Event class: general election, labour, party, election, government, labour party, leader, prime minister, liberal, conservative

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Events with high posterior probability

Premiership of Tony BlairOn 10 May 2007, Blair held a Cabinet meeting where he told his ministers about his resignation plans and later making a speech at the Trimdon Labour Club in his Sedgefield constituency before announcing at a press conference that he would step down as Prime Minister on 27 June 2007 and that he would be asking the NEC to begin seeking a successor as Labour leader immediately.
Clement FreudIn his column in Racing Post, issue of 23 August 2006, he wrote about his election to Parliament in a by-election :'' Politically, I was an anti-Conservative unable to join a Labour party hell-bent on nationalising everything that moved, so when a by-election occurred in East Anglia, where I lived and live, I stood as a Liberal and was fortunate in getting in.
Abraham EnglandDuring the Liberal turmoil which followed the formation of the National Government in August 1931 and the split in the party over whether to continue giving it support which occurred in October that year, England was on the side of the National Liberals led by Sir John Simon.
Malcolm RifkindDuring the leadership election in 1975 he supported Edward Heath in the first round but when Heath withdrew Rifkind voted for Margaret Thatcher.
Alec Douglas-HomeDouglas-Home shared their view that Labour would win the 1970 election, and that Heath might then have to resign, but he declined to commit himself.
Roger DouglasIn December 1988, Douglas wrote to Lange to tell him that he intended to tell the Labour caucus he could no longer serve in a government led by him.
Zameer ChoudreyPolitics : A long standing supporter of UK's Conservative Party, Zameer Choudrey in August 2013 was appointed the Co-Chairman of the Conservative Friends of Pakistan.
Frank Field (politician)On 6 January 2010, Field was one of the few Labour leaders to back Geoff Hoon and Patricia Hewitt's calls for a secret ballot of the Parliamentary Labour Party in regards to the leadership of Gordon Brown.
Iain Wright He was the only Hartlepool member on the shortlist when Peter Mandelson stepped down as Labour MP for the town in September 2004 and was easily selected as the Labour Party candidate for the by-election ; during the later stages of the campaign, three local members - one of whom featured in Conservative Party leaflets and another of whom had earlier failed to win the nomination - were reported in the Guardian newspaper (which subsequently endorsed Liberal Democrat rival Jody Dunn) to have been unhappy that no other local candidate had been available.
Marco Pierre WhiteAsked in April 2007 whether he would be following in the manner of the show's previous incumbent, Gordon Ramsay, White said,'' Gordon did it his way ; I'll do it my way.
William Henry CushingMorley, 1927 cairn at Morley, 1927 Sifton left Cushing, along with all other major figures of the A&GW dispute, out of his first cabinet ; Ezra Riley, a staunch Cushing ally, resigned his seat in protest.
William Rodgers, Baron Rodgers of Quarry BankWith Labour drifting to the left, Rodgers joined Shirley Williams, Roy Jenkins and David Owen in forming the Social Democratic Party in 1981.
Eric HefferIn December 1981 he attempted to solve the problem of Michael Foot's denunciation of Peter Tatchell (who had been selected as Labour candidate for Bermondsey) by holding a quick enquiry, but this attempt failed when Foot loyalists passed a motion to refuse Tatchell endorsement.
Aubrey HerbertHis friendship with Middle East ern traveller and advisor Sir Mark Sykes dates from his entry into parliament in 1911 when, with George Lloyd, they were the three youngest Conservative MPs.
Mark FieldThe day after the resignation of Cllr Colin Barrow's resignation as Leader of Westminster City Council in January 2012 on the BBC's inaugural Sunday Politics, Field said about the West End parking charges plan :'' Given the furore, given the strength of the campaign by the Evening Standard, I would be very surprised if his successor runs along with this.''
Patrick J. ReynoldsThe 1960s proved to be a fallow period for Fine Gael as the party was out of power for the entire decade, but at the 1973 general election a Fine Gael -- Labour Party coalition government came to power and Reynolds was elected to the 20th Dáil for Roscommon -- Leitrim.
Ken LivingstoneRecognising this, in 2000, the former Labour Party leader Neil Kinnock asserted that Livingstone could only be defined as a'' Kennist''.
Abraham FlintThe next year, Flint married Eleanor Mary Jones, who was from Loughborough ; Up until the political crisis of 1931, Flint had been a member of the Labour Party, but he followed Ramsay MacDonald and supported the creation of the National Government.
