Measuring Ideological Proportions in Political Speeches

Cue-lag representation

The table below shows the cue-lag representation of the speech. For each cue term, it also displays the posterior distributions over ideology.

#	Cue term	Lag before term	Posterior distribution
#	Cue term	Lag before term	Restart		∑Left	Center	∑Right
1	good_friend	112		✓	0.998	0	0.00159
1	good_friend	112		✗	0	0	0
2	work_famili	29		✓	0.131	0.000597	0.00537
2	work_famili	29		✗	0.862	0	0.000597
3	sherrod_brown	5		✓	0.0306	0	0.000398
3	sherrod_brown	5		✗	0.966	0.000199	0.00318
4	nation_educ	71		✓	0.27	0.00159	0.0764
4	nation_educ	71		✗	0.651	0	0.00119
5	work_peopl	10		✓	0.083	0	0.00358
5	work_peopl	10		✗	0.878	0	0.0352
6	work_hard	10		✓	0.0708	0	0.00179
6	work_hard	10		✗	0.912	0	0.0151
7	feel_free	36		✓	0.168	0	0.000199
7	feel_free	36		✗	0.831	0	0.000398
8	work_men	90		✓	0.283	0	0.23
8	work_men	90		✗	0.486	0	0.000597
9	factori_worker	8		✓	0.0275	0	0.125
9	factori_worker	8		✗	0.622	0	0.225
10	construct_worker	2		✓	0.00796	0	0.0983
10	construct_worker	2		✗	0.547	0	0.347
11	busi_owner	9		✓	0.0209	0.00458	0.163
11	busi_owner	9		✗	0.383	0	0.429
12	american_worker	34		✓	0.0868	0	0.142
12	american_worker	34		✗	0.281	0	0.491
13	work_peopl	2		✓	0.0428	0	0.00517
13	work_peopl	2		✗	0.363	0	0.589
14	middl_class	10		✓	0.125	0.000398	0.0177
14	middl_class	10		✗	0.385	0	0.471
15	__NUM___hour	18		✓	0.396	0.00338	0.00796
15	__NUM___hour	18		✗	0.465	0	0.128
16	minimum_wage	12		✓	0.0446	0.00517	0.104
16	minimum_wage	12		✗	0.715	0.00338	0.127
17	health_care	2		✓	0.00637	0	0.154
17	health_care	2		✗	0.605	0.00358	0.231
18	social_secur	2		✓	0.00438	0	0.373
18	social_secur	2		✗	0.239	0.000199	0.383
19	work_peopl	7		✓	0.081	0	0.0209
19	work_peopl	7		✗	0.213	0	0.685
20	middl_class	26		✓	0.188	0.000199	0.074
20	middl_class	26		✗	0.25	0	0.488
21	work_hard	37		✓	0.382	0	0.0374
21	work_hard	37		✗	0.37	0	0.211
22	health_care	44		✓	0.171	0.000995	0.125
22	health_care	44		✗	0.529	0	0.175
23	unit_state	139		✓	0.13	0	0.625
23	unit_state	139		✗	0.0923	0	0.153
24	sale_pitch	13		✓	0.000398	0.000398	0.256
24	sale_pitch	13		✗	0.00139	0	0.741
25	creat_job	130		✓	0.0199	0.00736	0.408
25	creat_job	130		✗	0	0.000199	0.564
26	job_creation	72		✓	0.00697	0.0205	0.243
26	job_creation	72		✗	0.000796	0.00697	0.721
27	middl_class	30		✓	0.0105	0.000398	0.117
27	middl_class	30		✗	0.00418	0.0139	0.854
28	averag_famili	61		✓	0.000398	0	0.221
28	averag_famili	61		✗	0	0.000199	0.778
29	tax_cut	10		✓	0.000398	0.000199	0.0368
29	tax_cut	10		✗	0	0.000199	0.962
30	financi_crisi	34		✓	0.0215	0	0.109
30	financi_crisi	34		✗	0.000199	0	0.869
31	bank_bailout	2		✓	0.0249	0.000597	0.0107
31	bank_bailout	2		✗	0.0213	0	0.942
32	health_care	27		✓	0.0456	0.000796	0.102
32	health_care	27		✗	0.0332	0.000199	0.818
33	addit___MONEY__	58		✓	0	0.000199	0.266
33	addit___MONEY__	58		✗	0	0	0.734
34	econom_plan	15		✓	0.000199	0	0.0557
34	econom_plan	15		✗	0	0	0.944
35	job_creation	124		✓	0.0133	0.0362	0.388
35	job_creation	124		✗	0	0	0.562
36	auto_industri	68		✓	0.000398	0	0.261
36	auto_industri	68		✗	0	0	0.738
