Measuring Ideological Proportions in Political Speeches

Cue-lag representation

The table below shows the cue-lag representation of the speech. For each cue term, it also displays the posterior distributions over ideology.

#	Cue term	Lag before term	Posterior distribution
#	Cue term	Lag before term	Restart		∑Left	Center	∑Right
1	global_econom	21		✓	0.153	0.694	0.153
1	global_econom	21		✗	0	0	0
2	econom_crisi	0		✓	0.00159	0.00498	0
2	econom_crisi	0		✗	0.151	0.693	0.149
3	work_group	73		✓	0.000597	0.199	0.0291
3	work_group	73		✗	0.00318	0.633	0.135
4	financi_market	2		✓	0.000199	0.0163	0.000199
4	financi_market	2		✗	0.00219	0.831	0.15
5	central_bank	53		✓	0.00677	0.11	0.00159
5	central_bank	53		✗	0.000597	0.799	0.0826
6	stimulu_packag	23		✓	0.03	0.0253	0.00299
6	stimulu_packag	23		✗	0.00597	0.876	0.0593
7	white_hous	33		✓	0.102	0.0346	0.00995
7	white_hous	33		✗	0.0251	0.82	0.00856
8	mortgag_crisi	13		✓	0.000398	0.154	0
8	mortgag_crisi	13		✗	0.00179	0.843	0
9	hous_market	42		✓	0	0.0406	0
9	hous_market	42		✗	0	0.959	0
10	tax_system	6		✓	0.00159	0.00517	0
10	tax_system	6		✗	0	0.993	0
11	incom_tax	21		✓	0.000199	0.0193	0
11	incom_tax	21		✗	0	0.98	0
12	million_peopl	6		✓	0.00458	0.00657	0
12	million_peopl	6		✗	0.000199	0.989	0
13	work_peopl	10		✓	0.00159	0.0113	0
13	work_peopl	10		✗	0.00358	0.983	0
14	incom_tax	9		✓	0.00119	0.0107	0
14	incom_tax	9		✗	0.00358	0.984	0
15	white_hous	14		✓	0.119	0.0133	0.0135
15	white_hous	14		✗	0.00577	0.849	0
16	hous_market	57		✓	0.00358	0.163	0.00119
16	hous_market	57		✗	0.0125	0.82	0.000597
17	american_consum	82		✓	0.335	0.0521	0
17	american_consum	82		✗	0.0143	0.598	0
18	global_economi	5		✓	0.00438	0.00378	0
18	global_economi	5		✗	0.349	0.643	0
19	american_consum	18		✓	0.00697	0.0127	0
19	american_consum	18		✗	0.351	0.629	0
20	global_market	11		✓	0.00617	0.00796	0.000199
20	global_market	11		✗	0.358	0.628	0
21	feder_govern	15		✓	0.00159	0.0215	0
21	feder_govern	15		✗	0.348	0.629	0
22	american_consum	28		✓	0.00139	0.0549	0.000796
22	american_consum	28		✗	0.31	0.633	0
23	increas_cost	5		✓	0.000398	0.311	0.000199
23	increas_cost	5		✗	0.00378	0.684	0.000199
24	middl_class	7		✓	0.00119	0.00896	0
24	middl_class	7		✗	0.00179	0.988	0
25	class_life	0		✓	0	0.000199	0.000199
25	class_life	0		✗	0.00279	0.997	0
26	health_care	9		✓	0.00279	0.00617	0
26	health_care	9		✗	0.00259	0.988	0
27	energi_cost	4		✓	0.000199	0.00378	0
27	energi_cost	4		✗	0.00517	0.991	0
28	global_crisi	45		✓	0.0919	0.031	0.0685
28	global_crisi	45		✗	0.00438	0.804	0
	__END_OF_SPEECH__	23

Hillary Clinton

Cue-lag representation