Measuring Ideological Proportions in Political Speeches

Cue-lag representation

The table below shows the cue-lag representation of the speech. For each cue term, it also displays the posterior distributions over ideology.

#	Cue term	Lag before term	Posterior distribution
#	Cue term	Lag before term	Restart		∑Left	Center	∑Right
1	feel_free	28		✓	1	0	0
1	feel_free	28		✗	0	0	0
2	sherrod_brown	87		✓	0.353	0	0.00318
2	sherrod_brown	87		✗	0.643	0	0
3	__NUM___year	100		✓	0.386	0	0.0318
3	__NUM___year	100		✗	0.582	0	0.000597
4	high_school	20		✓	0.121	0	0
4	high_school	20		✗	0.879	0	0
5	neg_ad	108		✓	0.425	0	0.000199
5	neg_ad	108		✗	0.574	0	0
6	hard_work	347		✓	0.875	0	0.0105
6	hard_work	347		✗	0.114	0	0
7	live_wage	42		✓	0.185	0	0.000597
7	live_wage	42		✗	0.815	0	0.000199
8	middl_class	44		✓	0.177	0.000597	0.0559
8	middl_class	44		✗	0.766	0	0.000597
9	world_war_ii	54		✓	0.269	0	0.000199
9	world_war_ii	54		✗	0.73	0	0.000398
10	middl_class	94		✓	0.326	0.000796	0.114
10	middl_class	94		✗	0.559	0	0.000199
11	hard_work	22		✓	0.14	0	0.0119
11	hard_work	22		✗	0.789	0	0.0589
12	econom_crisi	109		✓	0.291	0	0.307
12	econom_crisi	109		✗	0.367	0	0.035
13	american_dream	37		✓	0.44	0	0.00159
13	american_dream	37		✗	0.551	0	0.00736
14	work_hard	51		✓	0.2	0	0.103
14	work_hard	51		✗	0.691	0	0.00517
15	econom_crisi	34		✓	0.0521	0	0.579
15	econom_crisi	34		✗	0.274	0	0.0955
16	put_peopl	35		✓	0.0826	0	0.151
16	put_peopl	35		✗	0.217	0	0.549
17	long_haul	12		✓	0.0157	0	0.117
17	long_haul	12		✗	0.202	0	0.665
18	hard_work	4		✓	0.459	0	0.00756
18	hard_work	4		✗	0.202	0	0.331
19	work_hard	24		✓	0.252	0	0.0185
19	work_hard	24		✗	0.586	0	0.143
20	econom_futur	186		✓	0.641	0.000199	0.0683
20	econom_futur	186		✗	0.279	0	0.0119
21	__NUM___year	10		✓	0.0334	0	0.203
21	__NUM___year	10		✗	0.687	0	0.076
22	cut_tax	49		✓	0.000199	0.00358	0.765
22	cut_tax	49		✗	0.000199	0	0.231
23	basic_econom	38		✓	0	0	0.121
23	basic_econom	38		✗	0	0	0.879
24	econom_plan	0		✓	0	0	0.00219
24	econom_plan	0		✗	0	0	0.998
25	tax_cut	52		✓	0	0.000398	0.177
25	tax_cut	52		✗	0	0	0.823
26	middl_class	16		✓	0.00239	0	0.0563
26	middl_class	16		✗	0	0	0.941
27	wall_street	6		✓	0.000597	0	0.0223
27	wall_street	6		✗	0.00159	0	0.976
28	tax_cut	46		✓	0.000796	0	0.159
28	tax_cut	46		✗	0	0	0.841
29	educ_spend	32		✓	0.00318	0	0.11
29	educ_spend	32		✗	0	0	0.887
30	job_train	3		✓	0.000597	0	0.0135
30	job_train	3		✗	0	0	0.986
31	train_program	0		✓	0.000199	0	0.00378
31	train_program	0		✗	0.000597	0	0.995
32	middl_class	3		✓	0.00119	0	0.0159
32	middl_class	3		✗	0.000199	0	0.983
33	tax_break	19		✓	0	0	0.0738
33	tax_break	19		✗	0	0	0.926
34	job_oversea	5		✓	0	0	0.0197
34	job_oversea	5		✗	0	0	0.98
35	roll_back	8		✓	0	0	0.0261
35	roll_back	8		✗	0	0	0.974
36	insur_compani	5		✓	0	0	0.0177
36	insur_compani	5		✗	0	0	0.982
37	oil_compani	2		✓	0	0	0.00915
37	oil_compani	2		✗	0	0	0.991
38	middl_class	52		✓	0.00716	0	0.201