Ellenor BlandIn 2007 she was suspended from the Conservative Party and subsequently joined the UK Independence Party along with the majority of the local Conservative Councillors in Calne.
Michael Martin, Baron Martin of SpringburnShortly after the 2005 election, when Liberal Democrat MP Patsy Calton entered the Commons for the last time to affirm her allegiance from a wheelchair and sign register, Martin broke with tradition and left the Speaker's Chair to shake her hand and kiss her on the cheek, saying'' welcome home Patsy.''
David OwenAs Foreign Secretary, Owen was identified with the Anglo-American plan for then - Rhodesia, which formed the basis for the Lancaster House Agreement, negotiated by his Tory successor, Lord Carrington in December 1979.
Albert Edward Martin At the 1922 general election Martin stood as a National Liberal, that is to say as a supporter of outgoing Prime Minister David Lloyd George of whose Coalition government he had been a supporter.
Peter Hubbard-MilesHe showed his independence and fighting spirit during the selection process before the 1983 election, when he successfully took his local Conservative and Unionist Association to court and managed to stop the foisting on the constituency of a person who was rumoured to be a friend of the right hon. Member for Chingford (Mr. Tebbit), the present Conservative party chairman.
Bryan Stanleyco. uk/politics/2009 / jul/26/obituary-bryan-stanley Obituary : Bryan Stanley'', The Guardian, 26 July 2009 Although on the right of the Labour Party, Stanley rejected an offer from Shirley Williams to defect to the Social Democratic Party, instead working to oppose the left within the party.
John Morley, 1st Viscount Morley of BlackburnHe liked Winston Churchill and said to Morgan on 22 December 1921 : I foresee the day when Birkenhead will be Prime Minister in the Lords with Winston leading the Commons.
Frederick GuestIn 1904, during the controversy within the Conservative Party over adopting protectionism, Guest and other members of his family had followed Churchill into the Liberal Party in support of free trade -- and perhaps also to accelerate their political careers.
David Robertson (British politician)The constituency had a long Liberal tradition but the Conservatives had won the seat from Liberal leader Sir Archibald Sinclair in 1945 on a pledge by the candidate Eric Gandar Dower to seek re-election after the capitulation of Japan ; as a result of breaking that promise (among other things), Gandar Dower had fallen out with his Unionist Association.
Mo MowlamFollowing Smith's death in 1994, Mowlam, alongside Peter Kilfoyle, became a principal organiser of Tony Blair's campaign for the Labour leadership.
Paddy Ashdown In June 2007, the BBC reported that Ashdown had been offered, and rejected, the Cabinet post of Northern Ireland Secretary by incoming Labour Party Prime Minister Gordon Brown.
Norman BoydHe acted as whip for the new group, and was selected to stand for Westminster under his new party label at the South Antrim by-election, 2000, but withdrew during the campaign, calling on his supporters to back the Democratic Unionist Party candidate William McCrea.
John Beckett (politician)Beckett opposed Ramsay MacDonald's formation of the UK National Government and returned to the ILP fold in 1931, failing to hold his seat, with the vote split between three'' Labour'' candidates.
John Beckett (politician)Beckett however struggled to reconnect with his former supporters on the Left and in 1934 when he returned to Gateshead and Newcastle upon Tyne for speaking engagements he was met with large hostile crowds and shouts of traitor.
Arthur BalfourBalfour remained an important figure within the party, however, and when the Unionists joined Asquith's coalition government in May 1915, Balfour succeeded Winston Churchill as First Lord of the Admiralty.
John R. Pinnigerright | frame | John Pinniger at a Monday Club Young Members' Group event, 15 July 1981 John R Pinniger is a former Conservative councillor for the London Borough of Lambeth and an unsuccessful Conservative candidate for the European Parliament.
Rufus HoundOn BBC Three's 20 October 2010 edition of Young Voters' Question Time Hound said that he voted for Liberal Democrats in the general election.
David Renton, Baron RentonIn 1968 he was one of the final three National Liberal MPs who opted to wind up the party and become a full part of the Conservatives.
Richard Thomas EvansBy 1934 Evans must have been having thoughts about the approaching general election because, according to the diary of Frances Stevenson he wrote to Lloyd George's principal private secretary, A J Sylvester, asking about a rumour he had heard that Lloyd George had told Daniel Hopkin, the former Labour MP for Carmarthen, that he would publicly support him at the next election and possibly even go down to Carmarthen to speak for him.
