Measuring Ideological Proportions in Political Speeches

Cue-lag representation

The table below shows the cue-lag representation of the speech. For each cue term, it also displays the posterior distributions over ideology.

#	Cue term	Lag before term	Posterior distribution
#	Cue term	Lag before term	Restart		∑Left	Center	∑Right
1	america_foundat	19		✓	0.981	0.00418	0.0147
1	america_foundat	19		✗	0	0	0
2	arnold_schwarzenegg	22		✓	0.089	0	0.000597
2	arnold_schwarzenegg	22		✗	0.91	0	0.000398
3	energi_product	18		✓	0.0382	0	0
3	energi_product	18		✗	0.962	0	0
4	save_monei	50		✓	0.00577	0	0.000597
4	save_monei	50		✗	0.994	0	0
5	step_forward	15		✓	0.0163	0	0.000796
5	step_forward	15		✗	0.982	0	0.000597
6	privat_sector	26		✓	0.0354	0.000199	0
6	privat_sector	26		✗	0.964	0	0
7	world_biggest	7		✓	0.00398	0	0
7	world_biggest	7		✗	0.996	0	0
8	american_council	6		✓	0.00159	0	0
8	american_council	6		✗	0.998	0	0
9	energi_effici	13		✓	0.00119	0	0
9	energi_effici	13		✗	0.999	0	0
10	corpor_sector	13		✓	0.00378	0	0.000199
10	corpor_sector	13		✗	0.996	0	0
11	nation_leader	12		✓	0.0217	0	0.000398
11	nation_leader	12		✗	0.978	0	0.000199
12	clean_energi	3		✓	0.00398	0	0
12	clean_energi	3		✗	0.996	0	0
13	twenti_year	34		✓	0.0834	0	0.000199
13	twenti_year	34		✗	0.916	0	0
14	bad_thing	3		✓	0.00179	0	0
14	bad_thing	3		✗	0.998	0	0
15	__NUM___year	10		✓	0.00577	0	0.00119
15	__NUM___year	10		✗	0.993	0	0
16	roll_back	12		✓	0.0277	0	0.000199
16	roll_back	12		✗	0.972	0	0
17	fuel_economi	1		✓	0.000796	0	0
17	fuel_economi	1		✗	0.999	0	0
18	fuel_effici	9		✓	0.000597	0	0.000199
18	fuel_effici	9		✗	0.999	0	0
19	foreign_oil	9		✓	0.00179	0	0.000199
19	foreign_oil	9		✗	0.998	0	0.000199
20	unit_state	35		✓	0.211	0	0.0637
20	unit_state	35		✗	0.726	0	0
21	retail_sale	15		✓	0.0179	0	0.0175
21	retail_sale	15		✗	0.905	0	0.0595
22	gasolin_price	33		✓	0.0348	0.00239	0.0326
22	gasolin_price	33		✗	0.864	0	0.0663
23	price_increas	0		✓	0.000597	0.000199	0.0151
23	price_increas	0		✗	0.883	0.00239	0.0991
24	__NUM___billion	78		✓	0	0	0.904
24	__NUM___billion	78		✗	0	0	0.0959
25	billion_dollar	0		✓	0	0	0
25	billion_dollar	0		✗	0	0	1
26	foreign_oil	3		✓	0	0	0.000199
26	foreign_oil	3		✗	0	0	1
27	__NUM___billion	9		✓	0	0	0.000199
27	__NUM___billion	9		✗	0	0	1
28	billion_dollar	0		✓	0	0	0
28	billion_dollar	0		✗	0	0	1
29	terrorist_attack	21		✓	0.000199	0	0.0117
29	terrorist_attack	21		✗	0	0	0.988
30	nation_energi	28		✓	0.00219	0	0.00179
30	nation_energi	28		✗	0.000199	0	0.996
31	unit_state	46		✓	0.967	0	0.0285
31	unit_state	46		✗	0.00179	0	0.00318
32	great_challeng	45		✓	0.188	0	0
32	great_challeng	45		✗	0.812	0	0.000199
33	energi_secur	5		✓	0.0219	0	0
33	energi_secur	5		✗	0.978	0	0
34	global_warm	2		✓	0.0123	0	0
34	global_warm	2		✗	0.988	0	0
35	energi_polici	10		✓	0.0446	0	0.000199
35	energi_polici	10		✗	0.955	0	0
36	global_warm	4		✓	0.0209	0	0
36	global_warm	4		✗	0.979	0	0
37	energi_polici	16		✓	0.0647	0	0
37	energi_polici	16		✗	0.935	0	0
