Measuring Ideological Proportions in Political Speeches

Cue-lag representation

The table below shows the cue-lag representation of the speech. For each cue term, it also displays the posterior distributions over ideology.

#	Cue term	Lag before term	Posterior distribution
#	Cue term	Lag before term	Restart		∑Left	Center	∑Right
1	week_ago	2		✓	0.684	0	0.316
1	week_ago	2		✗	0	0	0
2	good_peopl	67		✓	0.523	0	0.000398
2	good_peopl	67		✗	0.476	0	0.000796
3	south_carolina	2		✓	0.0119	0	0
3	south_carolina	2		✗	0.987	0	0.000597
4	long_time	35		✓	0.314	0	0.00438
4	long_time	35		✗	0.681	0	0
5	de_moin	23		✓	0.242	0	0.00318
5	de_moin	23		✗	0.754	0	0.000199
6	young_peopl	11		✓	0.14	0	0.00259
6	young_peopl	11		✗	0.856	0	0.00119
7	democrat_nomin	115		✓	0.338	0	0.00159
7	democrat_nomin	115		✗	0.661	0	0
8	white_hous	41		✓	0.188	0	0.0414
8	white_hous	41		✗	0.77	0	0.000597
9	statu_quo	7		✓	0.768	0	0.0251
9	statu_quo	7		✗	0.182	0	0.0245
10	fight_back	21		✓	0.153	0	0.00816
10	fight_back	21		✗	0.831	0	0.00816
11	health_care	27		✓	0.129	0	0.0137
11	health_care	27		✗	0.848	0	0.00935
12	white_hous	109		✓	0.548	0	0.00697
12	white_hous	109		✗	0.445	0	0.000199
13	common_purpos	27		✓	0.0384	0	0
13	common_purpos	27		✗	0.961	0	0.000796
14	american_peopl	145		✓	0.523	0	0.083
14	american_peopl	145		✗	0.394	0	0.000199
15	young_peopl	92		✓	0.537	0	0.00776
15	young_peopl	92		✗	0.454	0	0.000796
16	white_south	84		✓	0.312	0	0.000398
16	white_south	84		✗	0.687	0	0
17	south_carolina	0		✓	0.000597	0	0
17	south_carolina	0		✗	0.999	0	0.000398
18	black_children	20		✓	0.0233	0	0.000199
18	black_children	20		✗	0.977	0	0
19	make_mistak	195		✓	0.635	0.000597	0.165
19	make_mistak	195		✗	0.199	0	0
20	health_care	33		✓	0.28	0.000199	0.00975
20	health_care	33		✗	0.678	0	0.0316
21	decent_wage	5		✓	0.0448	0	0.00159
21	decent_wage	5		✗	0.925	0	0.0285
22	south_carolina	21		✓	0.086	0	0.000597
22	south_carolina	21		✗	0.91	0	0.00318
23	health_care_plan	23		✓	0.94	0	0.00378
23	health_care_plan	23		✗	0.0527	0	0.00318
24	cut_cost	3		✓	0.000796	0	0
24	cut_cost	3		✗	0.992	0	0.00697
25	health_care	3		✓	0.0261	0	0.000597
25	health_care	3		✗	0.968	0	0.00577
26	educ_system	31		✓	0.909	0	0.0105
26	educ_system	31		✗	0.0794	0	0.000796
27	tax_break	61		✓	0.000398	0	0.989
27	tax_break	61		✗	0.00239	0	0.00816
28	job_oversea	6		✓	0	0	0.0169
28	job_oversea	6		✗	0	0	0.983
29	work_american	9		✓	0.00279	0.000199	0.0163
29	work_american	9		✗	0	0	0.981
30	common_sens	144		✓	0.249	0	0.116
30	common_sens	144		✗	0.00139	0	0.633
31	share_prosper	9		✓	0.0217	0	0.0181
31	share_prosper	9		✗	0.24	0	0.72
32	big_monei	44		✓	0.537	0	0.045
32	big_monei	44		✗	0.223	0	0.195
33	south_carolina	147		✓	0.477	0	0.00318
33	south_carolina	147		✗	0.518	0	0.00139
	__END_OF_SPEECH__	154

Barack Obama

Cue-lag representation