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[IMAGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE]        Syncrasy, LLC?   713.228.8470 Off  713.228.4147 Fax   909 Texas Avenue  Suite 1314  Houston, TX 77002         www.syncrasy.com          Sales:  713.228.4407   Development Offices:  970.247.4139 Off  970.247.7951 Fax   835 Main Avenue  Suite 221  Durango, CO 81301      	  	 [IMAGE]    Complimentary version of Trader Summary  from Syncrasy, LLC and APB Energy Inc.    - If you would like to receive this product early in the morning       please call Syncrasy at 713 228 4407 for more information       or send an email to subscribe_TraderSummary@syncrasy.com     - If you would like to be added to this daily email list       please send an email to TraderSummaryemail@syncrasy.com     - If you would like to be removed from this daily email       please reply to this email with the words "CANCEL" or send an email to cancel_tradersummary@syncrasy.com       Data last updated: Thursday, Jan 17, 2002 at 11:50AM EST    Congratulations Andy Weingarten, APB Energy!  Winner of the $50,000 Winter 2000-01 AQUILA/AMS Seasonal Forecasting Competition. For more information please visit: AMS  or Aquila    New! >> Printable PDF Trader Summary  (You must have Adobe Acrobat Reader  to open or print a PDF)   Click here for a definition of 'Average-Daily Maximum Temperature'      Today: Thursday, January 17, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 36 +1 ERCOT(SP) 67 NC FRCC(SE) 75 NC MAAC(NE) 48 +4 MAIN(CTR) 28 +1 MAPP(HP) 22 +1 NPCC(NE) 36 +2 SERC(SE) 58 NC SPP(SP) 44 +1 WSCC(NW) 36 +1 WSCC(RK) 24 NC WSCC(SW) 54 +1     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 27 23 36 32 21 58 58 49 Max 32 27 39 36 26 61 62 54 Min 25 20 31 27 14 54 53 46 Range 7 7 8 9 12 7 9 8 StD-P 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.8 3.7 2.4 2.6 2.3 Count 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 Click Here  to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix      Andy Weingarten is out of the office; Due to his absence there will be no commentary today.       Tomorrow: Friday, January 18, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 30 -1 ERCOT(SP) 59 -2 FRCC(SE) 76 NC MAAC(NE) 38 -2 MAIN(CTR) 23 NC MAPP(HP) 13 +1 NPCC(NE) 32 NC SERC(SE) 52 -2 SPP(SP) 38 -1 WSCC(NW) 33 +1 WSCC(RK) 23 +1 WSCC(SW) 52 +2     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 22 21 31 32 21 56 55 49 Max 29 25 38 35 25 61 61 53 Min 17 16 26 25 14 54 50 44 Range 12 9 12 10 11 7 11 9 StD-P 2.8 2.7 3.0 2.6 3.6 1.9 2.6 2.9 Count 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 Click Here  to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Day 3: Saturday, January 19, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 30 +1 ERCOT(SP) 59 -4 FRCC(SE) 79 +1 MAAC(NE) 34 -3 MAIN(CTR) 28 +3 MAPP(HP) 24 +4 NPCC(NE) 27 NC SERC(SE) 48 -4 SPP(SP) 40 +4 WSCC(NW) 36 NC WSCC(RK) 29 +3 WSCC(SW) 52 NC     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 25 26 27 33 23 57 54 47 Max 29 32 33 37 29 59 59 52 Min 22 21 23 30 17 54 50 42 Range 7 11 10 7 12 5 9 10 StD-P 2.4 2.7 2.7 1.3 3.2 1.7 2.5 3.3 Count 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 Click Here  to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix    Day 4: Sunday, January 20, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 36 +3 ERCOT(SP) 62 +3 FRCC(SE) 77 -2 MAAC(NE) 40 +3 MAIN(CTR) 33 +3 MAPP(HP) 27 +2 NPCC(NE) 32 +3 SERC(SE) 52 -1 SPP(SP) 48 +5 WSCC(NW) 40 NC WSCC(RK) 32 +1 WSCC(SW) 54 NC     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 28 30 29 35 24 54 53 49 Max 33 34 34 40 32 57 58 54 Min 26 27 25 32 18 48 45 45 Range 7 7 9 8 14 9 13 9 StD-P 1.8 1.6 2.6 1.7 4.0 2.7 3.8 2.3 Count 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Click Here  to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Day 