38	small_busi	48		✓	0.149	0.0119	0.000199
38	small_busi	48		✗	0.839	0	0
39	technolog_develop	60		✓	0.0177	0.000398	0.000398
39	technolog_develop	60		✗	0.975	0.00617	0.000199
40	ten_year	77		✓	0.758	0.00876	0.0764
40	ten_year	77		✗	0.155	0.00219	0.000199
41	energi_polici	11		✓	0.248	0	0.000199
41	energi_polici	11		✗	0.748	0	0.00318
42	energi_industri	23		✓	0.0872	0	0.000199
42	energi_industri	23		✗	0.913	0	0
43	american_revolut	11		✓	0.00358	0.000199	0.000199
43	american_revolut	11		✗	0.996	0	0.000199
44	__NUM___year	44		✓	0.00736	0.000199	0
44	__NUM___year	44		✗	0.992	0	0.000199
45	renew_energi	40		✓	0.00478	0	0
45	renew_energi	40		✗	0.995	0	0
46	tax_incent	8		✓	0.000199	0	0
46	tax_incent	8		✗	1	0	0
47	sale_tax	3		✓	0.00657	0	0.000199
47	sale_tax	3		✗	0.993	0	0
48	global_warm	10		✓	0.0127	0	0
48	global_warm	10		✗	0.987	0	0
49	clean_energi	15		✓	0.0127	0	0.000199
49	clean_energi	15		✗	0.987	0	0
50	oil_price	10		✓	0.0436	0	0
50	oil_price	10		✗	0.956	0	0
51	energi_effici	6		✓	0.00318	0	0.000199
51	energi_effici	6		✗	0.997	0	0
52	unit_state	57		✓	0.633	0	0.205
52	unit_state	57		✗	0.162	0	0.000199
53	nation_polici	38		✓	0.12	0.000398	0.162
53	nation_polici	38		✗	0.541	0	0.176
54	__NUM___dai	21		✓	0.0693	0	0.0597
54	__NUM___dai	21		✗	0.568	0	0.303
55	nation_secur	38		✓	0.34	0	0.0259
55	nation_secur	38		✗	0.504	0	0.13
56	american_job	3		✓	0.0179	0.000199	0.00517
56	american_job	3		✗	0.829	0	0.147
57	unit_state	24		✓	0.254	0	0.000199
57	unit_state	24		✗	0.739	0	0.00657
58	__NUM___million	3		✓	0.0157	0	0
58	__NUM___million	3		✗	0.984	0	0
59	million_barrel	0		✓	0	0	0
59	million_barrel	0		✗	1	0	0
60	hard_work	18		✓	0.241	0	0.000398
60	hard_work	18		✗	0.758	0	0
61	american_peopl	8		✓	0.00776	0	0.000597
61	american_peopl	8		✗	0.991	0	0.000199
62	__NUM___million	11		✓	0.00756	0	0
62	__NUM___million	11		✗	0.992	0	0
63	million_barrel	0		✓	0.000199	0	0
63	million_barrel	0		✗	1	0	0
64	__NUM___million	5		✓	0.000597	0	0
64	__NUM___million	5		✗	0.999	0	0
65	carbon_emiss	33		✓	0.00358	0	0
65	carbon_emiss	33		✗	0.996	0	0
66	__NUM___million	33		✓	0.00358	0	0
66	__NUM___million	33		✗	0.996	0	0
67	million_barrel	0		✓	0	0	0
67	million_barrel	0		✗	1	0	0
68	electr_vehicl	49		✓	0.00896	0.000199	0.000199
68	electr_vehicl	49		✗	0.991	0	0
69	metro_area	13		✓	0.00299	0	0
69	metro_area	13		✗	0.997	0.000199	0
70	big_citi	4		✓	0.000398	0	0
70	big_citi	4		✗	1	0	0
71	electr_car	12		✓	0.00179	0	0
71	electr_car	12		✗	0.998	0	0
72	__NUM___mile	23		✓	0.00119	0	0.000199
72	__NUM___mile	23		✗	0.999	0	0
73	__NUM___dollar	58		✓	0.0127	0.000398	0.0133
73	__NUM___dollar	58		✗	0.973	0	0.000199
74	__NUM___dai	24		✓	0.456	0	0.0671
74	__NUM___dai	24		✗	0.468	0	0.00915
75	white_hous	12		✓	0.108	0	0.000597
75	white_hous	12		✗	0.887	0	0.00438
76	__NUM___mile	21		✓	0.0529	0	0.000597
76	__NUM___mile	21		✗	0.946	0	0
77	electr_car	70		✓	0.0151	0	0
77	electr_car	70		✗	0.985	0	0
78	fuel_economi	29		✓	0.00199	0	0
78	fuel_economi	29		✗	0.998	0	0
