| Select Evidence Variables | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Cloudy | |||
| Sprinkler | |||
| Rainy | |||
| Wet Grass | |||
| +c | 0.5 |
| -c | 0.5 |
| +c | +s | 0.1 |
| -s | 0.9 | |
| -c | +s | 0.5 |
| -s | 0.5 |
| +c | +r | 0.8 |
| -r | 0.2 | |
| -c | +r | 0.2 |
| -r | 0.8 |
| +s | +r | +w | 0.99 |
| -w | 0.01 | ||
| -r | +w | 0.9 | |
| -w | 0.1 | ||
| -s | +r | +w | 0.9 |
| -w | 0.1 | ||
| -r | +w | 0.99 | |
| -w | 0.01 |
def likelihood_sampling(graph):
for num sample:
for X in [Cloudy,Sprinkler,Rain,Wet Grass]:
if Xi is an evidence variable:
w = w * P(Xi | Parents(Xi))
else:
sample xi from P(Xi | Parents(Xi))
record (x1,x2,x3,x4),w
| Cloudy | Sprinkler | Rain | Wet Grass | Count N(C,S,R,W) |
Weight | Approximate P(+c,S,-r,W) |
Exact P(C,S,R,W) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +c | +s | +r | +w | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| +c | +s | +r | -w | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| +c | +s | -r | +w | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| +c | +s | -r | -w | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| +c | -s | +r | +w | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| +c | -s | +r | -w | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| +c | -s | -r | +w | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| +c | -s | -r | -w | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| -c | +s | +r | +w | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| -c | +s | +r | -w | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| -c | +s | -r | +w | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| -c | +s | -r | -w | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| -c | -s | +r | +w | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| -c | -s | +r | -w | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| -c | -s | -r | +w | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| -c | -s | -r | -w | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Local Variables | |
|---|---|
| Current Sample | (?,?,?,?) |
| Current Node | None |
| Current Weight | 1 |
| Number of Samples | 0 |
| Cloudy | Sprinkler | Rain | Wet Grass | Count N(C,S,R,W) |
Number of Samples | Approximate Prob of Sample | Exact Prob of Sample | Weight | Approximate Prob of Joint | Exact Prob of Joint |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +c | +s | +r | +w | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| +c | +s | +r | -w | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| +c | +s | -r | +w | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| +c | +s | -r | -w | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| +c | -s | +r | +w | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| +c | -s | +r | -w | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| +c | -s | -r | +w | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| +c | -s | -r | -w | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| -c | +s | +r | +w | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| -c | +s | +r | -w | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| -c | +s | -r | +w | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| -c | +s | -r | -w | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| -c | -s | +r | +w | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| -c | -s | +r | -w | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| -c | -s | -r | +w | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| -c | -s | -r | -w | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |