[IMAGE] Syncrasy, LLC?   713.228.8470 Off  713.228.4147 Fax   909 Texas Avenue  Suite 1314  Houston, TX 77002         www.syncrasy.com         Sales:  713.228.4407   Development Offices:  970.247.4139 Off  970.247.7951 Fax   835 Main Avenue  Suite 221  Durango, CO 81301      	  	    [IMAGE]Complimentary version of Trader Summary  from Syncrasy, LLC and APB Energy Inc.   [IMAGE]- If you would like to receive this product early in the morning     please call Syncrasy at [IMAGE]713 228 4407for more information       or send an email to subscribe_TraderSummary@syncrasy.com    [IMAGE]- If you would like to be added to this daily email list     please send an email to TraderSummaryemail@syncrasy.com    [IMAGE]- If you would like to be removed from this daily email     please reply to this email with the words "CANCEL" or send an email to cancel_tradersummary@syncrasy.com      Data last updated: Wednesday, Dec 26, 2001 at 08:22AM EST    [IMAGE]Congratulations Andy Weingarten, APB Energy!  Winner of the $50,000 Winter 2000-01 AQUILA/AMS Seasonal Forecasting Competition. For more information please visit: AMS or Aquila   [IMAGE]New! >> Printable [IMAGE]PDFTrader Summary (You must have Adobe Acrobat Reader to open or print a PDF)   Click here for a definition of 'Average-Daily Maximum Temperature'     Today: Wednesday, December 26, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 24 NC ERCOT(SP) 56 NC FRCC(SE) 61 -2 MAAC(NE) 35 NC MAIN(CTR) 20 +2 MAPP(HP) 22 +3 NPCC(NE) 32 +2 SERC(SE) 45 +1 SPP(SP) 41 +2 WSCC(NW) 38 -2 WSCC(RK) 35 NC WSCC(SW) 57 NC     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 20 28 31 35 27 45 45 51 Max 24 34 34 38 36 49 54 57 Min 17 23 28 32 19 40 36 47 Range 7 11 6 6 17 9 18 10 StD-P 1.2 3.2 1.7 1.6 4.9 2.3 5.2 2.9 Count 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Tomorrow: Thursday, December 27, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 25 +3 ERCOT(SP) 61 +2 FRCC(SE) 61 NC MAAC(NE) 32 +1 MAIN(CTR) 27 +3 MAPP(HP) 24 +4 NPCC(NE) 28 -1 SERC(SE) 46 +2 SPP(SP) 44 +3 WSCC(NW) 40 NC WSCC(RK) 34 +2 WSCC(SW) 58 +1     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 24 29 28 38 29 46 52 53 Max 28 34 33 41 37 52 61 57 Min 20 25 23 36 22 42 45 49 Range 8 9 10 5 15 10 16 8 StD-P 1.9 3.2 2.2 1.1 4.6 2.7 3.8 2.9 Count 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix    Day 3: Friday, December 28, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 29 +3 ERCOT(SP) 63 +3 FRCC(SE) 70 +3 MAAC(NE) 37 +4 MAIN(CTR) 26 +1 MAPP(HP) 14 -1 NPCC(NE) 30 +2 SERC(SE) 51 +3 SPP(SP) 44 +2 WSCC(NW) 44 +2 WSCC(RK) 31 +2 WSCC(SW) 57 NC     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 22 24 28 41 32 51 54 54 Max 24 35 31 44 36 54 59 58 Min 16 19 23 38 27 49 44 49 Range 8 16 8 6 9 5 15 9 StD-P 1.8 3.7 2.0 1.3 3.2 1.4 4.3 2.6 Count 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Day 4: Saturday, December 29, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 25 NC ERCOT(SP) 59 +3 FRCC(SE) 71 +4 MAAC(NE) 36 +3 MAIN(CTR) 19 NC MAPP(HP) 9 -2 NPCC(NE) 30 +1 SERC(SE) 48 +2 SPP(SP) 35 +2 WSCC(NW) 42 +2 WSCC(RK) 28 +2 WSCC(SW) 57 NC     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 18 18 27 41 31 51 52 53 Max 22 24 31 45 36 54 61 58 Min 14 10 21 37 25 46 44 49 Range 8 14 10 8 11 8 17 9 StD-P 2.9 4.5 2.1 2.0 3.2 2.5 5.0 2.5 Count 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix    Day 5: Sunday, December 30, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 