37	year_ago	13		✓	0.00139	0	0.0505
37	year_ago	13		✗	0.000199	0	0.948
38	auto_industri	4		✓	0.000597	0.000199	0.0147
38	auto_industri	4		✗	0.000995	0	0.983
39	__NUM___million_american	148		✓	0.864	0.08	0.0289
39	__NUM___million_american	148		✗	0.000597	0.000199	0.0267
40	econom_crisi	16		✓	0.0133	0	0.802
40	econom_crisi	16		✗	0.129	0.000199	0.0551
41	great_depress	3		✓	0.00378	0	0.038
41	great_depress	3		✗	0.112	0	0.846
42	busi_owner	34		✓	0.079	0.00597	0.116
42	busi_owner	34		✗	0.0836	0	0.716
43	assembl_line	45		✓	0.509	0.000199	0.0613
43	assembl_line	45		✗	0.121	0.000398	0.308
44	fourth_gener	28		✓	0.156	0.00179	0.0529
44	fourth_gener	28		✗	0.53	0.000398	0.259
45	assembl_line	17		✓	0.259	0	0.00935
45	assembl_line	17		✗	0.633	0	0.0995
46	middl_class	21		✓	0.173	0	0.00179
46	middl_class	21		✗	0.811	0	0.0141
47	class_life	0		✓	0.0155	0	0
47	class_life	0		✗	0.978	0	0.00637
48	american_worker	84		✓	0.00219	0	0.988
48	american_worker	84		✗	0.00338	0	0.00597
49	american_manufactur	4		✓	0	0	0.0213
49	american_manufactur	4		✗	0	0	0.979
50	__NUM___year	24		✓	0.00816	0	0.0812
50	__NUM___year	24		✗	0	0	0.911
51	auto_industri	16		✓	0.00338	0	0.0565
51	auto_industri	16		✗	0.00259	0	0.938
52	pai_back	114		✓	0.942	0.0283	0.00955
52	pai_back	114		✗	0.00418	0	0.0161
53	polit_campaign	12		✓	0.0812	0.000796	0.000597
53	polit_campaign	12		✗	0.888	0.0275	0.00199
54	health_benefit	24		✓	0.0581	0.388	0.00677
54	health_benefit	24		✗	0.518	0.0283	0.000199
55	scale_back	11		✓	0.037	0.00239	0.00259
55	scale_back	11		✗	0.542	0.412	0.00418
56	special_interest	50		✓	0.548	0.000199	0.00259
56	special_interest	50		✗	0.442	0.00617	0.000796
57	middl_class	18		✓	0.0326	0.000597	0.564
57	middl_class	18		✗	0.399	0.00139	0.00279
58	roll_back	29		✓	0.00378	0	0.464
58	roll_back	29		✗	0.0193	0	0.513
59	construct_worker	11		✓	0.209	0	0.0209
59	construct_worker	11		✗	0.0223	0	0.748
60	fair_wage	3		✓	0.117	0	0.0101
60	fair_wage	3		✗	0.228	0	0.645
61	polic_offic	8		✓	0.364	0	0.00756
61	polic_offic	8		✗	0.33	0	0.299
62	public_servant	3		✓	0.0428	0	0.00418
62	public_servant	3		✗	0.681	0	0.272
63	wall_street	10		✓	0.0454	0	0.039
63	wall_street	10		✗	0.655	0	0.261
64	financi_collaps	4		✓	0.04	0.00219	0.00617
64	financi_collaps	4		✗	0.681	0	0.27
65	collect_bargain	19		✓	0.0907	0.000398	0.0557
65	collect_bargain	19		✗	0.623	0.000796	0.229
66	auto_industri	48		✓	0.00975	0	0.735
66	auto_industri	48		✗	0.0362	0	0.219
67	good_job	79		✓	0.129	0.000199	0.232
67	good_job	79		✗	0.0163	0	0.622
68	middl_class	4		✓	0.00517	0.000597	0.037
68	middl_class	4		✗	0.119	0	0.839
69	tax_cut	54		✓	0.000199	0.000796	0.277
69	tax_cut	54		✗	0.00199	0.000199	0.72
70	middl_class	26		✓	0.00318	0.000199	0.0907
70	middl_class	26		✗	0.000199	0.000398	0.905
71	year_ago	14		✓	0.000796	0	0.0527
71	year_ago	14		✗	0.000398	0	0.946
72	cut_tax	5		✓	0	0	0.0195
72	cut_tax	5		✗	0	0	0.98
73	middl_class	6		✓	0	0	0.0227
73	middl_class	6		✗	0	0	0.977
74	class_famili	0		✓	0	0	0.00378
74	class_famili	0		✗	0	0	0.996
75	cut_tax	5		✓	0	0.000398	0.0223
75	cut_tax	5		✗	0	0	0.977
76	famili_incom	31		✓	0.0181	0.00159	0.0967
