Intelligent Systems for Economics Digest (IE-Digest) ---------------------------------------------------- ______ Wednesday, March 3, 1993 Issue No. 5 ____ -------------------------------------------------------------------- Send contributions to: IE-list@cs.ucl.ac.uk Send administrative requests to: IE-list-request@cs.ucl.ac.uk (For users in the UK, IE-list-request@uk.ac.ucl.cs IE-list@uk.ac.ucl.cs) To access anonymous ftp archive: %ftp cs.ucl.ac.uk (128.16.5.31) cd ie List Maintainer: Suran Goonatilake Dept. of Computer Science University College London Gower St., London WC1E 6BT, UK surang@cs.ucl.ac.uk (+44) 71 - 387 7050 ext 3719 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Today's Topics: - Symposium on Forecasting - Neuroforecasting Club - Research Positions at LBS - IFAC Workshop on Computing in Economics and Finance - Hawaii System Sciences Conf. - Forecasting Support Systems ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- Symposium on forecasting CALL FOR PAPERS, SESSION ORGANIZERS, AND EXHIBITORS 13th International Symposium on Forecasting June 10-12, 1993 Pittsburgh Hilton Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania The purpose of the Symposium is to unify the science and art of forecasting by bringing together researchers and practitioners from different disciplines, organizations, and countries. The conference is sponsored by the International Institute of Forecasters which publishes the International Journal of Forecasting (North Holland Press) and a newsletter. Plenary and featured speakers include Stuart Bretschneider (Syracuse University), Robert G. Brown (Materials Management Systems), Blanton Godfrey (Juran Institute), Robert Fildes (U of Lancaster), Baruch Fischoff (Carnegie Mellon U), Richard Florida (Carnegie Mellon U), Michael Lawrence (U of New South Wales), Vijay Mahajan (U Texas at Austin), and Spyros Makridakis (INSEAD). Selected sessions and topics: Methods: Bayesian Methods Combination Forecasting Econometric Forecasting Expert Systems Genetic Algorthims Judgmental Forecasting Kalman Filtering Multivariate Methods Nonlinear Forecasting Neural Networks Technological Forecasting Time Series Forecasting Applications: Accounting and Finance Agriculture Demography Energy Economy Environment Global Economy Government Implementation Inventory Control Japanese Manufacturing Methods Marketing Network Manufacturing Production and Operations Management Strategic Planning Telecommunications Tourism The conference includes keynote speeches; more than 50 sessions; panel discussions on current issues in forecasting; pre- conference workshop on forecasting (6/9/93); exhibits on software, books and consulting services; welcoming reception; spouse's tour of Frank Lloyd Wright's Falling Water, and Riverboat dinner cruise. Registration fee for International Institute of Forecasting Members is $275 prior to 4/15/93 and $325 thereafter. For nonmembers registration (which includes a year membership in the IIF and four issues of the International Journal of Forecasting) is $325 prior to 4/15/93 and $375 thereafter. Pittsburgh attractions for evening or weekend entertainment include the 34th Three Rivers Arts Festival, 1993 Mellon Jazz Festival, and Pittsburgh Pirates Baseball. The Organizing Committee invites you to organize a session and/or present a paper on a forecasting topic. Send abstracts of 100 words or less to Professor Wilpen L. Gorr, Heinz School, Carnegie Mellon, Pittsburgh, PA 15213 (WG0G@+ANDREW.CMU.EDU) or Professor Anne B. Koehler, Decision Sciences, Miami University, Oxford, OH 45056 (ISF93@MIAMI.ACS.MUOHOI.EDU) by 2/1/93. Exhibitors of computer hardware and software, forecasting services, books and journals, databases should contact Professor John R. Snyder, College of Business, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80523 (303), telephone (303) 491-5233335, FAX (303) 491-0596 (JSNYDER@VINES.COLOSTATE.EDU). ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- NEUROFORECASTING CLUB The UK's Depratment of Trade & Industry has recently anounced a Neural Computing Technology Transfer Programme. The NEUROFORECASTING Club, part of the DTI's programme, aims to establish an awareness of the neural network technology amongst IT supliers, banks, multinational companies, and financial institutions whose needs for efficient asset management are of similar type. The NEUROFORECASTING Club applies neural techniques to these areas of financial decision making and forecasting and is building application demonstrators in: - - foreign exchange & interest rate prediction, - - bond and stock valuation and trading, - - commodity price prediction, - - tactical asset allocation in the global capital markets - - risk and liability management in the above areas. The management consortium for the NEUROFORECASTING Club is a colloboration between London Business School and University College London. The Club has established a centralised unit at LBS which acts as a centre for developing the application demonstrators; a place for members to second staff to participate in the application development cycle; to maintain a "hands-on" area, to provide training facilities, organise seminars, etc. Participation is open to any UK Company, Organisation, or Institution which are potential users of neural network systems, subject to their signing the Club Agreement and paying the agreed contribution towards Club activities. The NEUROFORECASTING Club is receiving DTI support at 50% of total cost, approximately $1 million over two years. Matching funds will be raised from membership contributions. Further Information: Prof. Derek Bunn, Department of Decision Science, London Business School, Tel: (++44 71) 262 50 50, or Dr Paul Refenes, Department of Computer Science, Univesrity College London, Tel: (++44 71) 380 73 29. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- RESEARCH POSITIONS AT LBS The Decision Science Faculty at the London Business School welcomes applications from individuals for PhD Research or Postdoctoral Fellowships. Areas of particular interest to the group include decision analysis, optimisation, forecasting, simulation and the application of neural networks to investment and finance. PhD scholarships are available from a number of corporate sponsors, and we are currently keen to support researchers interested in applying (1) neural networks to time-series forecasting and (2) optimisation and decision analytic methods to electricity capacity planning. Potential candidates are invited to write, explaining research interests, together with c-v and addresses of two references, to Professor Derek Bunn, London Business School, Sussex Place, Regennt's Park, London NW1 4SA. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- IFAC WORKSHOP IFAC Economic & Management Systems Committee IFAC Working Group Modelling & Control of National & Regional Economies In association with Society for Economic Dynamics & Control "Computing in Economics and Finance" Amsterdam, The Netherlands, 8-10 June 1994. PROGRAM COMMITTEE: Hans Amman (Co-chairman), University of Amsterdam; Berc Rustem (Co-chairman), Imperial College, London; Roger Craine, University of California, Berkeley; Hennie Daniels, University of Tilburg; Manfred Deistler, University of Vienna; Michael Dempster, Uni versity of Essex; Paul Fisher, Bank of England; Stephen Hall, London Business School; David Kendrick, University of Texas; Anna Nagurney, University of Massachusetts; Rick van der Ploeg, University of Amsterdam; Louis Pau, Digital Equipment Corp., France; Michael Selby, Uni versity of Warwick; Tom Sargent, Hoover Institution, Stanford University; Kumaraswamy Velupillai, UCLA. The meeting will cover both quantitative and qualitative methods for economics, finance and decision making. Intelligent knowledge based systems (including expert sys tems), computational tools for linear and nonlinear systems (stochastic control, automatic differentiation, nonlinear model solution methods, mathematical programming algorithms, variational inequality and other algorithms for computing equilibria), algorithm models of decisions (including genetic algorithms, neural networks, computability and complexity), parallel and supercomputing, qualitative reasoning and models (including qualitative simulation). Artificial intelligence, decision support systems, management in formation systems. The programme will include invited lectures, contributed papers and discussions on recent developments and applications. Authors wishing to contribute on theoretical or practical problems are invited to submit a detailed abstract (at least two pages) of their paper to Hans Amman at the address given below by 20 January 1994. After acceptance, final version of the papers should reach Hans Amman not later than 1 May 1994. Information concerning registration and accomodation will be provided upon receipt of the abstract. PROCEEDINGS: Selected papers from the conference will be published in a special issue of "Computer Science in Economics and Management", published by Kluwer. For further information, please contact: Hans Amman Department of Macroeconomics University of Amsterdam Roeterstraat 11 1018 WB Amsterdam THE NETHERLANDS Tel: + 31 20 5254203 Email: A608hans@hasara11 DEADLINES: Abstract: January 20, 1994 Full Paper: May 1, 1994 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- HICSS-27 REQUEST FOR PAPERS 27th Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences Mini-Track on Forecasting Support Systems Maui, Hawaii - January 5-8, 1994 Papers are requested for the HICSS-27 Mini-Track on Forecasting Support Systems (FSS). The mini-track will provide a forum for presenting and discussing original research addressing issues related to designing or implementing Forecasting Support Systems. Submissions may be theoretical, conceptual, behavioral, tutorial, or descriptive in nature. Of special interest, however, are papers detailing innovative studies of significant practical problems. Appropriate topics include, but are not limited to, the following: FSS or Group FSS (GFSS) interface design for humans performing forecasting and related data analysis, Behavioral research on FSS and GFSS, FSS or GFSS architectures to support human forecasting tasks, and FSS and GFSS as components of organizational support systems. INSTRUCTIONS FOR SUBMITTING PAPERS AND DEADLINES: Submissions should include six copies of the full paper. Manuscripts should be 12-26 typewritten, double-spaced pages in length, including figures and tables. Manuscripts should have two title pages. The first one should include all title, author name(s), affiliation(s), complete mailing and electronic address(es), and telephone number(s). The second one should include only the title. The first page of the manuscript should include a 300-word abstract of the paper. Deadlines are as follows: April 3 Submit optional abstract by email or post to either Mini-Track chair for guidance and indication of appropriate content. April 17 Feedback to author based on the optional abstract. June 5 Submit full papers to either Mini-Track chair. August 31 Notification of acceptance. October 1 Camera-ready manuscripts due for accepted papers. Address Correspondence to Either: Bill Remus Marcus O'Connor College of Business Faculty of Commerce University of Hawaii University of New South Wales 2404 Maile Way P. O. Box 1 Honolulu, HI 96822 USA Kensington 2003, Australia remus@uhunix.uhcc.hawaii.edu 75B1162@csdvax.csd.unsw.oz.au ***************** End of IE-Digest ****************************