Measuring Ideological Proportions in Political Speeches

Cue-lag representation

The table below shows the cue-lag representation of the speech. For each cue term, it also displays the posterior distributions over ideology.

#	Cue term	Lag before term	Posterior distribution
#	Cue term	Lag before term	Restart		∑Left	Center	∑Right
1	small_busi	45		✓	0.522	0.0267	0.452
1	small_busi	45		✗	0	0	0
2	health_insur	120		✓	0.5	0	0.0422
2	health_insur	120		✗	0.411	0	0.0466
3	annual_incom	54		✓	0.0448	0	0.0151
3	annual_incom	54		✗	0.886	0	0.0541
4	health_care	2		✓	0.00259	0	0.00299
4	health_care	2		✗	0.928	0	0.0669
5	retir_plan	5		✓	0.00577	0	0.0175
5	retir_plan	5		✗	0.907	0	0.0697
6	credit_card	26		✓	0.0167	0.000199	0.871
6	credit_card	26		✗	0.0507	0	0.0609
7	loan_offic	23		✓	0.125	0.00318	0.0623
7	loan_offic	23		✗	0.0563	0.000199	0.753
8	hard_work	67		✓	0.849	0	0.0219
8	hard_work	67		✗	0.0659	0	0.0629
9	insur_industri	46		✓	0.267	0	0.00219
9	insur_industri	46		✗	0.727	0	0.00438
10	american_peopl	15		✓	0.584	0	0.04
10	american_peopl	15		✗	0.372	0	0.00398
11	town_hall	28		✓	0.344	0	0.000199
11	town_hall	28		✗	0.656	0	0.000199
12	medic_bill	32		✓	0.0436	0	0.000597
12	medic_bill	32		✗	0.956	0	0.000199
13	health_care	24		✓	0.0105	0	0
13	health_care	24		✗	0.989	0	0
14	health_care_plan	26		✓	0.00816	0	0
14	health_care_plan	26		✗	0.992	0	0
15	insur_industri	22		✓	0.00597	0	0
15	insur_industri	22		✗	0.994	0	0
16	rise_cost	25		✓	0.00975	0	0
16	rise_cost	25		✗	0.99	0	0
17	health_care	2		✓	0.00119	0	0
17	health_care	2		✗	0.999	0	0
18	small_busi	31		✓	0.0129	0.000597	0.00299
18	small_busi	31		✗	0.983	0	0
19	busi_owner	0		✓	0.000199	0	0.000199
19	busi_owner	0		✗	0.996	0.000597	0.00279
20	__NUM___million	23		✓	0.0143	0	0.000995
20	__NUM___million	23		✗	0.983	0	0.00119
21	medic_bill	27		✓	0.0103	0	0
21	medic_bill	27		✗	0.989	0	0.000398
22	health_care	6		✓	0.00259	0	0
22	health_care	6		✗	0.997	0	0
23	cut_back	38		✓	0.0295	0	0.00139
23	cut_back	38		✗	0.969	0	0
24	health_care_cost	9		✓	0.00418	0	0
24	health_care_cost	9		✗	0.996	0	0
25	__NUM___million	2		✓	0.00119	0	0
25	__NUM___million	2		✗	0.999	0	0
26	health_care	12		✓	0.00418	0	0
26	health_care	12		✗	0.996	0	0
27	person_bankruptci	8		✓	0.00338	0	0
27	person_bankruptci	8		✗	0.997	0	0
28	medic_bill	5		✓	0.00139	0	0
28	medic_bill	5		✗	0.999	0	0
29	small_busi	10		✓	0.00438	0.000199	0.000398
29	small_busi	10		✗	0.995	0	0
30	rise_cost	17		✓	0.00517	0	0.000398
30	rise_cost	17		✗	0.994	0.000199	0.000199
31	univers_health_care	35		✓	0.00975	0	0
31	univers_health_care	35		✗	0.99	0	0
32	health_care_cost	16		✓	0.00279	0	0
32	health_care_cost	16		✗	0.997	0	0
33	viciou_cycl	14		✓	0.00398	0	0
33	viciou_cycl	14		✗	0.996	0	0
34	emerg_room	22		✓	0.00418	0	0
34	emerg_room	22		✗	0.996	0	0
35	health_care	95		✓	0.0334	0	0
35	health_care	95		✗	0.967	0	0
36	administr_cost	5		✓	0.00179	0	0
36	administr_cost	5		✗	0.998	0	0
37	share_inform	28		✓	0.0125	0	0.0382
37	share_inform	28		✗	0.949	0	0
38	medic_error	14		✓	0.0448	0	0
38	medic_error	14		✗	0.955	0	0
39	__MONEY___billion	4		✓	0.00119	0	0
39	__MONEY___billion	4		✗	0.999	0	0