76	famili_incom	31		✗	0	0.000199	0.883
77	mitt_romnei	33		✓	0	0	0.134
77	mitt_romnei	33		✗	0	0	0.866
78	tax_break	58		✓	0.000199	0	0.186
78	tax_break	58		✗	0	0	0.814
79	job_oversea	6		✓	0	0	0.0251
79	job_oversea	6		✗	0	0	0.975
80	tax_break	6		✓	0.00239	0	0.0237
80	tax_break	6		✗	0	0	0.974
81	unit_state	15		✓	0.749	0	0.0131
81	unit_state	15		✗	0.00259	0	0.235
82	borrow_monei	14		✓	0.259	0	0.00159
82	borrow_monei	14		✗	0.704	0	0.0352
83	young_person	9		✓	0.0818	0	0
83	young_person	9		✗	0.918	0	0
84	colleg_student	18		✓	0.0742	0	0.00776
84	colleg_student	18		✗	0.918	0	0
85	borrow_monei	21		✓	0.0971	0	0.00498
85	borrow_monei	21		✗	0.896	0	0.00239
86	commun_colleg	66		✓	0.269	0	0
86	commun_colleg	66		✗	0.731	0	0
87	higher_educ	22		✓	0.0959	0	0.000199
87	higher_educ	22		✗	0.904	0	0
88	oil_compani	78		✓	0	0	0.999
88	oil_compani	78		✗	0.000199	0	0.000597
89	american_energi	15		✓	0.000199	0	0.00259
89	american_energi	15		✗	0	0	0.997
90	energi_sourc	25		✓	0	0	0.00159
90	energi_sourc	25		✗	0	0	0.998
91	renew_energi	9		✓	0	0	0.000398
91	renew_energi	9		✗	0	0	1
92	energi_sourc	0		✓	0	0	0
92	energi_sourc	0		✗	0	0	1
93	solar_panel	9		✓	0	0	0.000398
93	solar_panel	9		✗	0	0	1
94	__MONEY___billion	28		✓	0	0	0.000597
94	__MONEY___billion	28		✗	0	0	0.999
95	taxpay_subsidi	3		✓	0	0	0.000398
95	taxpay_subsidi	3		✗	0	0	1
96	big_oil	2		✓	0	0	0
96	big_oil	2		✗	0	0	1
97	oil_compani	0		✓	0	0	0
97	oil_compani	0		✗	0	0	1
98	make_monei	3		✓	0	0	0.000398
98	make_monei	3		✗	0	0	1
99	energi_sourc	19		✓	0.00816	0	0.00995
99	energi_sourc	19		✗	0	0	0.982
100	creat_job	9		✓	0.193	0.000398	0.0898
100	creat_job	9		✗	0.00796	0	0.708
101	health_care_system	16		✓	0.811	0	0.000199
101	health_care_system	16		✗	0.189	0	0
102	insur_compani	4		✓	0.00179	0	0
102	insur_compani	4		✗	0.998	0	0
103	move_forward	25		✓	0.00398	0	0.000199
103	move_forward	25		✗	0.996	0	0
104	health_care	4		✓	0.000398	0	0
104	health_care	4		✗	1	0	0
105	cut_cost	4		✓	0	0	0
105	cut_cost	4		✗	1	0	0
106	save_live	6		✓	0.000398	0	0
106	save_live	6		✗	1	0	0
107	__NUM___year	44		✓	0.521	0	0.174
107	__NUM___year	44		✗	0.305	0	0
108	move_forward	4		✓	0.0444	0	0.00935
108	move_forward	4		✗	0.787	0	0.159
109	bin_laden	100		✓	0.564	0	0.082
109	bin_laden	100		✗	0.323	0	0.0304
110	__NUM___month	89		✓	0.422	0	0.0117
110	__NUM___month	89		✗	0.559	0	0.00716
111	fight_back	3		✓	0.0217	0	0.00159
111	fight_back	3		✗	0.961	0	0.0155
112	attack_ad	13		✓	0.078	0	0
112	attack_ad	13		✗	0.92	0	0.00219
113	__MONEY___million	20		✓	0.0939	0	0.0137
113	__MONEY___million	20		✗	0.891	0	0.00159
114	neg_ad	43		✓	0.206	0	0
114	neg_ad	43		✗	0.794	0	0
115	good_job	116		✓	0.459	0.000199	0.0111
115	good_job	116		✗	0.529	0	0
116	young_peopl	24		✓	0.124	0	0.000398
116	young_peopl	24		✗	0.876	0	0.000199
117	bring_home	13		✓	0.0593	0	0.000199
117	bring_home	13		✗	0.94	0	0
118	unit_state	130		✓	0.512	0	0.00617
118	unit_state	130		✗	0.482	0	0
119	god_bless	11		✓	0.0591	0	0
119	god_bless	11		✗	0.941	0	0
120	god_bless_america	3		✓	0.0159	0	0
120	god_bless_america	3		✗	0.984	0	0
	__END_OF_SPEECH__	2

Barack Obama

Cue-lag representation