Measuring Ideological Proportions in Political Speeches

Cue-lag representation

The table below shows the cue-lag representation of the speech. For each cue term, it also displays the posterior distributions over ideology.

#	Cue term	Lag before term	Posterior distribution
#	Cue term	Lag before term	Restart		∑Left	Center	∑Right
1	medic_center	9		✓	0.108	0.00159	0.89
1	medic_center	9		✗	0	0	0
2	__NUM___year_ago	29		✓	0	0	0
2	__NUM___year_ago	29		✗	0.0951	0	0.905
3	nation_health	14		✓	0	0	0
3	nation_health	14		✗	0.075	0	0.925
4	health_care_system	0		✓	0	0	0
4	health_care_system	0		✗	0.0746	0	0.925
5	peopl_live	16		✓	0	0	0
5	peopl_live	16		✗	0.0746	0	0.925
6	nation_health	42		✓	0	0	0
6	nation_health	42		✗	0.0746	0	0.925
7	health_care_system	0		✓	0	0	0
7	health_care_system	0		✗	0.0754	0	0.925
8	spent_year	121		✓	0	0	0
8	spent_year	121		✗	0.361	0	0.639
9	local_commun	10		✓	0	0	0
9	local_commun	10		✗	0.672	0.000199	0.328
10	health_system	14		✓	0	0	0
10	health_system	14		✗	0.999	0	0.00119
11	great_depress	103		✓	0	0	0
11	great_depress	103		✗	1	0	0
12	govern_program	9		✓	0	0	0
12	govern_program	9		✗	1	0	0
13	america_histori	7		✓	0	0	0
13	america_histori	7		✗	1	0	0
14	hard_work	22		✓	0	0	0
14	hard_work	22		✗	1	0	0
15	american_societi	70		✓	0	0	0
15	american_societi	70		✗	1	0	0
16	american_peopl	24		✓	0	0	0
16	american_peopl	24		✗	0.987	0.000995	0.0119
17	tenth_amend	76		✓	0	0	0
17	tenth_amend	76		✗	0.61	0.000597	0.39
18	afford_care_act	12		✓	0	0	0
18	afford_care_act	12		✗	0.0979	0.000199	0.902
19	individu_mandat	23		✓	0	0	0
19	individu_mandat	23		✗	0	0	1
20	feder_power	10		✓	0	0	0
20	feder_power	10		✗	0	0	1
21	feder_govern	3		✓	0	0	0
21	feder_govern	3		✗	0	0	1
22	bui_health	11		✓	0	0	0
22	bui_health	11		✗	0	0	1
23	health_insur	0		✓	0	0	0
23	health_insur	0		✗	0	0	1
24	feder_govern	7		✓	0	0	0
24	feder_govern	7		✗	0.000398	0	1
25	suprem_court	12		✓	0	0	0
25	suprem_court	12		✗	0.00119	0	0.999
26	judici_branch	12		✓	0	0	0
26	judici_branch	12		✗	0.000995	0	0.999
27	attornei_gener	43		✓	0	0	0
27	attornei_gener	43		✗	0.000597	0	0.999
28	presidenti_candid	30		✓	0	0	0
28	presidenti_candid	30		✗	0.00239	0	0.998
29	limit_power	59		✓	0	0	0
29	limit_power	59		✗	0.000995	0	0.999
30	human_servic	39		✓	0	0	0
30	human_servic	39		✗	0	0	1
31	creat___NUM__	5		✓	0	0	0
31	creat___NUM__	5		✗	0	0	1
32	unelect_bureaucrat	32		✓	0	0	0
32	unelect_bureaucrat	32		✗	0	0	1
33	feder_govern	13		✓	0	0	0
33	feder_govern	13		✗	0.000995	0	0.999
34	obama_administr	27		✓	0	0	0
34	obama_administr	27		✗	0.000398	0	1
35	democrat_parti	29		✓	0	0	0
35	democrat_parti	29		✗	0	0	1
36	latest_round	14		✓	0	0	0
36	latest_round	14		✗	0	0	1
37	hous_speaker	6		✓	0	0	0
37	hous_speaker	6		✗	0	0	1
38	nanci_pelosi	1		✓	0	0	0
38	nanci_pelosi	1		✗	0	0	1
39	congression_district	1		✓	0	0	0
39	congression_district	1		✗	0	0	1
40	big_govern	11		✓	0	0	0
40	big_govern	11		✗	0	0	1
41	central_power	6		✓	0	0	0
41	central_power	6		✗	0.00139	0	0.999
42	american_peopl	2		✓	0	0	0