40	prescript_drug	3		✓	0.000796	0	0
40	prescript_drug	3		✗	0.999	0	0
41	health_care_system	23		✓	0.0141	0	0
41	health_care_system	23		✗	0.986	0	0
42	statu_quo	67		✓	0.816	0	0.00975
42	statu_quo	67		✗	0.175	0	0
43	insur_compani	5		✓	0.0259	0	0.000199
43	insur_compani	5		✗	0.969	0	0.00478
44	medic_bill	8		✓	0.00139	0	0.000398
44	medic_bill	8		✗	0.993	0	0.00498
45	presid_bush	14		✓	0.00418	0	0.00716
45	presid_bush	14		✗	0.983	0	0.00537
46	fastest_grow	6		✓	0.00776	0	0.000597
46	fastest_grow	6		✗	0.986	0	0.00597
47	health_care	3		✓	0.00776	0	0
47	health_care	3		✗	0.992	0	0
48	administr_cost	4		✓	0.00139	0	0
48	administr_cost	4		✗	0.999	0	0
49	insur_compani	4		✓	0.00179	0	0
49	insur_compani	4		✗	0.998	0	0
50	prescript_drug	12		✓	0.00199	0	0
50	prescript_drug	12		✗	0.998	0	0
51	insur_compani	9		✓	0.00159	0	0.00736
51	insur_compani	9		✗	0.991	0	0
52	__MONEY___million	17		✓	0.134	0	0.155
52	__MONEY___million	17		✗	0.705	0	0.00637
53	same_year	3		✓	0.00557	0	0.00975
53	same_year	3		✗	0.828	0	0.157
54	stock_option	6		✓	0.0157	0	0.00637
54	stock_option	6		✗	0.827	0	0.151
55	__MONEY___billion	3		✓	0.00716	0	0.00338
55	__MONEY___billion	3		✗	0.84	0	0.15
56	health_care	13		✓	0.13	0	0.0143
56	health_care	13		✗	0.839	0	0.0167
57	cost_monei	14		✓	0.00697	0	0.00796
57	cost_monei	14		✗	0.956	0	0.0291
58	insur_industri	8		✓	0.0406	0	0.000199
58	insur_industri	8		✗	0.959	0	0
59	__MONEY___billion	6		✓	0.00119	0	0.000199
59	__MONEY___billion	6		✗	0.999	0	0
60	campaign_contribut	4		✓	0.00418	0	0.000199
60	campaign_contribut	4		✗	0.996	0	0
61	ten_year	4		✓	0.00139	0	0
61	ten_year	4		✗	0.998	0	0.000199
62	pretti_good	11		✓	0.00577	0	0
62	pretti_good	11		✗	0.994	0	0
63	prescript_drug	10		✓	0.00338	0	0
63	prescript_drug	10		✗	0.997	0	0
64	insur_compani	9		✓	0.00279	0	0
64	insur_compani	9		✗	0.997	0	0
65	perfectli_understand	14		✓	0.00816	0	0.000398
65	perfectli_understand	14		✗	0.991	0	0
66	health_care	41		✓	0.0201	0	0.00119
66	health_care	41		✗	0.979	0	0
67	care_debat	91		✓	0.0458	0.000199	0.00338
67	care_debat	91		✗	0.951	0	0
68	insur_industri	33		✓	0.0175	0	0
68	insur_industri	33		✗	0.982	0	0
69	rise_cost	44		✓	0.0193	0	0
69	rise_cost	44		✗	0.981	0	0
70	republican_governor	20		✓	0.00597	0	0
70	republican_governor	20		✗	0.994	0	0
71	cut_cost	19		✓	0.00537	0	0.00259
71	cut_cost	19		✗	0.992	0	0
72	state_senat	11		✓	0.754	0	0.00139
72	state_senat	11		✗	0.245	0	0
73	pass_legisl	9		✓	0.0297	0	0.000995
73	pass_legisl	9		✗	0.968	0	0.00139
74	price_goug	19		✓	0.138	0.000199	0.0169
74	price_goug	19		✗	0.843	0	0.00199
75	medic_error	41		✓	0.466	0	0
75	medic_error	41		✗	0.534	0	0
76	univers_coverag	25		✓	0.0103	0	0
76	univers_coverag	25		✗	0.99	0	0
77	nation_level	11		✓	0.00756	0	0.000199
77	nation_level	11		✗	0.992	0	0
78	health_care_plan	3		✓	0.000995	0	0
78	health_care_plan	3		✗	0.999	0	0
79	univers_health_care	23		✓	0.00796	0	0
79	univers_health_care	23		✗	0.992	0	0
80	health_care_plan	0		✓	0.000199	0	0
80	health_care_plan	0		✗	1	0	0
81	health_insur	120		✓	0.0418	0	0.000398
81	health_insur	120		✗	0.958	0	0
82	__NUM___million_american	33		✓	0.00915	0	0
