Measuring Ideological Proportions in Political Speeches

Cue-lag representation

The table below shows the cue-lag representation of the speech. For each cue term, it also displays the posterior distributions over ideology.

#	Cue term	Lag before term	Posterior distribution
#	Cue term	Lag before term	Restart		∑Left	Center	∑Right
1	feel_free	109		✓	0.999	0.000199	0.000995
1	feel_free	109		✗	0	0	0
2	tv_set	199		✓	0.671	0.000199	0
2	tv_set	199		✗	0.329	0	0
3	polit_parti	55		✓	0.238	0	0.000199
3	polit_parti	55		✗	0.762	0	0
4	vote_booth	45		✓	0.198	0	0
4	vote_booth	45		✗	0.802	0	0
5	work_hard	114		✓	0.449	0	0.0141
5	work_hard	114		✗	0.537	0	0
6	health_care	54		✓	0.224	0.000796	0.0251
6	health_care	54		✗	0.745	0	0.00498
7	american_dream	61		✓	0.281	0	0.00179
7	american_dream	61		✗	0.716	0	0.000597
8	health_care	61		✓	0.168	0.00219	0.339
8	health_care	61		✗	0.489	0	0.00219
9	credit_card	59		✓	0.000398	0	0.727
9	credit_card	59		✗	0.000199	0	0.273
10	financi_crisi	7		✓	0	0	0.0281
10	financi_crisi	7		✗	0	0	0.972
11	great_depress	3		✓	0	0	0.0165
11	great_depress	3		✗	0	0	0.983
12	middl_class	2		✓	0.00358	0	0.00896
12	middl_class	2		✗	0	0	0.987
13	class_famili	0		✓	0.00199	0	0.00299
13	class_famili	0		✗	0.00358	0	0.991
14	american_dream	20		✓	0.974	0	0.00139
14	american_dream	20		✗	0.00557	0	0.0193
15	unit_state	165		✓	0.612	0	0.00637
15	unit_state	165		✗	0.382	0	0
16	american_charact	8		✓	0.0448	0	0
16	american_charact	8		✗	0.955	0	0
17	door_open	56		✓	0.223	0.0177	0.0233
17	door_open	56		✗	0.736	0	0
18	tough_time	28		✓	0.119	0	0.0884
18	tough_time	28		✗	0.773	0	0.0193
19	auto_industri	17		✓	0.0171	0.000199	0.696
19	auto_industri	17		✗	0.184	0	0.103
20	unit_state	97		✓	0.472	0	0.139
20	unit_state	97		✗	0.107	0	0.281
21	run_mate	51		✓	0.159	0	0.173
21	run_mate	51		✗	0.362	0	0.306
22	big_corpor	64		✓	0	0	0.626
22	big_corpor	64		✗	0	0	0.374
23	big_bank	2		✓	0.000398	0	0.00915
23	big_bank	2		✗	0	0	0.99
24	tax_cut	22		✓	0.000199	0	0.0693
24	tax_cut	22		✗	0	0	0.931
25	econom_plan	34		✓	0	0	0.113
25	econom_plan	34		✗	0	0	0.887
26	__MONEY___trillion	4		✓	0	0	0.0145
26	__MONEY___trillion	4		✗	0	0	0.985
27	tax_cut	1		✓	0	0	0.00697
27	tax_cut	1		✗	0	0	0.993
28	run_mate	13		✓	0.0141	0	0.0434
28	run_mate	13		✗	0	0	0.942
29	put_forward	6		✓	0.000796	0	0.0287
29	put_forward	6		✗	0.00836	0	0.962
30	tax_plan	51		✓	0	0	0.185
30	tax_plan	51		✗	0	0	0.815
31	rais_tax	43		✓	0	0	0.147
31	rais_tax	43		✗	0	0	0.853
32	middl_class	2		✓	0	0	0.00915
32	middl_class	2		✗	0	0	0.991
33	class_famili	0		✓	0.000199	0	0.00498
33	class_famili	0		✗	0	0	0.995
34	tax_cut	37		✓	0.00219	0.000398	0.118
34	tax_cut	37		✗	0	0	0.88
35	run_mate	12		✓	0.0613	0	0.0416
35	run_mate	12		✗	0.00199	0	0.895
36	middl_class	39		✓	0.0396	0.00199	0.14
36	middl_class	39		✗	0.0326	0	0.785
37	creat_job	32		✓	0.0436	0.00139	0.114
37	creat_job	32		✗	0.0482	0.00159	0.792
38	wrong_direct	16		✓	0.148	0.00259	0.038
38	wrong_direct	16		✗	0.085	0.00259	0.723