79	__NUM___mile	3		✓	0.000199	0	0
79	__NUM___mile	3		✗	1	0	0
80	__NUM___million	21		✓	0.00199	0	0
80	__NUM___million	21		✗	0.998	0	0
81	million_barrel	0		✓	0	0	0
81	million_barrel	0		✗	1	0	0
82	__NUM___year_ago	31		✓	0.00458	0	0.000199
82	__NUM___year_ago	31		✗	0.995	0	0
83	fuel_economi	40		✓	0.00378	0	0
83	fuel_economi	40		✗	0.996	0	0
84	save_monei	17		✓	0.00159	0	0
84	save_monei	17		✗	0.998	0	0
85	long_distanc	22		✓	0.00179	0	0.000199
85	long_distanc	22		✗	0.998	0	0
86	__NUM___million	91		✓	0.00677	0	0
86	__NUM___million	91		✗	0.993	0	0
87	million_barrel	0		✓	0	0	0
87	million_barrel	0		✗	1	0	0
88	creat_job	13		✓	0.0171	0	0
88	creat_job	13		✗	0.983	0	0
89	rural_area	2		✓	0.000398	0	0
89	rural_area	2		✗	1	0	0
90	public_transport	85		✓	0.0199	0	0.00179
90	public_transport	85		✗	0.978	0	0
91	american_peopl	47		✓	0.0287	0	0.00259
91	american_peopl	47		✗	0.968	0	0.000995
92	__NUM___million	14		✓	0.00677	0	0
92	__NUM___million	14		✗	0.993	0	0
93	million_barrel	0		✓	0	0	0
93	million_barrel	0		✗	1	0	0
94	energi_sourc	10		✓	0.000398	0	0
94	energi_sourc	10		✗	1	0	0
95	renew_energi	42		✓	0.00279	0	0
95	renew_energi	42		✗	0.997	0	0
96	power_plant	24		✓	0.00338	0	0
96	power_plant	24		✗	0.997	0	0
97	trade_system	7		✓	0.000597	0	0
97	trade_system	7		✗	0.999	0	0
98	energi_sourc	21		✓	0.00398	0	0.000199
98	energi_sourc	21		✗	0.996	0	0
99	work_close	26		✓	0.621	0	0.000597
99	work_close	26		✗	0.379	0	0
100	arnold_schwarzenegg	4		✓	0.0153	0	0
100	arnold_schwarzenegg	4		✗	0.984	0	0.000199
101	bipartisan_support	3		✓	0.0107	0	0.000597
101	bipartisan_support	3		✗	0.989	0	0
102	law_requir	45		✓	0.0919	0.00119	0.00557
102	law_requir	45		✗	0.901	0	0.000199
103	energi_product	6		✓	0.0159	0	0.000398
103	energi_product	6		✗	0.98	0.000199	0.00358
104	__MONEY___billion	43		✓	0.108	0	0
104	__MONEY___billion	43		✗	0.892	0	0
105	greenhous_ga_emiss	10		✓	0.00398	0	0
105	greenhous_ga_emiss	10		✗	0.996	0	0
106	scientif_evid	14		✓	0.0105	0.00378	0.00239
106	scientif_evid	14		✗	0.983	0	0
107	evid_show	0		✓	0.000199	0	0
107	evid_show	0		✗	0.994	0.00378	0.00239
108	global_warm	14		✓	0.00856	0	0
108	global_warm	14		✗	0.991	0.000597	0
109	carbon_dioxid	15		✓	0.00299	0	0.000199
109	carbon_dioxid	15		✗	0.997	0.000199	0
110	trade_system	18		✓	0.00219	0	0
110	trade_system	18		✗	0.998	0	0
111	global_warm	15		✓	0.00219	0	0
111	global_warm	15		✗	0.998	0	0
112	greenhous_ga_emiss	57		✓	0.00617	0	0
112	greenhous_ga_emiss	57		✗	0.994	0	0
113	feder_govern	28		✓	0.00219	0	0.00358
113	feder_govern	28		✗	0.994	0	0
114	clean_coal	23		✓	0.00378	0	0.00219
114	clean_coal	23		✗	0.991	0	0.00338
115	natur_disast	59		✓	0.0364	0.000597	0.502
115	natur_disast	59		✗	0.455	0	0.00557
116	univers_student	42		✓	0.0657	0.00279	0.0744
116	univers_student	42		✗	0.427	0.000199	0.43
117	research_institut	33		✓	0.0308	0.00279	0.0969
117	research_institut	33		✗	0.388	0.00159	0.479
118	feder_revenu	66		✓	0.00358	0.00139	0.426
118	feder_revenu	66		✗	0.0197	0.00119	0.548
