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[IMAGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE]        Syncrasy, LLC?   713.228.8470 Off  713.228.4147 Fax   909 Texas Avenue  Suite 1314  Houston, TX 77002         www.syncrasy.com          Sales:  713.228.4407   Development Offices:  970.247.4139 Off  970.247.7951 Fax   835 Main Avenue  Suite 221  Durango, CO 81301      	  	 [IMAGE]    Complimentary version of Trader Summary  from Syncrasy, LLC and APB Energy Inc.    - If you would like to receive this product early in the morning       please call Syncrasy at 713 228 4407 for more information       or send an email to subscribe_TraderSummary@syncrasy.com     - If you would like to be added to this daily email list       please send an email to TraderSummaryemail@syncrasy.com     - If you would like to be removed from this daily email       please reply to this email with the words "CANCEL" or send an email to cancel_tradersummary@syncrasy.com       Data last updated: Friday, Nov 23, 2001 at 08:30AM EST    Congratulations Andy Weingarten, APB Energy!  Winner of the $50,000 Winter 2000-01 AQUILA/AMS Seasonal Forecasting Competition. For more information please visit: AMS  or Aquila    Click here for a definition of 'Average-Daily Maximum Temperature'     Today: Friday, November 23, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 58 +1 ERCOT(SP) 77 +1 FRCC(SE) 78 -1 MAAC(NE) 57 -1 MAIN(CTR) 56 -1 MAPP(HP) 48 +1 NPCC(NE) 50 NC SERC(SE) 67 -2 SPP(SP) 66 +3 WSCC(NW) 47 +2 WSCC(RK) 40 +1 WSCC(SW) 59 +2     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 52 45 48 41 33 67 70 54 Max 57 49 55 47 41 71 75 59 Min 50 43 44 38 29 65 63 50 Range 7 6 11 9 12 6 12 9 StD-P 1.8 2.2 3.7 2.7 3.5 1.7 3.2 2.8 Count 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 Click Here  to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Tomorrow: Saturday, November 24, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 63 -2 ERCOT(SP) 70 NC FRCC(SE) 81 NC MAAC(NE) 59 -3 MAIN(CTR) 60 +1 MAPP(HP) 47 NC NPCC(NE) 56 +1 SERC(SE) 70 -1 SPP(SP) 59 NC WSCC(NW) 43 -1 WSCC(RK) 37 +1 WSCC(SW) 56 +2     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 55 40 54 38 31 70 63 52 Max 59 44 60 43 38 72 69 58 Min 53 38 50 35 25 68 55 48 Range 6 6 10 8 13 4 14 10 StD-P 1.5 1.7 2.2 2.4 3.8 1.7 3.7 2.6 Count 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 Click Here  to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Day 3: Sunday, November 25, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 56 -1 ERCOT(SP) 69 NC FRCC(SE) 80 +1 MAAC(NE) 62 NC MAIN(CTR) 50 +1 MAPP(HP) 39 +1 NPCC(NE) 57 -1 SERC(SE) 68 NC SPP(SP) 60 +1 WSCC(NW) 42 -1 WSCC(RK) 40 NC WSCC(SW) 55 -1     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 46 39 56 37 37 67 62 50 Max 48 43 59 43 45 71 69 55 Min 44 36 52 33 33 64 53 48 Range 4 7 7 10 12 7 16 7 StD-P 1.2 2.0 1.1 2.3 3.1 2.1 4.7 2.3 Count 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Click Here  to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Day 4: Monday, November 26, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 54 +1 ERCOT(SP) 72 +1 FRCC(SE) 79 +1 MAAC(NE) 59 +1 MAIN(CTR) 50 +1 MAPP(HP) 39 +1 NPCC(NE) 54 +2 SERC(SE) 68 NC SPP(SP) 59 +1 WSCC(NW) 39 -2 WSCC(RK) 29 -3 WSCC(SW) 54 NC     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 44 36 50 34 24 66 64 46 Max 48 39 55 39 33 70 69 54 Min 42 33 48 30 19 64 56 44 Range 6 6 7 9 14 6 13 10 StD-P 2.0 2.0 1.9 2.2 3.0 1.8 4.3 2.2 Count 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 Click Here  to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Day 5: Tuesday, November 27, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 