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From KHOU-TV's Dr. Neil Frank & Reliant Energy W.A.R.N. :
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WTNT74 KNHC 292031

SPFAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL

4 PM EST MON OCT 29 2001



PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION

PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS



AT 4 PM EST...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR

LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  44.2 WEST



CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES

OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM EST THU NOV  1 2001



LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E



31.3N  45.6W      36  X  1  X 37   38.5N  40.5W       X  1 15  X 16

34.5N  43.8W       2 20  3  X 25



COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT

A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM TUE

FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES

B FROM  1PM TUE TO  1AM WED

C FROM  1AM WED TO  1PM WED

D FROM  1PM WED TO  1PM THU

E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM THU

X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT



FORECASTER FRANKLIN





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