FYI

Vince
---------------------- Forwarded by Vince J Kaminski/HOU/ECT on 04/12/2001 03:15 PM ---------------------------


evan@syncrasy.com on 04/12/2001 01:31:37 PM
To:	vkamins@ect.enron.com
cc:	 
Subject:	Syncrasy prepares you for the summer



[IMAGE]	


[IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE]    Syncrasy, LLC?    713.228.8470 Off   713.228.4147 Fax   909 Texas Avenue     Suite 1314      Houston, TX 77002   www.syncrasy.com   Sales:                   713.228.4407   Development Offices:   970.247.4139 Off   970.247.7951 Fax   835 Main Avenue       Suite 221        Durango, CO 81301  	   Is your Company financially susceptible  to weather fluctuations?              [IMAGE]Syncrasy's Weather Analysis Tool (SWAT? will help.  Does weather forecast uncertainty  slow the speed  at which your business makes decisions?              [IMAGE]Examine Syncrasy's application Forecast Analysis and Confidence Trading System (FACTS?   How accurate is your current weather information?              [IMAGE]Examine Syncrasy's application Weather Analysis and Vendor Evaluation System (WAVES?      How timely is your current weather information?              [IMAGE]Examine Syncrasy's Model Status  page.        SPOT WEATHER ANOMOLIES QUICKLY  Using Syncrasy's proprietary visualization tools, a user can quickly compare the output of up to 4 weather forecasting models for a specific time period. Syncrasy's visualization tool projects each model over an identical national grid, and a zoom feature allows synchronized zooming into any particular region of the continental US. For an example, view the Multi-Panel Graphic?  on our website.      [IMAGE]   QUANTIFY YOUR WEATHER RISK     [IMAGE]   Syncrasy provides individual forecasts for over 1,600 weather stations in the continental US. For any one of these stations, you can compare all 14 weather forecasts side-by-side either to gain statistical confidence in a particular outcome or to quantify the weather risk of a specific forecast.  If you rely on weather forecasts, you should be aware of the extent to which all 14 forecasts agree (or disagree) with each other. For an example, visit Syncrasy's  Forecast Analysis and Confidence Trading System (FACTS)?  on our website.   WHICH WEATHER FORECAST IS MORE ACCURATE?  Discover which weather forecast has been historically the most accurate for a particular city over any selected time period (such as last week, month, season, etc.). Refine your analysis with data filters.  For example, use a filter to determine which of the weather forecasting models is most accurate when actual temperatures are greater than 90 degrees, or when temperatures change more than 10 degrees within an hour.  For an example, see Syncrasy's  Weather Accuracy & Vendor Evaluation System (WAVES)?  on our website.   CONDUCT DETAILED, PRECISE ANALYSES USING "DIFFERENCE GRAPHICS"     "Difference Graphics" refers to the spatially calculated difference for a single output. Difference Graphics allows a user to analyze discrepancies between any 2 weather forecasting models for any time period.  For example, using Difference Graphics, a user can view the difference in surface temperature between "Weather Vendor A" and "Weather Vendor B" across the US for tomorrow at 2pm.  A user could also view how "Weather Vendor A" has changed since the prior forecast. For an example visit Syncrasy's   Difference Graphics.       [IMAGE]          ENHANCE YOUR WEATHER COMPARISONS TO INCLUDE TRAILING AVERAGES  The meteorological community frequently relies on one dataset for comparative purposes: the "30 year average." This "30 year average," however, may not be an ideal comparison as it is defined as the 30 year average over the period from 1961 to 1990. Syncrasy broadens the user's information by including options allowing users to compare any weather forecast to the trailing 30, 15, 10, or 5 year averages.    A REAL COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE: YOU HAVE THE INFORMATION FIRST!      [IMAGE]        Syncrasy's"Mach-5" technique expeditiously reports information to users in advance of typical weather data feeds which may experience bottlenecks during peak traffic (or rely on slower satellite communication). To prove Syncrasy's superior reporting speed, our system allows users to test our reporting speed for themselves by comparing our time stamps to that of their best alternative weather data source. Syncrasy records the time at which each weather forecast is available on Syncrasy's system (timestamp in dark green) as well as the anticipated time the weather forecast should update (timestamp in black). Users will find our data reports FIRST offering them a valuable competitive advantage! For an example, visit Syncrasy's  Model Status.     Syncrasy's Weather Analysis Tool (SWAT?  SWAT? collects timely and comprehensive  meteorologically diverse weather forecasts   from multiple forecasting groups, such as National Weather Service, universities, armed services, NASA and other research oriented institutions.  The data is integrated into a single analysis platform.  This platform includes a number of tools which may be useful to a trader and/or meteorologist.  For example, SWAT? assists users in the following tasks:  identifying and quantifying weather risk for some future time period; tracking the historical performance of different weather forecasting methodologies; and, creating a proprietary forecast.   SWAT?currently collects  14 forecasts  covering next hour through 16 days in the future.  This data (and risk analysis) is available on the SWAT?before most companies (especially those companies that depend on traditional satellite links).  All these weather forecasts can be viewed graphically (as a national view or hemispheric view, were applicable) or viewed in a tabular format.   SWAT?FEATURES:  Compare SWAT features  to other products in the marketplace.    SYNCRASY?is designed for use by:      Meteorologists          Power Analysts           Power Traders           Risk Management           Executives   At Syncrasy?we believe our system to be the only available service of its kind. Our research has found no other data source as comprehensive for statistical analysis of weather forecast performance. As a Subscriber to our service, you will have use of cutting edge technology at your fingertips. It is fast, reliable, and easy to use.   SUBSCRIBE TODAY!    Sales Office  713-228-4407   or    Online at www.syncrasy.com       [IMAGE]     909 Texas Ave., Suite 1314      713.228.8470  Main      www.syncrasy.com    835 Main Ave., Suite 221      970.247.4139 Main    Houston, TX  77002   713.228.4147  Fax   Durango, CO  81301    970.247.7951 Fax    713.228.4407  Sales