42	american_peopl	2		✗	0.57	0.0316	0.398
43	special_interest	90		✓	0	0	0
43	special_interest	90		✗	0.377	0.0131	0.61
44	govern_mandat	8		✓	0	0	0
44	govern_mandat	8		✗	0.154	0.00219	0.844
45	peopl_pai	20		✓	0	0	0
45	peopl_pai	20		✗	0.111	0.000796	0.888
46	healthcar_cost	27		✓	0	0	0
46	healthcar_cost	27		✗	0.0587	0.000398	0.941
47	health_care	3		✓	0	0	0
47	health_care	3		✗	0.00119	0	0.999
48	govern_bureaucrat	16		✓	0	0	0
48	govern_bureaucrat	16		✗	0.000199	0	1
49	limit_govern	32		✓	0	0	0
49	limit_govern	32		✗	0.000199	0	1
50	health_polici	27		✓	0	0	0
50	health_polici	27		✗	0.000398	0	1
51	free_market	5		✓	0	0	0
51	free_market	5		✗	0.00179	0	0.998
52	health_care	18		✓	0	0	0
52	health_care	18		✗	0.000796	0	0.999
53	safeti_net	1		✓	0	0	0
53	safeti_net	1		✗	0.000796	0.000199	0.999
54	health_care	10		✓	0	0	0
54	health_care	10		✗	0.000796	0	0.999
55	individu_mandat	5		✓	0	0	0
55	individu_mandat	5		✗	0	0	1
56	health_insur	28		✓	0	0	0
56	health_insur	28		✗	0	0	1
57	feder_tax	3		✓	0	0	0
57	feder_tax	3		✗	0	0	1
58	tax_code	0		✓	0	0	0
58	tax_code	0		✗	0	0	1
59	tax_credit	13		✓	0	0	0
59	tax_credit	13		✗	0	0	1
60	health_insur	10		✓	0	0	0
60	health_insur	10		✗	0	0	1
61	feder_tax	7		✓	0	0	0
61	feder_tax	7		✗	0	0	1
62	tax_code	0		✓	0	0	0
62	tax_code	0		✗	0	0	1
63	tax_relief	5		✓	0	0	0
63	tax_relief	5		✗	0	0	1
64	health_insur	12		✓	0	0	0
64	health_insur	12		✗	0	0	1
65	lower_cost	6		✓	0	0	0
65	lower_cost	6		✗	0.00139	0	0.999
66	tax_relief	37		✓	0	0	0
66	tax_relief	37		✗	0	0	1
67	save_account	61		✓	0	0	0
67	save_account	61		✗	0.00139	0	0.999
68	health_care_system	3		✓	0	0	0
68	health_care_system	3		✗	0.000995	0	0.999
69	health_insur	44		✓	0	0	0
69	health_insur	44		✗	0	0	1
70	tax_credit	1		✓	0	0	0
70	tax_credit	1		✗	0	0	1
71	health_insur	13		✓	0	0	0
71	health_insur	13		✗	0.00119	0	0.999
72	healthcar_system	26		✓	0	0	0
72	healthcar_system	26		✗	0.484	0.000199	0.516
73	world_war_ii	79		✓	0	0	0
73	world_war_ii	79		✗	0.97	0	0.0299
74	__NUM___month	9		✓	0	0	0
74	__NUM___month	9		✗	0.987	0	0.0133
75	work_part	43		✓	0	0	0
75	work_part	43		✗	0.99	0	0.00995
76	part_time	0		✓	0	0	0
76	part_time	0		✗	0.99	0	0.00995
77	work_full	6		✓	0	0	0
77	work_full	6		✗	1	0	0.000398
78	full_time	0		✓	0	0	0
78	full_time	0		✗	1	0	0
79	unemploy_rate	4		✓	0	0	0
79	unemploy_rate	4		✗	1	0	0
80	econom_downturn	11		✓	0	0	0
80	econom_downturn	11		✗	1	0	0
81	econom_recoveri	22		✓	0	0	0
81	econom_recoveri	22		✗	1	0	0
82	averag___NUM__	9		✓	0	0	0
82	averag___NUM__	9		✗	1	0	0
83	econom_growth	2		✓	0	0	0
83	econom_growth	2		✗	0.996	0	0.00358
84	american_economi	35		✓	0	0	0
84	american_economi	35		✗	0.996	0	0.00378
85	held_back	3		✓	0	0	0
85	held_back	3		✗	0.994	0	0.00637
86	big_govern	6		✓	0	0	0
86	big_govern	6		✗	0.945	0	0.0545
87	creat_job	5		✓	0	0	0
87	creat_job	5		✗	0.408	0	0.592
88	stimulu_spend	3		✓	0	0	0
88	stimulu_spend	3		✗	0.327	0	0.673
89	american_peopl	15		✓	0	0	0
89	american_peopl	15		✗	0.00856	0.000199	0.991
90	creat_job	2		✓	0	0	0
90	creat_job	2		✗	0.00239	0	0.998