5: Monday, January 21, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 38 +3 ERCOT(SP) 65 +5 FRCC(SE) 75 NC MAAC(NE) 42 +1 MAIN(CTR) 37 +4 MAPP(HP) 31 +3 NPCC(NE) 34 +4 SERC(SE) 58 +4 SPP(SP) 53 +7 WSCC(NW) 41 NC WSCC(RK) 39 +3 WSCC(SW) 57 +1     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 33 34 34 36 31 57 58 51 Max 37 42 38 41 40 61 62 57 Min 31 30 31 33 26 51 54 46 Range 6 12 7 8 14 10 8 11 StD-P 1.5 2.9 1.7 2.0 2.8 3.0 2.4 2.3 Count 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Click Here  to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix    Day 6: Tuesday, January 22, 2002  Click Here  for Syncrasy's 6-10 summary information.  Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 43 +5 ERCOT(SP) 70 +7 FRCC(SE) 75 +3 MAAC(NE) 45 +3 MAIN(CTR) 41 +5 MAPP(HP) 31 NC NPCC(NE) 36 +5 SERC(SE) 59 +4 SPP(SP) 55 +4 WSCC(NW) 39 -1 WSCC(RK) 34 -1 WSCC(SW) 56 NC     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 35 33 35 34 30 59 61 51 Max 38 38 39 41 39 62 66 57 Min 32 29 31 29 24 56 58 45 Range 6 9 8 12 15 6 8 12 StD-P 1.9 2.3 1.7 4.0 4.7 1.8 1.7 3.1 Count 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Click Here  to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Day 7: Wednesday, January 23, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 42 +3 ERCOT(SP) 68 +4 FRCC(SE) 75 +2 MAAC(NE) 47 +5 MAIN(CTR) 35 NC MAPP(HP) 24 -3 NPCC(NE) 38 +5 SERC(SE) 60 +5 SPP(SP) 47 +1 WSCC(NW) 39 -1 WSCC(RK) 31 NC WSCC(SW) 57 +2     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 35 29 37 34 24 61 62 50 Max 43 39 41 39 39 62 67 57 Min 31 23 34 29 15 60 57 44 Range 12 16 7 10 24 2 10 13 StD-P 3.4 3.8 2.1 3.7 7.7 0.7 2.9 3.7 Count 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Click Here  to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix    Day 8: Thursday, January 24, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 33 -11 ERCOT(SP) 60 +12 FRCC(SE) 72 +1 MAAC(NE) 38 -14 MAIN(CTR) 26 -9 MAPP(HP) 21 NC NPCC(NE) 31 -11 SERC(SE) 60 NC SPP(SP) 36 NC WSCC(NW) 35 +2 WSCC(RK) 24 +6 WSCC(SW) 47 +1     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 32 28 38 37 25 62 56 50 Max 38 31 50 42 35 66 64 57 Min 27 24 33 32 16 59 45 47 Range 11 7 17 10 19 7 19 10 StD-P 4.0 1.9 3.6 2.8 5.7 1.8 3.5 3.4 Count 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 Click Here  to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Day 9: Friday, January 25, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 29 +4 ERCOT(SP) 45 NC FRCC(SE) 70 +1 MAAC(NE) 41 -1 MAIN(CTR) 29 +14 MAPP(HP) 33 +31 NPCC(NE) 24 -19 SERC(SE) 52 +7 SPP(SP) 40 +7 WSCC(NW) 38 +2 WSCC(RK) 31 +10 WSCC(SW) 53 +3     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 27 31 38 37 31 57 49 52 Max 30 38 51 42 37 60 56 58 Min 19 26 28 32 26 48 43 50 Range 11 12 23 10 11 12 13 8 StD-P 2.4 4.3 6.9 2.6 2.7 2.7 4.0 2.3 Count 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 Click Here  to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix    Day 10: Saturday, January 26, 2002   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 34 +28 ERCOT(SP) 52 +2 FRCC(SE) 54 +1 MAAC(NE) 27 +1 MAIN(CTR) 41 +42 MAPP(HP) 42 +49 NPCC(NE) 16 -10 SERC(SE) 44 +5 SPP(SP) 49 +11 WSCC(NW) 38 NC WSCC(RK) 35 +2 WSCC(SW) 54 NC     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 29 33 23 32 27 43 45 45 Max 39 43 26 38 34 46 51 54 Min 19 24 19 29 18 38 33 36 Range 20 19 7 9 16 8 18 18 StD-P 7.0 6.8 2.7 3.7 5.5 2.5 6.3 7.7 Count 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 Click Here  to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix    Trader Summary is designed around and formatted for the  [IMAGE]Plasma displays, RainbowWall? and DataWall?   Trader Summary can also be viewed from www.syncrasy.com  or     www.apbenergy.com  or  www.truequote.com     [IMAGE]