82	__NUM___million_american	33		✗	0.991	0	0
83	health_insur	5		✓	0.000995	0	0
83	health_insur	5		✗	0.999	0	0
84	insur_plan	33		✓	0.00816	0	0
84	insur_plan	33		✗	0.992	0	0
85	feder_employe	8		✓	0.000995	0	0
85	feder_employe	8		✗	0.999	0	0
86	medic_servic	23		✓	0.00716	0	0
86	medic_servic	23		✗	0.993	0	0
87	mental_health	11		✓	0.0119	0	0
87	mental_health	11		✗	0.988	0	0
88	health_care	0		✓	0.000597	0	0
88	health_care	0		✗	0.999	0	0
89	high_standard	6		✓	0.0318	0	0.000597
89	high_standard	6		✗	0.968	0	0
90	long_line	56		✓	0.0687	0	0.00378
90	long_line	56		✗	0.927	0	0.000398
91	privat_plan	21		✓	0.0557	0	0.00597
91	privat_plan	21		✗	0.937	0	0.00159
92	health_coverag	34		✓	0.0195	0.000796	0.0326
92	health_coverag	34		✗	0.94	0	0.00697
93	bush_tax_cut	18		✓	0.00657	0	0.104
93	bush_tax_cut	18		✗	0.856	0	0.0332
94	health_care_system	18		✓	0.141	0	0.000199
94	health_care_system	18		✗	0.857	0	0.00159
95	industri_nation	17		✓	0.0127	0	0.000398
95	industri_nation	17		✗	0.986	0	0.000995
96	health_care_plan	21		✓	0.0201	0	0
96	health_care_plan	21		✗	0.98	0	0
97	health_care_system	19		✓	0.00697	0	0
97	health_care_system	19		✗	0.993	0	0
98	__NUM___centuri	4		✓	0.0131	0	0
98	__NUM___centuri	4		✗	0.987	0	0
99	american_famili	7		✓	0.00816	0	0.000398
99	american_famili	7		✗	0.991	0	0
100	health_care_cost	49		✓	0.0177	0	0
100	health_care_cost	49		✗	0.982	0	0
101	heart_diseas	11		✓	0.00418	0	0
101	heart_diseas	11		✗	0.996	0	0
102	insur_compani	9		✓	0.00239	0	0
102	insur_compani	9		✗	0.998	0	0
103	lion_share	5		✓	0.000796	0	0
103	lion_share	5		✗	0.999	0	0
104	higher_premium	26		✓	0.00577	0	0
104	higher_premium	26		✗	0.994	0	0
105	feder_govern	6		✓	0.00119	0	0
105	feder_govern	6		✗	0.999	0	0
106	health_care_system	26		✓	0.00657	0	0
106	health_care_system	26		✗	0.993	0	0
107	public_health	50		✓	0.0149	0	0.00159
107	public_health	50		✗	0.983	0	0
108	financi_incent	30		✓	0.0107	0	0.000199
108	financi_incent	30		✗	0.988	0	0.000597
109	health_care	2		✓	0.00239	0	0
109	health_care	2		✗	0.997	0	0.000199
110	nation_health	51		✓	0.0205	0	0
110	nation_health	51		✗	0.98	0	0
111	health_care_plan	0		✓	0.000398	0	0
111	health_care_plan	0		✗	1	0	0
112	prevent_care	16		✓	0.00478	0	0
112	prevent_care	16		✗	0.995	0	0
113	health_care	68		✓	0.0223	0	0
113	health_care	68		✗	0.978	0	0
114	__MONEY___billion	20		✓	0.00557	0	0.000398
114	__MONEY___billion	20		✗	0.994	0	0
115	studi_found	4		✓	0.00179	0	0
115	studi_found	4		✗	0.998	0	0
116	spent___MONEY__	6		✓	0.00239	0	0
116	spent___MONEY__	6		✗	0.998	0	0
117	__MONEY___billion	0		✓	0.000199	0	0
117	__MONEY___billion	0		✗	1	0	0
118	health_care	70		✓	0.0275	0	0.000199
118	health_care	70		✗	0.972	0	0
119	medic_error	28		✓	0.00756	0	0
119	medic_error	28		✗	0.992	0	0
120	__NUM___centuri	92		✓	0.103	0	0.000199
120	__NUM___centuri	92		✗	0.896	0	0
121	health_care	1		✓	0.00199	0	0
121	health_care	1		✗	0.998	0	0
122	industri_base	1		✓	0.000199	0	0
122	industri_base	1		✗	1	0	0
123	__NUM___centuri	7		✓	0.00597	0	0
123	__NUM___centuri	7		✗	0.994	0	0
124	industri_base	1		✓	0.000796	0	0
124	industri_base	1		✗	0.999	0	0
125	inform_technolog	4		✓	0.00219	0	0
