Measuring Ideological Proportions in Political Speeches

Cue-lag representation

The table below shows the cue-lag representation of the speech. For each cue term, it also displays the posterior distributions over ideology.

#	Cue term	Lag before term	Posterior distribution
#	Cue term	Lag before term	Restart		∑Left	Center	∑Right
1	unit_state	38		✓	0.999	0	0.000796
1	unit_state	38		✗	0	0	0
2	state_senat	0		✓	0.00597	0	0
2	state_senat	0		✗	0.994	0	0
3	democrat_state	38		✓	0.158	0.00338	0.0137
3	democrat_state	38		✗	0.825	0	0
4	state_parti	0		✓	0.00418	0	0.00179
4	state_parti	0		✗	0.977	0.00338	0.0135
5	__NUM___year	195		✓	0.605	0	0.142
5	__NUM___year	195		✗	0.251	0	0.00219
6	bu_tour	59		✓	0.366	0	0.000199
6	bu_tour	59		✗	0.633	0	0.000995
7	state_senat	201		✓	0.677	0	0
7	state_senat	201		✗	0.323	0	0
8	famili_member	37		✓	0.163	0	0.00199
8	famili_member	37		✗	0.835	0	0
9	hard_work	13		✓	0.0627	0	0
9	hard_work	13		✗	0.937	0	0
10	air_forc	5		✓	0.0275	0	0
10	air_forc	5		✗	0.973	0	0
11	world_war_ii	56		✓	0.236	0	0.000199
11	world_war_ii	56		✗	0.764	0	0
12	back_home	6		✓	0.0312	0	0
12	back_home	6		✗	0.969	0	0
13	assembl_line	5		✓	0.0277	0	0.000398
13	assembl_line	5		✗	0.972	0	0
14	gi_bill	17		✓	0.072	0	0
14	gi_bill	17		✗	0.928	0	0
15	singl_mom	19		✓	0.0892	0	0
15	singl_mom	19		✗	0.911	0	0
16	collar_job	83		✓	0.341	0.000199	0.000199
16	collar_job	83		✗	0.658	0	0
17	work_hard	113		✓	0.444	0	0.00557
17	work_hard	113		✗	0.551	0	0
18	unit_state	23		✓	0.107	0	0.00179
18	unit_state	23		✗	0.89	0	0.00139
19	basic_idea	5		✓	0.0267	0	0.000995
19	basic_idea	5		✗	0.97	0	0.00239
20	fair_share	19		✓	0.0913	0	0.000995
20	fair_share	19		✗	0.907	0	0.000199
21	work_hard	21		✓	0.0927	0	0.00139
21	work_hard	21		✗	0.906	0	0.000199
22	live_wage	18		✓	0.0884	0	0
22	live_wage	18		✗	0.912	0	0
23	nation_park	46		✓	0.195	0.00259	0.049
23	nation_park	46		✗	0.753	0	0
24	__NUM___year	81		✓	0.366	0	0.0215
24	__NUM___year	81		✗	0.608	0	0.00438
25	vend_machin	12		✓	0.0806	0	0
25	vend_machin	12		✗	0.919	0	0
26	middl_class	27		✓	0.121	0	0.0171
26	middl_class	27		✗	0.862	0	0
27	public_servic	16		✓	0.0892	0	0.000597
27	public_servic	16		✗	0.909	0	0.00139
28	middl_class	16		✓	0.0802	0.000199	0.0416
28	middl_class	16		✗	0.876	0	0.00179
29	unit_state	49		✓	0.22	0	0.0287
29	unit_state	49		✗	0.735	0	0.0161
30	middl_class	24		✓	0.104	0.000398	0.0406
30	middl_class	24		✗	0.822	0	0.0328
31	__NUM___part	48		✓	0.246	0.000199	0.00657
31	__NUM___part	48		✗	0.738	0	0.00915
32	middl_class	25		✓	0.109	0	0.0378
32	middl_class	25		✗	0.841	0	0.0127
33	work_harder	7		✓	0.0422	0.000199	0.00677
33	work_harder	7		✗	0.909	0	0.0418
34	health_care	9		✓	0.0334	0.000199	0.153
34	health_care	9		✗	0.766	0.000199	0.0466
35	credit_card	26		✓	0.000398	0.000199	0.812
35	credit_card	26		✗	0.00338	0	0.184
36	financi_crisi	20		✓	0.0107	0	0.0706
36	financi_crisi	20		✗	0.00139	0	0.917
37	countri_back	30		✓	0.0967	0	0.0943
37	countri_back	30		✗	0.00836	0	0.801
38	american_peopl	48		✓	0.194	0	0.128
38	american_peopl	48		✗	0.075	0	0.603
39	__NUM___year	30		✓	0.0235	0	0.21
39	__NUM___year	30		✗	0.112	0	0.655
40	american_worker	29		✓	0.000597	0	0.214