Vince CablePrior to the 2005 Liberal Democrat party conference, Cable did not rule out the possibility that the Lib Dems might form a coalition government with the Conservative Party in the event of a hung parliament at the forthcoming general election.
Terry PittHe again headed the sub-committee writing the actual manifesto, but at a crucial stage Pitt was taken out of the party's planning when he was selected as the Labour Party candidate for Lichfield and Tamworth on 21 May 1970.
William Pringle (Liberal politician)In 1916, when Lloyd George took over as Prime Minister, Pringle, along with James Hogge, became the most vocal critics of the Prime Minister from the Liberal benches.
Elaine C. SmithIn May 2007, Elaine C. Smith declared her support for Scotland becoming an independent nation by aligning herself with the Scottish National Party.
Alastair Campbell Shortly after Blair won the leadership of the Labour Party in 1994, Campbell left Today to become his spokesman.
Barry HorneBecause Labour was regarded as likely to win the next general election, due to be held in May 1997, Horne ended his action on 9 February after 35 days without food, when Elliot Morley, then Labour animal welfare spokesperson, wrote that'' Labour is committed to a reduction and an eventual end to vivisection.''
Cecil Parkinson Parkinson returned to front-line politics when he was made Conservative Party Chairman again by William Hague in June 1997.
Nicola Sturgeon 2007 election Glasgow Govan (Scottish Parliament constituency) | Glasgow Govan seat at the 2007 election As leader of the SNP in the Scottish Parliament, Nicola Sturgeon became a high profile figure in Scottish politics, and regularly clashed with the former First Minister, Jack McConnell at First Minister's Questions.
Paul BoatengLike many other members of the left in the 1980s, he became more moderate under the leadership of Neil Kinnock, who made him a junior Treasury spokesman in 1989, making him the first black person to join the front bench as a party spokesperson.
Edward HeathThen much to the surprise of civil service colleagues, he sought adoption as the prospective parliamentary candidate for Bexley and resigned in November 1947.
George Brown, Baron George-BrownHe briefly worked as PPS for Chancellor of the Exchequer Hugh Dalton from April 1947, at a time when the economic situation of Britain had barely improved and the Chancellor needed the maximum political support.
Edward Llewellyn (Conservative adviser) He served as part of the Conservative negotiating team, along with George Osborne, William Hague and Oliver Letwin, when they were negotiating a possible deal with the Liberal Democrats after the 2010 General Election.
David Young, Baron Young of GraffhamHe resigned from the Cabinet in 1989 but received an appointment as Deputy Chairman of the Conservative Party to help Kenneth Baker reorganise Central Office and stood down on the resignation of Margaret Thatcher.
Malcolm MacDonaldIn the 1935 general election held that autumn MacDonald narrowly lost his seat but after some discussion Baldwin decided to retain him in government, albeit moving him to the post of Secretary of State for Dominion Affairs in a direct swap with James Henry Thomas who had created problems with some Dominion governments.
Thomas Robinson (Stretford politician)Many ended up in the Conservative Party, but Robinson preferred to continue to receive the Liberal whip up until the 1929 general election, when he stood formally as an Independent.
Sir Norman Lamont, 2nd Baronet He continued to take an interest in the constituency and in 1905 he got another chance to fight the seat when the sitting MP, Andrew Graham Murray, who was Secretary of State for Scotland resigned on being appointed Lord Justice General and Lord President of the Court of Session.
Charles Booth (philanthropist)Some of his investigators such as Beatrice Potter became Socialist s as a result of this research, however Booth was critical of the way in which the Liberal Government appeared to support Trade Union s after they won the 1906 General Election.
Pauline McNeillIn 2007 she narrowly retained the Glasgow Kelvin seat with a reduced majority in the face of fierce public opposition to the national Labour Government's invasion of Iraq, a policy which she opposed.
Austin HopkinsonHopkinson continued to support free trade and Baldwin, and in the 1935 general election the putative Conservative candidate withdrew in his favour.
Samuel RosbothamAt the 1935 election both National Labour leader Ramsay MacDonald and his son Malcolm MacDonald lost their seats, and Rosbotham offered to resign to allow either of them to contest the resulting by-election.
Anne McIntoshIn January 2013, it was reported that the Conservative local party' Executive Committee' had voted not to automatically reselect McIntosh as the Parliamentary Candidate for the next general election.
Peter MandelsonAn opinion poll conducted by the centre-left think tank Compass found in March 2009 that Mandelson was less disliked by party members than deputy party leader Harriet Harman, very unusual as Mandelson'' historically has been unpopular among Labour members''.
