 -6 WSCC(NW) 36 -2 WSCC(RK) 26 -3 WSCC(SW) 51 -2     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 24 24 27 32 21 57 57 46 Max 31 29 33 36 26 59 63 52 Min 19 19 20 28 12 56 54 41 Range 12 10 13 8 14 3 9 11 StD-P 3.6 3.0 3.0 1.6 5.0 1.0 2.9 3.3 Count 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Click Here  to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Day 5: Sunday, January 20, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 33 -4 ERCOT(SP) 59 -1 FRCC(SE) 79 +1 MAAC(NE) 37 -1 MAIN(CTR) 30 -5 MAPP(HP) 25 -5 NPCC(NE) 29 -3 SERC(SE) 53 -3 SPP(SP) 43 -3 WSCC(NW) 40 -1 WSCC(RK) 31 -2 WSCC(SW) 54 NC     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 27 29 28 35 24 58 54 48 Max 32 34 34 40 31 61 60 54 Min 23 25 21 32 17 54 46 44 Range 9 9 13 8 14 7 14 10 StD-P 2.7 2.3 4.3 1.5 5.2 1.7 4.4 2.3 Count 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Click Here  to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix    Day 6: Monday, January 21, 2002  Click Here  for Syncrasy's 6-10 summary information.  Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 35 -6 ERCOT(SP) 60 -3 FRCC(SE) 75 -2 MAAC(NE) 41 -4 MAIN(CTR) 33 -3 MAPP(HP) 28 -3 NPCC(NE) 30 -6 SERC(SE) 55 -4 SPP(SP) 46 -4 WSCC(NW) 41 +1 WSCC(RK) 35 -1 WSCC(SW) 56 -1     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 29 32 30 36 29 55 53 49 Max 33 36 33 41 35 59 59 56 Min 27 29 25 33 24 52 42 43 Range 6 7 8 8 11 7 17 13 StD-P 1.4 2.1 1.9 2.2 3.1 2.5 5.3 3.3 Count 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Click Here  to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Day 7: Tuesday, January 22, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 38 -4 ERCOT(SP) 63 -3 FRCC(SE) 72 -4 MAAC(NE) 41 -3 MAIN(CTR) 36 -1 MAPP(HP) 31 +2 NPCC(NE) 31 -3 SERC(SE) 55 -6 SPP(SP) 51 -1 WSCC(NW) 40 +1 WSCC(RK) 35 +3 WSCC(SW) 56 NC     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 33 34 30 34 30 55 59 48 Max 38 37 34 41 37 60 67 56 Min 30 30 24 30 25 47 53 41 Range 8 7 10 11 12 13 14 15 StD-P 2.5 2.0 2.9 3.9 3.7 3.9 3.8 4.6 Count 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Click Here  to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix    Day 8: Wednesday, January 23, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 37 -10 ERCOT(SP) 63 +5 FRCC(SE) 68 -4 MAAC(NE) 36 -19 MAIN(CTR) 39 NC MAPP(HP) 31 +10 NPCC(NE) 32 -9 SERC(SE) 53 -12 SPP(SP) 46 +3 WSCC(NW) 32 +2 WSCC(RK) 15 +2 WSCC(SW) 41 -2     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 36 30 35 35 24 59 60 47 Max 44 35 44 40 36 64 65 56 Min 30 27 28 28 14 56 59 40 Range 14 8 16 12 22 8 6 16 StD-P 3.4 1.9 3.0 3.2 7.4 2.5 1.4 6.0 Count 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Click Here  to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Day 9: Thursday, January 24, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 44 +21 ERCOT(SP) 48 +7 FRCC(SE) 71 +1 MAAC(NE) 52 +1 MAIN(CTR) 35 +20 MAPP(HP) 22 +4 NPCC(NE) 42 -2 SERC(SE) 60 +10 SPP(SP) 35 -3 WSCC(NW) 33 -2 WSCC(RK) 18 -10 WSCC(SW) 46 -4     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 32 26 40 35 22 61 52 47 Max 34 31 47 39 33 66 60 55 Min 27 21 33 29 15 56 45 42 Range 7 10 14 10 18 10 15 13 StD-P 1.7 2.8 5.2 2.7 5.5 1.7 4.8 3.9 Count 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 Click Here  to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix    Day 10: Friday, January 25, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 26 +1 ERCOT(SP) 45 -3 FRCC(SE) 69 +16 MAAC(NE) 43 +20 MAIN(CTR) 15 -18 MAPP(HP) 2 -34 NPCC(NE) 42 +26 SERC(SE) 45 +3 SPP(SP) 33 -10 WSCC(NW) 36 +1 WSCC(RK) 21 -12 WSCC(SW) 49 -4     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 18 20 36 33 15 52 39 39 Max 22 22 42 36 20 58 44 49 Min 13 17 28 30 6 49 34 29 Range 9 5 14 6 14 9 10 20 StD-P 3.3 1.7 4.2 2.4 4.8 3.3 3.5 7.9 Count 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 Click Here  to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix    Trader Summary is designed around and formatted for the  [IMAGE]Plasma displays, RainbowWall? and DataWall?   Trader Summary can also be viewed from www.syncrasy.com  or     www.apbenergy.com  or  www.truequote.com     [IMAGE]