40	american_worker	29		✗	0.00219	0	0.783
41	american_industri	5		✓	0	0	0.0239
41	american_industri	5		✗	0	0	0.976
42	manufactur_job	29		✓	0.000199	0	0.105
42	manufactur_job	29		✗	0	0	0.895
43	clean_energi	33		✓	0.00398	0.000597	0.117
43	clean_energi	33		✗	0	0	0.879
44	small_busi	3		✓	0.000597	0.00199	0.0137
44	small_busi	3		✗	0.00259	0.000597	0.98
45	hire_worker	57		✓	0	0.000796	0.194
45	hire_worker	57		✗	0	0.00199	0.803
46	__NUM___million_job	4		✓	0	0	0.0175
46	__NUM___million_job	4		✗	0	0	0.982
47	manufactur_job	11		✓	0.00478	0.000199	0.0412
47	manufactur_job	11		✗	0	0	0.954
48	fight_back	4		✓	0.484	0	0.00876
48	fight_back	4		✗	0.00517	0.000199	0.501
49	famili_member	22		✓	0.399	0.000199	0.0137
49	famili_member	22		✗	0.437	0.000199	0.15
50	__NUM___year	52		✓	0.145	0	0.266
50	__NUM___year	52		✗	0.462	0	0.127
51	move_forward	75		✓	0.14	0.000199	0.38
51	move_forward	75		✗	0.216	0	0.264
52	__MONEY___trillion	49		✓	0	0	0.467
52	__MONEY___trillion	49		✗	0	0	0.533
53	tax_cut	3		✓	0	0	0.0153
53	tax_cut	3		✗	0	0	0.985
54	bush_tax_cut	5		✓	0	0	0.0195
54	bush_tax_cut	5		✗	0	0	0.98
55	wall_street	125		✓	0.00597	0	0.399
55	wall_street	125		✗	0	0	0.595
56	financi_system	15		✓	0	0	0.0551
56	financi_system	15		✗	0	0	0.945
57	protect_consum	17		✓	0	0	0.0726
57	protect_consum	17		✗	0	0	0.927
58	econom_plan	11		✓	0	0	0.0402
58	econom_plan	11		✗	0	0	0.96
59	web_site	11		✓	0.00239	0	0.0412
59	web_site	11		✗	0	0	0.956
60	__NUM___year	36		✓	0.0306	0	0.114
60	__NUM___year	36		✗	0.00139	0	0.854
61	white_hous	56		✓	0.0155	0	0.208
61	white_hous	56		✗	0.00557	0	0.771
62	job_growth	9		✓	0	0	0.0527
62	job_growth	9		✗	0	0	0.947
63	__NUM___year	8		✓	0.000398	0	0.033
63	__NUM___year	8		✗	0	0	0.967
64	financi_crisi	10		✓	0.000398	0	0.0362
64	financi_crisi	10		✗	0	0	0.963
65	great_depress	3		✓	0.000597	0	0.0137
65	great_depress	3		✗	0.000398	0	0.985
66	middl_class	70		✓	0.0215	0.000199	0.229
66	middl_class	70		✗	0.000199	0	0.749
67	tax_code	44		✓	0.000199	0	0.167
67	tax_code	44		✗	0	0	0.833
68	tax_break	8		✓	0.000199	0	0.0312
68	tax_break	8		✗	0	0	0.969
69	job_oversea	6		✓	0	0	0.0227
69	job_oversea	6		✗	0	0	0.977
70	tax_break	5		✓	0.00219	0	0.0187
70	tax_break	5		✗	0	0	0.979
71	unit_state	20		✓	0.712	0	0.0207
71	unit_state	20		✗	0.00219	0	0.265
72	young_peopl	21		✓	0.289	0	0.00577
72	young_peopl	21		✗	0.648	0	0.0573
73	__NUM___million	57		✓	0.279	0	0.0117
73	__NUM___million	57		✗	0.702	0	0.00716
74	commun_colleg	8		✓	0.0545	0	0
74	commun_colleg	8		✗	0.945	0	0
75	job_train	4		✓	0.0189	0	0.00159
75	job_train	4		✗	0.98	0	0
76	__NUM___centuri	8		✓	0.0551	0	0
76	__NUM___centuri	8		✗	0.945	0	0
77	higher_educ	3		✓	0.0344	0	0
77	higher_educ	3		✗	0.966	0	0
78	make_america	138		✓	0.516	0	0.0553
78	make_america	138		✗	0.429	0	0
79	america_great	0		✓	0.00398	0	0.00139
79	america_great	0		✗	0.94	0	0.0547
80	__NUM___year	30		✓	0.0364	0	0.668
80	__NUM___year	30		✗	0.242	0	0.0539
81	oil_industri	20		✓	0	0	0.311
81	oil_industri	20		✗	0.000199	0	0.689
82	clean_energi	10		✓	0	0	0.000199
82	clean_energi	10		✗	0	0	1
83	energi_industri	0		✓	0	0	0.000199
83	energi_industri	0		✗	0	0	1
84	creat_job	7		✓	0.000398	0	0.00677