Shriti Vadera, Baroness VaderaAs she was not a member of either of the Houses of Parliament, she was created a life peer on 11 July 2007 as Baroness Vadera, of Holland Park in the Royal Borough of Kensington and Chelsea The Sunday Times reported that the Cabinet Secretary'' flatly refus -LSB- ed -RSB- to allow her to cross the threshold of No 10 as policy enforcer'' and'' no Permanent Secretary could stand her'' - although the Cabinet Secretary denied making these comments.
James Molyneaux, Baron Molyneaux of KilleadIn 2003 Molyneaux supported half the Ulster Unionist MPs - David Burnside, Jeffrey Donaldson and Martin Smyth - when they resigned the party whip in protest against the leadership of Trimble and the continuing support for the Agreement.
Jim AllisterIn November 2009, Alex Kane, the Ulster Unionist Party's press officer, speculated in his weekly News Letter column that Traditional Unionist Voice (TUV) could win at least 14 seats in the next Assembly election.
Eamon GilmoreHe went on to negotiate a programme for government with Fine Gael that saw the Labour party enter government for the first time since 1997 and Gilmore appointed as Tánaiste, with four other Labour TDs having seats at cabinet.
Thomas GreenwayHe generally favoured the Liberals for the remainder of his time in parliament (though continuing to sit as an Independent), and stood aside in favour of Cameron in 1878.
Anthony Barber After winning the election in 1970, Edward Heath appointed Barber as Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster and gave him the responsibility for negotiating the entry of the UK into the European Economic Community.
David Cameron Oxfam in 2006 Cameron's relative youth and inexperience before becoming leader have invited satirical comparison with Tony Blair.
John Smith (Labour Party leader) Following Labour's fourth successive defeat at the general election of April 1992, Neil Kinnock resigned as leader and Smith was elected Labour leader.
John Majorthumb | right | 250px | John Major with then-US President George H. W. Bush at -LSB- -LSB- Camp David in 1992 -RSB- -RSB- Major's second honeymoon as Prime Minister following his election win did not last long, as his majority proved too small for effective control over his backbenchers, many of whom were incredibly hostile to the European Union.
Tim YeoDuring this period, his Chief of Staff was Douglas Hurd's son, Nick Hurd (who became the MP for Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner at the 2005 general election).
Simon HughesWhen interviewed on election night television by Jeremy Paxman, Hughes suggested that the fall in his vote might reflect the unpopularity of Southwark Council, which has been controlled by the Liberal Democrats since 2002.
Konni ZilliacusHe was elected as MP for Gateshead in 1945 and became known as a left-wing critic of government foreign policy.
Spencer LivermoreAfter graduating, Livermore worked for Gordon Brown, then Labour's Shadow Chancellor, during the 1997 General Election campaign in which the Labour Party under the leadership of Tony Blair returned to power following 18 years in opposition to the Conservative Party.
Hugh Edwards (politician)In 1924 he was one of a small number of Liberals, including Winston Churchill and Hamar Greenwood, to contest the General Election as Constitutionalist candidates.
Merlin Hanbury-Tracy, 7th Baron SudeleyIn 2001, the then Conservative Party leader Iain Duncan Smith publicly distanced the party from the Monday Club until it ceased to'' promulgate or discuss policies relating to race'' ; he also indicated that no Conservative MPs should contribute to Right Now !
Michael Brown (British politician)Initially he struggled to find employment, working for David Evans contract cleaning firm but in April 1998 he submitted a piece for The Independent on how he was looking forward to being canvassed by the Labour Party candidates for his area in the Westminster City Council elections, which would give him an opportunity to play the kind of tricks voters often play on election candidates.
Graham WoodwarkAt the 1931 general election Woodwark was publicly supporting the Conservative MP for his home town of King's Lynn, Lord Fermoy for the National Government on the principle of sound money.
David CameronQuentin Davies MP, who defected from the Conservatives to Labour on 26 June 2007, branded him'' superficial, unreliable and -LSB- with -RSB- an apparent lack of any clear convictions'' and stated that David Cameron had turned the Conservative Party's mission into a'' PR agenda''.
Thomas Buchanan (Liberal politician)However, in 1888 Buchanan announced that he supported William Ewart Gladstone's Home Rule policy.
George Goschen, 1st Viscount GoschenUnable to work with Chamberlain, Goschen left the Liberal Unionists and joined the Conservatives in 1893.