91	cut_tax	7		✓	0	0	0
91	cut_tax	7		✗	0	0.000398	1
92	cut_spend	2		✓	0	0	0
92	cut_spend	2		✗	0	0	1
93	tax_rate	11		✓	0	0	0
93	tax_rate	11		✗	0	0	1
94	tax_increas	6		✓	0	0	0
94	tax_increas	6		✗	0.000199	0	1
95	repeal_obamacar	4		✓	0	0	0
95	repeal_obamacar	4		✗	0.000597	0	0.999
96	tax_increas	3		✓	0	0	0
96	tax_increas	3		✗	0	0	1
97	make_america	4		✓	0	0	0
97	make_america	4		✗	0	0.00796	0.992
98	tax_cut	24		✓	0	0	0
98	tax_cut	24		✗	0	0.0119	0.988
99	capit_gain	5		✓	0	0	0
99	capit_gain	5		✗	0	0.0117	0.988
100	gain_tax	0		✓	0	0	0
100	gain_tax	0		✗	0	0.0117	0.988
101	corpor_tax	28		✓	0	0	0
101	corpor_tax	28		✗	0	0	1
102	tax_rate	0		✓	0	0	0
102	tax_rate	0		✗	0	0	1
103	industri_world	7		✓	0	0	0
103	industri_world	7		✗	0	0	1
104	american_worker	41		✓	0	0	0
104	american_worker	41		✗	0.00318	0	0.997
105	technolog_advanc	7		✓	0	0	0
105	technolog_advanc	7		✗	0.00458	0	0.995
106	death_tax	20		✓	0	0	0
106	death_tax	20		✗	0.00597	0	0.994
107	regulatori_reform	18		✓	0	0	0
107	regulatori_reform	18		✗	0.0834	0	0.917
108	job_creation	5		✓	0	0	0
108	job_creation	5		✗	0.143	0	0.857
109	american_energi	32		✓	0	0	0
109	american_energi	32		✗	0	0	1
110	energi_polici	0		✓	0	0	0
110	energi_polici	0		✗	0	0	1
111	natur_ga	11		✓	0	0	0
111	natur_ga	11		✗	0	0	1
112	american_energi	6		✓	0	0	0
112	american_energi	6		✗	0	0	1
113	econom_growth	8		✓	0	0	0
113	econom_growth	8		✗	0	0	1
114	obama_administr	25		✓	0	0	0
114	obama_administr	25		✗	0.000398	0	1
115	natur_ga	14		✓	0	0	0
115	natur_ga	14		✗	0	0	1
116	american_energi	9		✓	0	0	0
116	american_energi	9		✗	0	0	1
117	energi_polici	0		✓	0	0	0
117	energi_polici	0		✗	0	0	1
118	saudi_arabia	46		✓	0	0	0
118	saudi_arabia	46		✗	0.000199	0	1
119	ga_price	8		✓	0	0	0
119	ga_price	8		✗	0.00299	0	0.997
120	natur_ga	16		✓	0	0	0
120	natur_ga	16		✗	0.000199	0	1
121	tax_reform	50		✓	0	0	0
121	tax_reform	50		✗	0	0	1
122	control_spend	2		✓	0	0	0
122	control_spend	2		✗	0.000199	0	1
123	sound_monei	5		✓	0	0	0
123	sound_monei	5		✗	0	0	1
124	american_energi	3		✓	0	0	0
124	american_energi	3		✗	0	0	1
125	econom_growth	6		✓	0	0	0
125	econom_growth	6		✗	0.00736	0.000199	0.992
126	easi_task	32		✓	0	0	0
126	easi_task	32		✗	0.293	0	0.707
127	left_hand	23		✓	0	0	0
127	left_hand	23		✗	0.295	0	0.705
128	american_economi	35		✓	0	0	0
128	american_economi	35		✗	0.288	0	0.712
129	core_principl	19		✓	0	0	0
129	core_principl	19		✗	0.239	0	0.761
130	american_liberti	26		✓	0	0	0
130	american_liberti	26		✗	0.149	0	0.851
131	rural_area	110		✓	0	0	0
131	rural_area	110		✗	0.0275	0	0.973
132	tax_code	17		✓	0	0	0
132	tax_code	17		✗	0	0	1
133	pursu_happi	23		✓	0	0	0
133	pursu_happi	23		✗	0	0	1
134	american_citizen	24		✓	0	0	0
134	american_citizen	24		✗	0	0	1
135	pursu_happi	5		✓	0	0	0
135	pursu_happi	5		✗	0	0	1
136	overwhelm_major	7		✓	0	0	0
136	overwhelm_major	7		✗	0	0	1
137	welfar_state	19		✓	0	0	0
137	welfar_state	19		✗	0	0	1
138	face_todai	9		✓	0	0	0
138	face_todai	9		✗	0.000199	0	1
	__END_OF_SPEECH__	3

Newt Gingrich

Cue-lag representation