125	inform_technolog	4		✗	0.998	0	0
126	administr_cost	12		✓	0.0109	0	0
126	administr_cost	12		✗	0.989	0	0
127	medic_record	39		✓	0.0107	0	0
127	medic_record	39		✗	0.989	0	0
128	health_care	30		✓	0.0129	0	0.000199
128	health_care	30		✗	0.987	0	0
129	long_overdu	17		✓	0.00776	0	0.00279
129	long_overdu	17		✗	0.989	0	0
130	medic_record	5		✓	0.00438	0	0
130	medic_record	5		✗	0.996	0	0
131	easi_access	8		✓	0.00219	0	0.000199
131	easi_access	8		✗	0.998	0	0
132	medic_error	34		✓	0.00697	0	0
132	medic_error	34		✗	0.993	0	0
133	insur_compani	51		✓	0.0125	0	0.000199
133	insur_compani	51		✗	0.987	0	0
134	health_care	4		✓	0.00119	0	0
134	health_care	4		✗	0.999	0	0.000199
135	pharmaceut_industri	12		✓	0.00597	0	0.00119
135	pharmaceut_industri	12		✗	0.993	0	0
136	high_price	114		✓	0.0539	0	0.00239
136	high_price	114		✗	0.944	0	0
137	drug_compani	27		✓	0.0121	0	0
137	drug_compani	27		✗	0.988	0	0
138	prescript_drug	7		✓	0.00199	0	0
138	prescript_drug	7		✗	0.998	0	0
139	drug_industri	12		✓	0.00398	0	0
139	drug_industri	12		✗	0.996	0	0
140	ten_year	8		✓	0.00119	0	0
140	ten_year	8		✗	0.999	0	0
141	health_insur	8		✓	0.00179	0	0
141	health_insur	8		✗	0.998	0	0
142	insur_market	19		✓	0.00378	0	0
142	insur_market	19		✗	0.996	0	0
143	insur_compani	38		✓	0.00955	0	0
143	insur_compani	38		✗	0.99	0	0
144	insur_industri	20		✓	0.00517	0	0
144	insur_industri	20		✗	0.995	0	0
145	insur_compani	8		✓	0.00299	0	0.00338
145	insur_compani	8		✗	0.994	0	0
146	centuri_ago	84		✓	0.981	0.000199	0.00478
146	centuri_ago	84		✗	0.0141	0	0
147	america_found	2		✓	0.00537	0	0.000199
147	america_found	2		✗	0.99	0.000199	0.00438
148	health_care	7		✓	0.0545	0	0.00318
148	health_care	7		✗	0.942	0.000199	0
149	american_live	29		✓	0.0641	0	0.00935
149	american_live	29		✗	0.925	0	0.00119
150	health_insur	9		✓	0.739	0	0.00617
150	health_insur	9		✗	0.255	0	0
151	health_care	2		✓	0.00498	0	0
151	health_care	2		✗	0.991	0	0.00358
152	privat_insur	11		✓	0.0135	0	0.00179
152	privat_insur	11		✗	0.983	0	0.00119
153	simpli_refus	1		✓	0.0306	0	0.00398
153	simpli_refus	1		✗	0.962	0	0.00299
154	health_care_reform	25		✓	0.104	0	0.133
154	health_care_reform	25		✗	0.759	0	0.00358
155	interest_group	12		✓	0.35	0	0.141
155	interest_group	12		✗	0.384	0	0.125
156	american_peopl	8		✓	0.14	0	0.0205
156	american_peopl	8		✗	0.637	0	0.202
157	health_care	58		✓	0.332	0	0.0295
157	health_care	58		✗	0.627	0	0.0113
158	lyndon_johnson	20		✓	0.0519	0	0.0175
158	lyndon_johnson	20		✗	0.903	0	0.0277
159	medicar_bill	3		✓	0.0103	0	0.00139
159	medicar_bill	3		✗	0.947	0	0.0414
160	univers_health_care	29		✓	0.0909	0	0.000398
160	univers_health_care	29		✗	0.907	0	0.00199
161	harri_truman	7		✓	0.0209	0	0.114
161	harri_truman	7		✗	0.863	0	0.00199
162	govern_program	20		✓	0.0583	0	0.132
162	govern_program	20		✗	0.727	0	0.0834
163	presid_johnson	14		✓	0.0533	0.000398	0.0328
163	presid_johnson	14		✗	0.724	0	0.19
164	health_care	95		✓	0.534	0.000199	0.0125
164	health_care	95		✗	0.451	0	0.00259
165	univers_health_care	45		✓	0.0888	0	0.000199
165	univers_health_care	45		✗	0.91	0	0.000995
	__END_OF_SPEECH__	27

Barack Obama

Cue-lag representation