38	middl_class	52		✗	0	0	0.792
39	auto_industri	11		✓	0	0	0.047
39	auto_industri	11		✗	0.000398	0	0.953
40	million_job	12		✓	0	0	0.0454
40	million_job	12		✗	0	0	0.955
41	american_worker	41		✓	0.000398	0	0.146
41	american_worker	41		✗	0	0	0.853
42	american_industri	7		✓	0	0	0.0267
42	american_industri	7		✗	0	0	0.973
43	__NUM___year	2		✓	0	0	0.0119
43	__NUM___year	2		✗	0	0	0.988
44	auto_industri	5		✓	0.000398	0	0.0201
44	auto_industri	5		✗	0	0	0.98
45	__NUM___employe	14		✓	0.00219	0.000398	0.045
45	__NUM___employe	14		✗	0	0	0.952
46	tax_break	118		✓	0	0	0.383
46	tax_break	118		✗	0	0	0.617
47	job_oversea	6		✓	0	0	0.0221
47	job_oversea	6		✗	0	0	0.978
48	auto_industri	68		✓	0.0404	0	0.214
48	auto_industri	68		✗	0	0	0.746
49	singl_dai	19		✓	0.458	0.000199	0.0316
49	singl_dai	19		✗	0.0362	0	0.474
50	previou_administr	33		✓	0.0511	0	0.236
50	previou_administr	33		✗	0.263	0	0.45
51	american_worker	55		✓	0.0422	0.00119	0.296
51	american_worker	55		✗	0.0987	0	0.562
52	fair_plai	15		✓	0.0277	0.00199	0.0543
52	fair_plai	15		✗	0.12	0.000995	0.795
53	plai_field	0		✓	0.00139	0	0.00358
53	plai_field	0		✗	0.146	0.00299	0.846
54	tax_credit	65		✓	0.854	0	0.00537
54	tax_credit	65		✗	0.108	0	0.0326
55	student_loan	29		✓	0.162	0	0.00199
55	student_loan	29		✗	0.834	0	0.00199
56	__NUM___million	37		✓	0.16	0	0.00716
56	__NUM___million	37		✗	0.832	0	0.000597
57	commun_colleg	8		✓	0.0472	0	0
57	commun_colleg	8		✗	0.953	0	0.000199
58	local_busi	5		✓	0.0255	0	0
58	local_busi	5		✗	0.975	0	0
59	__NUM___centuri	10		✓	0.0486	0	0
59	__NUM___centuri	10		✗	0.951	0	0
60	higher_educ	3		✓	0.0171	0	0
60	higher_educ	3		✗	0.983	0	0
61	young_peopl	17		✓	0.0905	0	0.000995
61	young_peopl	17		✗	0.908	0	0
62	middl_class	43		✓	0.207	0	0.00398
62	middl_class	43		✗	0.789	0	0
63	god_bless	1		✓	0.0109	0	0
63	god_bless	1		✗	0.989	0	0
64	save___MONEY__	41		✓	0.174	0	0
64	save___MONEY__	41		✗	0.826	0	0
65	low_interest_rate	5		✓	0.000199	0	0
65	low_interest_rate	5		✗	1	0	0
66	monei_back	80		✓	0.00637	0	0
66	monei_back	80		✗	0.994	0	0
67	small_busi	11		✓	0.000995	0	0.000398
67	small_busi	11		✗	0.999	0	0
68	hous_market	25		✓	0.00239	0	0
68	hous_market	25		✗	0.998	0	0
69	health_care_system	57		✓	0.00318	0	0
69	health_care_system	57		✗	0.997	0	0
70	vast_major	30		✓	0.00398	0	0.00139
70	vast_major	30		✗	0.995	0	0
71	insur_compani	14		✓	0.00239	0	0
71	insur_compani	14		✗	0.997	0	0.000995
72	__NUM___million	15		✓	0.00398	0	0
72	__NUM___million	15		✗	0.996	0	0
73	young_peopl	1		✓	0.000796	0	0
73	young_peopl	1		✗	0.999	0	0
74	health_insur	7		✓	0.000796	0	0
74	health_insur	7		✗	0.999	0	0
75	insur_plan	0		✓	0	0	0
75	insur_plan	0		✗	1	0	0
76	health_insur	6		✓	0.00179	0	0.00318
76	health_insur	6		✗	0.995	0	0
77	__NUM___year_ago	28		✓	0.653	0	0.0567
77	__NUM___year_ago	28		✗	0.289	0	0.000995
78	move_forward	7		✓	0.0281	0	0.0157
78	move_forward	7		✗	0.901	0	0.0549
79	health_insur	9		✓	0.0141	0	0.031
79	health_insur	9		✗	0.887	0	0.0679