84	creat_job	7		✗	0	0	0.993
85	foreign_oil	11		✓	0.000398	0	0.00239
85	foreign_oil	11		✗	0.000199	0	0.997
86	health_care	26		✓	0.999	0	0.00119
86	health_care	26		✗	0	0	0
87	suprem_court	2		✓	0.00299	0	0
87	suprem_court	2		✗	0.997	0	0
88	health_insur	15		✓	0.00418	0	0
88	health_insur	15		✗	0.996	0	0
89	insur_compani	14		✓	0.000597	0	0
89	insur_compani	14		✗	0.999	0	0
90	young_peopl	34		✓	0.00677	0	0
90	young_peopl	34		✗	0.993	0	0
91	health_care	15		✓	0.000995	0	0
91	health_care	15		✗	0.999	0	0
92	prescript_drug	11		✓	0.000597	0	0
92	prescript_drug	11		✗	0.999	0	0
93	health_insur	6		✓	0.000995	0	0.0179
93	health_insur	6		✗	0.981	0	0
94	middl_class	26		✓	0.472	0.00299	0.5
94	middl_class	26		✗	0.0101	0	0.0151
95	move_forward	53		✓	0.244	0	0.115
95	move_forward	53		✗	0.334	0	0.306
96	unit_state	13		✓	0.0615	0	0.0422
96	unit_state	13		✗	0.517	0	0.379
97	govern_program	93		✓	0.000398	0	0.708
97	govern_program	93		✗	0.000796	0	0.29
98	trillion_dollar	6		✓	0	0	0.0213
98	trillion_dollar	6		✗	0	0	0.979
99	middl_class	34		✓	0.00259	0	0.11
99	middl_class	34		✗	0	0	0.887
100	class_famili	0		✓	0	0	0.00219
100	class_famili	0		✗	0.00199	0	0.996
101	tax_code	43		✓	0	0.000199	0.137
101	tax_code	43		✗	0	0	0.863
102	lower_tax	6		✓	0	0	0.0239
102	lower_tax	6		✗	0	0	0.976
103	tax_rate	0		✓	0	0	0.00299
103	tax_rate	0		✗	0	0	0.997
104	bill_clinton	99		✓	0.000199	0	0.333
104	bill_clinton	99		✗	0	0	0.667
105	creat___NUM__	9		✓	0.00119	0	0.0318
105	creat___NUM__	9		✗	0	0	0.967
106	__NUM___million	0		✓	0.000995	0	0.00577
106	__NUM___million	0		✗	0.000995	0	0.992
107	highwai_system	88		✓	0.0211	0.000398	0.273
107	highwai_system	88		✗	0.000199	0	0.705
108	unit_state	64		✓	0.861	0	0.0233
108	unit_state	64		✗	0.0159	0	0.0993
109	__NUM___month	22		✓	0.194	0	0.00358
109	__NUM___month	22		✗	0.781	0	0.0215
110	neg_ad	16		✓	0.0965	0	0
110	neg_ad	16		✗	0.903	0	0.000199
111	__MONEY___million	5		✓	0.0239	0.000199	0.115
111	__MONEY___million	5		✗	0.86	0	0.000398
112	same_thing	12		✓	0.0414	0	0.25
112	same_thing	12		✗	0.598	0	0.111
113	econom_theori	13		✓	0.0348	0	0.118
113	econom_theori	13		✗	0.507	0	0.34
114	creat_job	71		✓	0.105	0.00139	0.384
114	creat_job	71		✗	0.18	0	0.328
115	middl_class	8		✓	0.0509	0.000199	0.0233
115	middl_class	8		✗	0.271	0.00119	0.654
116	american_peopl	63		✓	0.681	0	0.0201
116	american_peopl	63		✗	0.232	0	0.0667
117	start_work	56		✓	0.299	0	0.00219
117	start_work	56		✗	0.696	0	0.00318
118	middl_class	56		✓	0.237	0	0.0143
118	middl_class	56		✗	0.749	0	0.000199
119	bank_account	6		✓	0.0412	0	0.000199
119	bank_account	6		✗	0.956	0	0.00279
120	neg_ad	66		✓	0.283	0	0
120	neg_ad	66		✗	0.717	0	0
121	singl_dai	59		✓	0.252	0	0.00856
121	singl_dai	59		✗	0.739	0	0
122	middl_class	90		✓	0.343	0.000199	0.0635
122	middl_class	90		✗	0.589	0	0.00358
123	fair_share	17		✓	0.115	0	0.00438
123	fair_share	17		✗	0.856	0	0.0251
124	unit_state	65		✓	0.298	0	0.00279
124	unit_state	65		✗	0.698	0	0.00139
125	god_bless	9		✓	0.0503	0	0
125	god_bless	9		✗	0.95	0	0
126	unit_state	7		✓	0.0368	0	0.00617
126	unit_state	7		✗	0.957	0	0
	__END_OF_SPEECH__	3

Barack Obama

Cue-lag representation