Measuring Ideological Proportions in Political Speeches

Cue-lag representation

The table below shows the cue-lag representation of the speech. For each cue term, it also displays the posterior distributions over ideology.

#	Cue term	Lag before term	Posterior distribution
#	Cue term	Lag before term	Restart		∑Left	Center	∑Right
1	senat_obama	63		✓	0.971	0	0.0289
1	senat_obama	63		✗	0	0	0
2	senat_mccain	40		✓	0.147	0.000199	0.00657
2	senat_mccain	40		✗	0.828	0	0.0181
3	primari_season	41		✓	0.177	0	0
3	primari_season	41		✗	0.823	0	0
4	__NUM___million_peopl	4		✓	0.0221	0	0
4	__NUM___million_peopl	4		✗	0.978	0	0
5	democrat_nomine	11		✓	0.0519	0	0
5	democrat_nomine	11		✗	0.948	0	0
6	west_virginia	32		✓	0.118	0	0.00478
6	west_virginia	32		✗	0.877	0	0
7	__NUM___point	8		✓	0.0308	0.00299	0.134
7	__NUM___point	8		✗	0.827	0	0.00517
8	bush_administr	44		✓	0.0251	0.0549	0.354
8	bush_administr	44		✗	0.431	0.00279	0.132
9	core_belief	46		✓	0.122	0.0263	0.0513
9	core_belief	46		✗	0.344	0.0426	0.414
10	senat_mccain	123		✓	0.892	0	0.00697
10	senat_mccain	123		✗	0.0876	0	0.0135
11	recent_poll	3		✓	0.0346	0	0
11	recent_poll	3		✗	0.96	0	0.00498
12	elect_result	2		✓	0.0109	0	0.000995
12	elect_result	2		✗	0.984	0	0.00438
13	west_virginia	29		✓	0.13	0	0
13	west_virginia	29		✗	0.87	0	0
14	battleground_state	10		✓	0.0426	0	0
14	battleground_state	10		✗	0.957	0	0
15	strong_support	5		✓	0.0227	0	0
15	strong_support	5		✗	0.977	0	0
16	white_hous	12		✓	0.0492	0	0.00199
16	white_hous	12		✗	0.949	0	0
17	senat_mccain	7		✓	0.0271	0	0.00318
17	senat_mccain	7		✗	0.968	0	0.00199
18	senat_obama	8		✓	0.0354	0	0.00119
18	senat_obama	8		✗	0.958	0	0.00517
19	elector_colleg	20		✓	0.0784	0	0.00318
19	elector_colleg	20		✗	0.913	0	0.00498
20	senat_mccain	6		✓	0.0241	0.000199	0.00159
20	senat_mccain	6		✗	0.966	0	0.00796
21	popular_vote	44		✓	0.166	0.000796	0.000796
21	popular_vote	44		✗	0.831	0	0.00139
22	work_hard	105		✓	0.35	0.0101	0
22	work_hard	105		✗	0.639	0	0
23	american_dream	15		✓	0.0661	0.00219	0
23	american_dream	15		✗	0.925	0.00697	0
24	health_care	17		✓	0.071	0.000995	0
24	health_care	17		✗	0.922	0.00597	0
25	white_hous	55		✓	0.195	0.000796	0.00776
25	white_hous	55		✗	0.795	0.000597	0
26	democrat_parti	92		✓	0.318	0	0
26	democrat_parti	92		✗	0.682	0	0
27	senat_obama	5		✓	0.0217	0	0
27	senat_obama	5		✗	0.978	0	0
28	voic_heard	17		✓	0.0603	0	0
28	voic_heard	17		✗	0.94	0	0
29	senat_obama	24		✓	0.0892	0	0.00199
29	senat_obama	24		✗	0.909	0	0
30	battleground_state	98		✓	0.331	0	0.00219
30	battleground_state	98		✗	0.666	0	0.000398
31	senat_mccain	36		✓	0.12	0.00159	0.0462
31	senat_mccain	36		✗	0.83	0	0.00219
	__END_OF_SPEECH__	20

Hillary Clinton

Cue-lag representation