39	prescript_drug	162		✓	0.784	0	0.00239
39	prescript_drug	162		✗	0.213	0	0.00139
40	health_care	70		✓	0.0137	0	0.000995
40	health_care	70		✗	0.985	0	0.000199
41	bottom_line	57		✓	0.00657	0	0
41	bottom_line	57		✗	0.993	0	0
42	save_monei	4		✓	0.000398	0	0
42	save_monei	4		✗	1	0	0
43	insur_compani	11		✓	0.00139	0	0.0754
43	insur_compani	11		✗	0.923	0	0
44	tax_cut	14		✓	0.0539	0.0123	0.715
44	tax_cut	14		✗	0.148	0	0.0714
45	health_care	54		✓	0.555	0.000398	0.0575
45	health_care	54		✗	0.145	0.00358	0.238
46	unit_state	41		✓	0.432	0	0.0201
46	unit_state	41		✗	0.476	0	0.0716
47	__NUM___year_ago	8		✓	0.0492	0.000199	0.00756
47	__NUM___year_ago	8		✗	0.87	0	0.0732
48	middl_class	7		✓	0.0352	0.0501	0.039
48	middl_class	7		✗	0.8	0.000199	0.0756
49	includ___NUM__	65		✓	0.00199	0.942	0.000398
49	includ___NUM__	65		✗	0.00498	0.0503	0.000398
50	small_busi	22		✓	0	0.00876	0.000995
50	small_busi	22		✗	0.000199	0.99	0.000199
51	incom_tax	6		✓	0	0.00159	0.000199
51	incom_tax	6		✗	0	0.997	0.00119
52	tax_increas	0		✓	0	0.000199	0.000796
52	tax_increas	0		✗	0	0.997	0.00199
53	tax_cut	25		✓	0.047	0.00219	0.212
53	tax_cut	25		✗	0.000597	0.731	0.00716
54	pretti_good	9		✓	0.745	0	0.04
54	pretti_good	9		✗	0.0724	0.00935	0.134
55	good_deal	0		✓	0.00756	0	0.000995
55	good_deal	0		✗	0.814	0.00677	0.17
56	economi_grow	65		✓	0.0929	0	0.558
56	economi_grow	65		✗	0.215	0	0.134
57	trillion_dollar	48		✓	0	0	0.415
57	trillion_dollar	48		✗	0.000199	0	0.585
58	bill_clinton	49		✓	0.000199	0	0.159
58	bill_clinton	49		✗	0	0	0.841
59	__NUM___million	15		✓	0.0121	0.000199	0.0525
59	__NUM___million	15		✗	0.000199	0	0.935
60	middl_class	39		✓	0.00836	0.00378	0.137
60	middl_class	39		✗	0.00358	0	0.848
61	class_famili	0		✓	0.000995	0	0.00338
61	class_famili	0		✗	0.0117	0.00378	0.98
62	work_famili	2		✓	0.0251	0.000398	0.00836
62	work_famili	2		✗	0.0127	0.00378	0.95
63	polic_offic	11		✓	0.0933	0.000199	0.0354
63	polic_offic	11		✗	0.0356	0	0.835
64	construct_worker	9		✓	0.00617	0	0.07
64	construct_worker	9		✗	0.086	0	0.838
65	basic_necess	30		✓	0.000796	0	0.174
65	basic_necess	30		✗	0.00418	0	0.821
66	__NUM___year	10		✓	0.0161	0	0.034
66	__NUM___year	10		✗	0.00478	0	0.945
67	auto_industri	114		✓	0.00179	0	0.385
67	auto_industri	114		✗	0.000199	0	0.613
68	million_job	21		✓	0.000199	0	0.0836
68	million_job	21		✗	0	0	0.916
69	american_worker	8		✓	0	0	0.0304
69	american_worker	8		✗	0	0	0.97
70	american_manufactur	2		✓	0	0	0.00995
70	american_manufactur	2		✗	0	0	0.99
71	auto_industri	8		✓	0	0	0.0259
71	auto_industri	8		✗	0	0	0.974
72	privat_sector	17		✓	0	0	0.0565
72	privat_sector	17		✗	0	0	0.943
73	manufactur_job	25		✓	0	0	0.084
73	manufactur_job	25		✗	0	0	0.916
74	tax_break	13		✓	0	0	0.0454
74	tax_break	13		✗	0	0	0.955
75	job_oversea	5		✓	0	0	0.0199
75	job_oversea	5		✗	0	0	0.98
76	tax_break	5		✓	0	0	0.0161
76	tax_break	5		✗	0	0	0.984
77	unit_state	14		✓	0.00438	0	0.0466
77	unit_state	14		✗	0	0	0.949
78	american_worker	3		✓	0	0	0.0143
78	american_worker	3		✗	0.00119	0	0.984
