Measuring Ideological Proportions in Political Speeches

Cue-lag representation

The table below shows the cue-lag representation of the speech. For each cue term, it also displays the posterior distributions over ideology.

#	Cue term	Lag before term	Posterior distribution
#	Cue term	Lag before term	Restart		∑Left	Center	∑Right
1	__NUM___year_ago	41		✓	0.986	0	0.0135
1	__NUM___year_ago	41		✗	0	0	0
2	northern_virginia	14		✓	0.05	0	0.00458
2	northern_virginia	14		✗	0.937	0	0.00876
3	make_america	123		✓	0.39	0	0.0159
3	make_america	123		✗	0.594	0	0.000796
4	work_hard	36		✓	0.128	0	0.0203
4	work_hard	36		✗	0.848	0	0.00378
5	american_peopl	35		✓	0.102	0	0.136
5	american_peopl	35		✗	0.744	0	0.0187
6	__NUM___year	42		✓	0.0267	0	0.763
6	__NUM___year	42		✗	0.128	0	0.082
7	georg_bush	5		✓	0.00199	0	0.103
7	georg_bush	5		✗	0.0681	0	0.827
8	hard_work	36		✓	0.509	0.000199	0.0776
8	hard_work	36		✗	0.0261	0	0.387
9	middl_class	12		✓	0.084	0.00736	0.123
9	middl_class	12		✗	0.479	0	0.307
10	person_attack	197		✓	0.716	0.0105	0.0406
10	person_attack	197		✗	0.213	0.000199	0.0199
11	nativ_american	34		✓	0.18	0	0
11	nativ_american	34		✗	0.819	0	0.000796
12	polit_parti	153		✓	0.62	0	0.000398
12	polit_parti	153		✗	0.379	0	0
13	unit_state	32		✓	0.104	0	0.00637
13	unit_state	32		✗	0.89	0	0.000199
14	town_hall_meet	58		✓	0.163	0	0.000199
14	town_hall_meet	58		✗	0.837	0	0
15	live_room	6		✓	0.00736	0	0
15	live_room	6		✗	0.993	0	0
16	earlier_gener	46		✓	0.0221	0	0
16	earlier_gener	46		✗	0.978	0	0
17	south_carolina	10		✓	0.00318	0	0
17	south_carolina	10		✗	0.997	0	0
18	state_repres	56		✓	0.0165	0	0
18	state_repres	56		✗	0.983	0	0
19	south_carolina	53		✓	0.0159	0	0
19	south_carolina	53		✗	0.984	0	0
20	__NUM___a.m	94		✓	0.0446	0.0279	0.00159
20	__NUM___a.m	94		✗	0.926	0	0
21	hotel_room	66		✓	0.0312	0.00378	0.00239
21	hotel_room	66		✗	0.936	0.0267	0.000199
22	york_time	26		✓	0.0123	0.00219	0.0129
22	york_time	26		✗	0.942	0.0287	0.00219
23	__NUM___peopl	145		✓	0.671	0.00935	0.000597
23	__NUM___peopl	145		✗	0.318	0.000995	0
24	shake_hand	42		✓	0.0884	0.00159	0.000199
24	shake_hand	42		✗	0.9	0.00955	0
25	__NUM___peopl	72		✓	0.147	0.000995	0
25	__NUM___peopl	72		✗	0.843	0.00896	0
26	__NUM___year	37		✓	0.438	0	0.039
26	__NUM___year	37		✗	0.523	0	0
27	__NUM___feet	6		✓	0.0376	0	0.00159
27	__NUM___feet	6		✗	0.936	0	0.0253
28	feel_good	210		✓	0.652	0.00219	0.00577
28	feel_good	210		✗	0.34	0	0
29	__NUM___hour	188		✓	0.552	0.000597	0.04
29	__NUM___hour	188		✗	0.407	0	0.000199
30	god_bless	107		✓	0.379	0	0.000199
30	god_bless	107		✗	0.62	0	0
31	unit_state	6		✓	0.0247	0	0.00816
31	unit_state	6		✗	0.967	0	0.000199
	__END_OF_SPEECH__	3

Barack Obama

Cue-lag representation