54 +3 ERCOT(SP) 68 NC FRCC(SE) 79 +1 MAAC(NE) 56 NC MAIN(CTR) 43 NC MAPP(HP) 28 -2 NPCC(NE) 49 NC SERC(SE) 67 +1 SPP(SP) 48 -2 WSCC(NW) 40 -2 WSCC(RK) 24 -6 WSCC(SW) 53 -3     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 44 22 44 33 18 66 58 45 Max 48 26 51 40 28 69 64 53 Min 41 18 40 27 14 64 54 42 Range 7 8 11 13 14 5 10 11 StD-P 1.8 2.0 2.5 2.5 2.9 1.4 2.9 2.7 Count 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 Click Here  to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Day 6: Wednesday, November 28, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 49 +3 ERCOT(SP) 59 -5 FRCC(SE) 78 +1 MAAC(NE) 56 +3 MAIN(CTR) 37 -2 MAPP(HP) 23 -4 NPCC(NE) 48 +1 SERC(SE) 62 +1 SPP(SP) 42 -6 WSCC(NW) 42 NC WSCC(RK) 25 -8 WSCC(SW) 56 NC     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 34 15 51 34 19 65 47 49 Max 37 22 55 42 30 66 55 56 Min 32 10 48 24 15 64 39 43 Range 5 12 7 18 15 2 16 13 StD-P 1.5 3.9 1.6 3.6 4.0 0.5 4.1 3.3 Count 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 Click Here  to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Day 7: Thursday, November 29, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 39 -4 ERCOT(SP) 61 -4 FRCC(SE) 74 -3 MAAC(NE) 51 +2 MAIN(CTR) 34 -5 MAPP(HP) 24 -7 NPCC(NE) 49 +6 SERC(SE) 55 -4 SPP(SP) 48 -4 WSCC(NW) 44 +3 WSCC(RK) 38 NC WSCC(SW) 60 +3     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 28 23 52 37 34 60 50 51 Max 31 29 56 44 43 63 58 60 Min 24 14 48 29 24 56 44 46 Range 7 15 8 15 19 7 14 14 StD-P 2.2 3.7 2.6 4.8 6.3 2.4 4.4 3.3 Count 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 Click Here  to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Day 8: Friday, November 30, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 30 -4 ERCOT(SP) 63 -1 FRCC(SE) 61 -8 MAAC(NE) 31 -5 MAIN(CTR) 32 -4 MAPP(HP) 29 -7 NPCC(NE) 45 +11 SERC(SE) 46 -6 SPP(SP) 58 +4 WSCC(NW) 33 +1 WSCC(RK) 33 +4 WSCC(SW) 50 +2     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 33 31 41 34 32 56 61 50 Max 40 38 44 41 43 65 69 59 Min 26 19 37 30 22 49 50 45 Range 14 19 7 11 21 16 19 14 StD-P 3.9 5.3 1.9 2.5 5.4 5.4 5.0 2.8 Count 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 Click Here  to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Day 9: Saturday, December  1, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 40 NC ERCOT(SP) 62 -8 FRCC(SE) 67 -1 MAAC(NE) 42 +4 MAIN(CTR) 37 -5 MAPP(HP) 26 -3 NPCC(NE) 37 +6 SERC(SE) 55 -2 SPP(SP) 49 -11 WSCC(NW) 36 +3 WSCC(RK) 24 -6 WSCC(SW) 47 +1     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 37 26 41 35 25 60 59 48 Max 50 30 51 38 27 67 66 49 Min 26 20 36 33 23 52 55 47 Range 24 10 15 5 4 15 11 2 StD-P 5.6 3.1 4.6 1.9 1.3 4.7 2.3 0.5 Count 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 Click Here  to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix   Day 10: Sunday, December  2, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 34 -14 ERCOT(SP) 57 -8 FRCC(SE) 69 NC MAAC(NE) 45 -6 MAIN(CTR) 29 -13 MAPP(HP) 26 -2 NPCC(NE) 42 NC SERC(SE) 55 -9 SPP(SP) 45 -11 WSCC(NW) 37 +3 WSCC(RK) 29 NC WSCC(SW) 48 -1     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 30 27 43 35 26 59 52 45 Max 34 34 54 37 29 64 54 49 Min 29 16 34 31 21 55 48 41 Range 5 18 20 6 8 9 6 8 StD-P 1.5 5.0 5.4 2.0 2.9 2.8 2.4 3.2 Count 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 Click Here  to See Each Weather Forecast Used Within the Volatility Matrix    Trader Summary is designed around and formatted for the  [IMAGE]Plasma displays, RainbowWall? and DataWall?   Trader Summary can also be viewed from www.syncrasy.com  or     www.apbenergy.com  or  www.truequote.com     [IMAGE]