80	insur_compani	3		✓	0.000398	0	0.00517
80	insur_compani	3		✗	0.897	0	0.0971
81	move_forward	18		✓	0.175	0	0.0979
81	move_forward	18		✗	0.639	0	0.088
82	put_peopl	71		✓	0.38	0	0.412
82	put_peopl	71		✗	0.0949	0	0.114
83	construct_worker	18		✓	0.0304	0	0.15
83	construct_worker	18		✗	0.337	0	0.482
84	move_forward	19		✓	0.0394	0.000199	0.105
84	move_forward	19		✗	0.272	0	0.584
85	democrat_presid	39		✓	0.0221	0.000597	0.316
85	democrat_presid	39		✗	0.0669	0	0.595
86	credit_card	12		✓	0	0	0.131
86	credit_card	12		✗	0.00199	0	0.867
87	tax_cut	2		✓	0.00199	0	0.0121
87	tax_cut	2		✗	0.00159	0	0.984
88	prescript_drug	5		✓	0.19	0	0.0119
88	prescript_drug	5		✗	0.00398	0	0.794
89	middl_class	32		✓	0.00796	0	0.267
89	middl_class	32		✗	0.00776	0	0.718
90	cut_spend	14		✓	0.000199	0	0.0597
90	cut_spend	14		✗	0.000199	0	0.94
91	tax_cut	28		✓	0	0	0.0933
91	tax_cut	28		✗	0	0	0.907
92	past_decad	3		✓	0.000199	0	0.0123
92	past_decad	3		✗	0	0	0.987
93	bill_clinton	37		✓	0	0	0.121
93	bill_clinton	37		✗	0	0	0.879
94	creat___NUM__	6		✓	0.000796	0	0.0253
94	creat___NUM__	6		✗	0	0	0.974
95	__NUM___million	0		✓	0.00219	0	0.00299
95	__NUM___million	0		✗	0.000796	0	0.994
96	rich_peopl	28		✓	0.0886	0	0.0854
96	rich_peopl	28		✗	0.00299	0	0.823
97	health_care	61		✓	0.798	0.00139	0.0291
97	health_care	61		✗	0.0657	0	0.106
98	middl_class	15		✓	0.175	0	0.000398
98	middl_class	15		✗	0.807	0.000398	0.0171
99	class_life	0		✓	0.0223	0	0
99	class_life	0		✗	0.977	0	0.000597
100	peopl_feel	81		✓	0.35	0	0.000199
100	peopl_feel	81		✗	0.65	0	0
101	good_thing	10		✓	0.0482	0	0
101	good_thing	10		✗	0.952	0	0
102	special_interest	52		✓	0.229	0	0.00119
102	special_interest	52		✗	0.77	0	0
103	hard_work	107		✓	0.391	0	0.0852
103	hard_work	107		✗	0.523	0	0.000199
104	privat_sector	91		✓	0.00159	0	0.933
104	privat_sector	91		✗	0.00259	0	0.0633
105	mitt_romnei	24		✓	0.000199	0	0.0826
105	mitt_romnei	24		✗	0.000398	0	0.917
106	creat_job	25		✓	0.0929	0.000199	0.0808
106	creat_job	25		✗	0.000398	0	0.826
107	middl_class	23		✓	0.636	0.000398	0.0229
107	middl_class	23		✗	0.0826	0	0.258
108	american_dream	4		✓	0.289	0	0.000398
108	american_dream	4		✗	0.703	0	0.00816
109	middl_class	18		✓	0.0806	0	0.00139
109	middl_class	18		✗	0.913	0	0.00458
110	american_dream	4		✓	0.0253	0	0.000199
110	american_dream	4		✗	0.972	0	0.00259
111	fair_share	27		✓	0.121	0	0.00776
111	fair_share	27		✗	0.87	0	0.00139
112	phone_call	175		✓	0.631	0	0
112	phone_call	175		✗	0.369	0	0
113	famili_member	7		✓	0.0414	0	0.00119
113	famili_member	7		✗	0.957	0	0
114	neg_ad	39		✓	0.172	0	0
114	neg_ad	39		✗	0.828	0	0
115	american_peopl	30		✓	0.132	0	0.000597
115	american_peopl	30		✗	0.868	0	0
116	voic_heard	14		✓	0.0687	0	0
116	voic_heard	14		✗	0.931	0	0
117	god_bless	52		✓	0.233	0	0
117	god_bless	52		✗	0.767	0	0
118	unit_state	5		✓	0.0253	0	0.00597
118	unit_state	5		✗	0.969	0	0
	__END_OF_SPEECH__	3

Barack Obama

Cue-lag representation