119	billion_dollar	12		✓	0	0	0.0328
119	billion_dollar	12		✗	0	0.000796	0.966
120	energi_technolog	15		✓	0	0	0.000995
120	energi_technolog	15		✗	0	0	0.999
121	feder_govern	6		✓	0	0	0.00139
121	feder_govern	6		✗	0	0	0.999
122	critic_role	4		✓	0	0	0.000199
122	critic_role	4		✗	0	0	1
123	nation_energi	22		✓	0	0	0.00139
123	nation_energi	22		✗	0	0	0.999
124	trust_fund	2		✓	0.0251	0.000199	0.00139
124	trust_fund	2		✗	0	0	0.973
125	privat_sector	29		✓	0.411	0.000597	0.00199
125	privat_sector	29		✗	0.0219	0	0.565
126	energi_technolog	4		✓	0.0494	0	0.000398
126	energi_technolog	4		✗	0.41	0	0.54
127	global_warm	26		✓	0.597	0	0.000398
127	global_warm	26		✗	0.401	0	0.000995
128	unit_state	28		✓	0.116	0	0.00438
128	unit_state	28		✗	0.879	0	0.000199
129	global_warm	84		✓	0.284	0	0
129	global_warm	84		✗	0.716	0	0
130	__NUM___part	7		✓	0.0281	0.000597	0.00219
130	__NUM___part	7		✗	0.969	0	0
131	energi_polici	17		✓	0.101	0	0
131	energi_polici	17		✗	0.899	0	0
132	unit_state	3		✓	0.0127	0	0.000398
132	unit_state	3		✗	0.987	0	0
133	work_close	22		✓	0.0808	0	0.00159
133	work_close	22		✗	0.917	0	0.000199
134	south_africa	13		✓	0.0456	0.000199	0.00498
134	south_africa	13		✗	0.948	0	0.00139
135	european_union	30		✓	0.125	0	0.000398
135	european_union	30		✗	0.875	0	0
136	world_bank	3		✓	0.0135	0	0
136	world_bank	3		✗	0.986	0	0
137	unit_nation	9		✓	0.034	0	0.000995
137	unit_nation	9		✗	0.965	0	0
138	north_american	47		✓	0	0	0.999
138	north_american	47		✗	0	0	0.00139
139	american_energi	0		✓	0	0	0
139	american_energi	0		✗	0	0	1
140	energi_resourc	19		✓	0.109	0	0.00418
140	energi_resourc	19		✗	0	0	0.887
141	carbon_trade	15		✓	0.144	0.00159	0.00577
141	carbon_trade	15		✗	0.101	0	0.748
142	natur_ga	7		✓	0.383	0.000199	0.00159
142	natur_ga	7		✗	0.238	0.000199	0.377
143	unit_nation	71		✓	0.561	0	0
143	unit_nation	71		✗	0.439	0	0
144	nation_secur	0		✓	0.00299	0	0
144	nation_secur	0		✗	0.997	0	0
145	secur_council	0		✓	0.00398	0	0
145	secur_council	0		✗	0.996	0	0
146	oil_price	27		✓	0.0961	0	0
146	oil_price	27		✗	0.904	0	0
147	intern_peac	2		✓	0.00318	0	0
147	intern_peac	2		✗	0.997	0	0
148	oil_compani	3		✓	0.000597	0	0
148	oil_compani	3		✗	0.999	0	0
149	peopl_love	3		✓	0.000796	0	0
149	peopl_love	3		✗	0.999	0	0
150	oil_compani	4		✓	0.000398	0	0
150	oil_compani	4		✗	1	0	0
151	energi_compani	16		✓	0.00259	0	0
151	energi_compani	16		✗	0.997	0	0
152	energi_industri	11		✓	0.00557	0	0
152	energi_industri	11		✗	0.994	0	0
153	energi_price	51		✓	0.00677	0.000199	0.00139
153	energi_price	51		✗	0.992	0	0
154	energi_product	16		✓	0.00338	0	0
154	energi_product	16		✗	0.996	0	0.000199
155	energi_sourc	17		✓	0.000796	0	0.000199
155	energi_sourc	17		✗	0.999	0	0
156	global_warm	20		✓	0.109	0.000199	0
156	global_warm	20		✗	0.891	0	0
157	white_paper	31		✓	0.219	0.00597	0.0826
157	white_paper	31		✗	0.693	0	0
158	unit_state	21		✓	0.298	0	0.0515
158	unit_state	21		✗	0.59	0	0.0609
	__END_OF_SPEECH__	29

Bill Richardson

Cue-lag representation