Iain GrayFollowing the resignation of Wendy Alexander over a foreign donation scandal, Gray announced in July 2008 that he would stand in the contest to find the next leader of the Labour group in the Scottish Parliament, and was elected to this post in September 2008.
Alun Gwynne Jones, Baron ChalfontHe contributed an article on The Strategic Defence Initiative to the Conservative Monday Club's October 1985 Conservative Party Conference issue of their newspaper, Right Ahead.
Christopher Addison, 1st Viscount AddisonHe supported Lloyd George against the Prime Minister, Herbert Asquith, at the end of 1916, and continued into the new coalition cabinet.
Llewellyn Atherley-JonesHe was chosen as candidate for Ealing in 1884, but as the election approached, had a much better offer from North West Durham which was an area with a large number of miners and where a Liberal victory was much more likely.
Kim Edward Beazley After the defeat of the Whitlam Government in 1975, Beazley was elected to the Labor front bench, but resigned when it was revealed that Gough Whitlam and Bill Hartley, with the ALP national secretary, David Combe, had been seeking money from the Iraq i Ba'ath Party to pay for the party's election campaign.
Christabel PankhurstAfter some British women were granted the right to vote at the end of World War I, Pankhurst stood in the 1918 general election as a Women's Party candidate, in alliance with the Lloyd George/Conservative Coalition in the Smethwick constituency.
Ray HillHill returned to Leicester in 1980 where he became associated with Anthony Reed Herbert, initially in the British National Front, then in the British Democratic Party.
Walter Long, 1st Viscount LongIn 1903, Long took a leading role as a spokesman for the protectionist wing of the party, advocating tariff reform and imperial preference alongside Joseph Chamberlain and his son Austen Chamberlain, which brought him into conflict with Charles Ritchie, Michael Hicks-Beach and others in the free-trade wing.
Phyllis StarkeyAs a female entrant to Parliament after the 1997 general election, Starkey was part of the intake dubbed' The Blair Babes' by the UK media following a photoshoot by the Labour Party to show off how many women MPs were in the new government.
George Nicoll BarnesIn 1918 the Labour Party decided to leave the Lloyd George Coalition but Barnes refused to resign.
Mary WhitehouseSir Hugh Greene himself ignored Whitehouse, blocked her from participation in BBC broadcasts and purchased a painting of Whitehouse with five breasts The former cabinet minister Bill Deedes, later editor of The Daily Telegraph, supported the group in this period and was the leading speaker at NVALA's founding conference in Birmingham on 30 April 1966, and acted as a contact between his parliamentary colleagues and Whitehouse.
Joseph HoweThe promotion of political ideas in his newspapers were rewarded with a seven-seat Liberal majority in the 1847 election.
Herbert Samuel, 1st Viscount SamuelVera Weizmann, -LSB- -LSB- Chaim Weizmann, Herbert Samuel, Lloyd George, Ethel Snowden, and Philip Snowden -RSB- -RSB- Samuel returned to the House of Commons following the 1929 General Election.
William Hughes FieldWilliam Field stood as a Liberal in 1900 and was regarded as a' country liberal' or' freehold liberal' and therefore it is not surprising that he moved politically to support the Reform Party over time.
Thomas FenbyFenby's distrust of Lloyd George lasted at least until 1926 when he was one of ten Liberal MPs who voted against his continuing leadership of the Parliamentary party.
William SomervellAt the general election of December 1918 he was opposed by Sir Robert Clough for the Conservatives, who appears to have been granted the Coalition coupon, and Bland again who this time stood as an official Labour candidate.
Denis HealeyWhen Callaghan stepped down as Labour leader in November 1980, Healey was the favourite to win the Labour Party leadership election, decided by Labour MPs.
George Gardiner (politician)Gardiner joined the Conservative Party aged 15 in 1950, and whilst at Oxford University, organised a petition in support of Anthony Eden's Suez policy.
Charles ClarkeOn 1 May 2009, Clarke joined David Blunkett in criticising Gordon Brown's leadership and declared that he was'' ashamed'' to be a Labour MP, citing the Damian McBride scandal.
Bob Marshall-AndrewsOn 31 October 2006, Marshall-Andrews was one of 12 Labour MPs to back Plaid Cymru and the Scottish National Party's call for an inquiry into the Iraq War.
Herbert WillisonWillison was judged to have gained great popularity in Nuneaton during his brief time as MP but by 1924, after the first ever Labour government, the Tories were resurgent nationally and Britain was swinging back to two-party politics, with Labour replacing the Liberals as the main party of the left.