22 -2 ERCOT(SP) 58 +8 FRCC(SE) 67 +1 MAAC(NE) 31 -1 MAIN(CTR) 19 NC MAPP(HP) 9 -3 NPCC(NE) 28 +1 SERC(SE) 44 +2 SPP(SP) 34 +3 WSCC(NW) 41 +1 WSCC(RK) 27 -1 WSCC(SW) 57 +1     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 16 16 25 39 29 47 50 53 Max 21 21 28 42 34 53 57 57 Min 11 10 18 35 23 40 44 49 Range 10 11 10 7 11 13 13 8 StD-P 2.6 3.4 3.1 2.5 2.8 4.3 3.9 2.2 Count 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Day 6: Monday, December 31, 2001  Click Here for Syncrasy's 6-10 summary information.  Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 24 -2 ERCOT(SP) 50 +5 FRCC(SE) 66 NC MAAC(NE) 30 -3 MAIN(CTR) 20 -3 MAPP(HP) 12 -8 NPCC(NE) 26 -1 SERC(SE) 42 -1 SPP(SP) 31 -4 WSCC(NW) 42 NC WSCC(RK) 26 -5 WSCC(SW) 56 NC     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 16 16 25 40 26 47 45 53 Max 20 21 30 44 33 56 53 58 Min 10 8 16 36 15 40 38 48 Range 10 13 14 8 18 16 15 10 StD-P 2.6 4.3 3.5 2.0 6.3 4.6 5.1 2.9 Count 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix    Day 7: Tuesday, January  1, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 27 -2 ERCOT(SP) 50 -2 FRCC(SE) 67 NC MAAC(NE) 35 NC MAIN(CTR) 23 -3 MAPP(HP) 16 -9 NPCC(NE) 27 NC SERC(SE) 43 -1 SPP(SP) 34 -5 WSCC(NW) 42 -1 WSCC(RK) 31 -4 WSCC(SW) 57 +1     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 17 18 24 41 29 42 41 53 Max 21 25 29 47 38 47 51 56 Min 12 11 17 38 20 35 29 49 Range 9 14 12 9 18 12 22 7 StD-P 2.6 4.6 3.4 1.9 4.7 4.6 7.4 2.6 Count 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Day 8: Wednesday, January  2, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 15 -4 ERCOT(SP) 36 +1 FRCC(SE) 62 +3 MAAC(NE) 24 NC MAIN(CTR) 13 -8 MAPP(HP) 6 -19 NPCC(NE) 17 -2 SERC(SE) 32 +1 SPP(SP) 20 -12 WSCC(NW) 42 -3 WSCC(RK) 24 -4 WSCC(SW) 49 -2     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 17 21 23 42 29 43 43 53 Max 22 26 30 44 35 49 59 56 Min 12 14 17 37 22 37 32 48 Range 10 12 13 7 13 12 27 8 StD-P 3.4 4.8 4.0 1.0 4.7 4.1 7.2 3.0 Count 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix    Day 9: Thursday, January  3, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 17 -6 ERCOT(SP) 35 -8 FRCC(SE) 59 +4 MAAC(NE) 26 NC MAIN(CTR) 11 -9 MAPP(HP) 16 -5 NPCC(NE) 16 -6 SERC(SE) 32 -5 SPP(SP) 22 -14 WSCC(NW) 41 +1 WSCC(RK) 33 +6 WSCC(SW) 53 +2     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 19 26 23 41 32 42 44 53 Max 24 29 29 44 36 49 56 56 Min 13 20 18 37 23 37 32 49 Range 11 9 11 7 13 12 24 7 StD-P 3.8 2.8 4.2 1.1 2.6 4.0 8.3 1.6 Count 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Day 10: Friday, January  4, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.  Volatility Matrix      (Click on image to enlarge)     ECAR(CTR) 17 -2 ERCOT(SP) 48 +3 FRCC(SE) 53 -6 MAAC(NE) 24 -1 MAIN(CTR) 21 -4 MAPP(HP) 32 -3 NPCC(NE) 19 +2 SERC(SE) 31 -7 SPP(SP) 41 -2 WSCC(NW) 42 +3 WSCC(RK) 27 -2 WSCC(SW) 54 +3     Range Standard Deviation     Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 19 27 21 38 27 37 44 47 Max 23 35 24 41 30 40 51 54 Min 12 18 19 36 23 35 39 40 Range 11 17 5 5 7 5 12 14 StD-P 2.7 5.4 1.8 2.3 2.1 2.1 4.1 5.5 Count 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 Click Here to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix     Trader Summary is designed around and formatted for the  Plasma displays, RainbowWall? and DataWall?   Trader Summary can also be viewed from www.syncrasy.com or     www.apbenergy.com or  www.truequote.com