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The strongest statement considered here is the independence
of a variable and its nondescendants given its parents. The
natural extension is then derived from the full joint credal
set K(f, b), which has six vertices:
1/4 (1, 1, 1, 1),
(0.36, 0.24, 0.24, 0.16),
1/10 (2, 2, 3, 3),
1/10 (2, 3, 2, 3),
1/9 (2, 2, 2, 3),
1/11 (2, 3, 3, 3). Computation of p(d|l) in each
of the six joint distribution leads to the lower bound 0.3818
and the upper bound 0.4509.
Fabio Gagliardi Cozman
1998-07-03