79	clean_energi	22		✓	0.000199	0	0.0565
79	clean_energi	22		✗	0	0	0.943
80	renew_energi	18		✓	0	0	0.00398
80	renew_energi	18		✗	0	0	0.996
81	good_job	9		✓	0	0	0.000597
81	good_job	9		✗	0	0	0.999
82	__MONEY___billion	18		✓	0	0	0.000597
82	__MONEY___billion	18		✗	0	0	0.999
83	taxpay_subsidi	4		✓	0	0	0.000199
83	taxpay_subsidi	4		✗	0	0	1
84	big_oil	2		✓	0	0	0
84	big_oil	2		✗	0	0	1
85	oil_compani	0		✓	0	0	0.000199
85	oil_compani	0		✗	0	0	1
86	bin_laden	50		✓	0.96	0	0.0382
86	bin_laden	50		✗	0	0	0.00219
87	troop_home	23		✓	0.132	0	0.000199
87	troop_home	23		✗	0.865	0	0.00279
88	construct_worker	182		✓	0.532	0	0.162
88	construct_worker	182		✗	0.305	0	0.000796
89	school_district	47		✓	0.334	0	0
89	school_district	47		✗	0.666	0	0
90	__NUM___million	20		✓	0.0854	0	0.00358
90	__NUM___million	20		✗	0.911	0	0
91	commun_colleg	8		✓	0.0406	0	0
91	commun_colleg	8		✗	0.959	0	0
92	__NUM___centuri	27		✓	0.113	0	0
92	__NUM___centuri	27		✗	0.887	0	0
93	young_peopl	3		✓	0.0169	0	0
93	young_peopl	3		✗	0.983	0	0
94	colleg_educ	8		✓	0.036	0	0
94	colleg_educ	8		✗	0.964	0	0
95	higher_educ	3		✓	0.0189	0	0
95	higher_educ	3		✗	0.981	0	0
96	young_peopl	62		✓	0.286	0	0.00159
96	young_peopl	62		✗	0.712	0	0
97	prescript_drug	16		✓	0.0503	0	0
97	prescript_drug	16		✗	0.95	0	0
98	health_care	14		✓	0.00597	0	0
98	health_care	14		✗	0.994	0	0
99	suprem_court	9		✓	0.00577	0	0
99	suprem_court	9		✗	0.994	0	0
100	health_care	65		✓	0.31	0.000398	0.0291
100	health_care	65		✗	0.66	0	0
101	middl_class	46		✓	0.74	0	0.00935
101	middl_class	46		✗	0.249	0	0.00139
102	class_life	0		✓	0.00995	0	0
102	class_life	0		✗	0.986	0	0.00398
103	middl_class	14		✓	0.0621	0	0.0241
103	middl_class	14		✗	0.91	0	0.00358
104	economi_grow	14		✓	0.0718	0	0.0101
104	economi_grow	14		✗	0.897	0	0.0207
105	work_hard	25		✓	0.137	0	0.000597
105	work_hard	25		✗	0.86	0	0.00299
106	futur_gener	19		✓	0.087	0	0.000199
106	futur_gener	19		✗	0.913	0	0.000199
107	__NUM___month	40		✓	0.183	0	0.00159
107	__NUM___month	40		✗	0.815	0	0
108	neg_ad	6		✓	0.0302	0	0
108	neg_ad	6		✗	0.97	0	0
109	__MONEY___million	18		✓	0.0681	0.00119	0.119
109	__MONEY___million	18		✗	0.811	0	0.000398
110	creat_job	92		✓	0.151	0.00179	0.536
110	creat_job	92		✗	0.235	0.000199	0.076
111	middl_class	20		✓	0.125	0.000597	0.0492
111	middl_class	20		✗	0.336	0.000995	0.488
112	american_peopl	53		✓	0.553	0	0.0185
112	american_peopl	53		✗	0.359	0	0.0687
113	fair_share	57		✓	0.303	0	0.00458
113	fair_share	57		✗	0.687	0	0.00557
114	great_countri	23		✓	0.118	0	0.000398
114	great_countri	23		✗	0.881	0	0.000796
115	young_peopl	33		✓	0.146	0	0.00159
115	young_peopl	33		✗	0.852	0	0.000398
116	phone_call	48		✓	0.217	0	0
116	phone_call	48		✗	0.783	0	0
117	unit_state	41		✓	0.182	0	0.00119
117	unit_state	41		✗	0.816	0	0
118	god_bless	9		✓	0.047	0	0
118	god_bless	9		✗	0.953	0	0
119	unit_state	5		✓	0.0261	0	0.00677
119	unit_state	5		✗	0.967	0	0
	__END_OF_SPEECH__	3

Barack Obama

Cue-lag representation