An In-Process Reliability Measurement System for Mobile Robot Development A Robotics Ph.D. Thesis Proposal by Jack Silberman Civil and Environmental Engineering Department Carnegie Mellon University October 1996 Abstract There is a current need in the mobile robot community for a measurement system that transforms mobile robot development into a measurable and controllable process. Experiences from previous designs are not being effectively recorded. Defects are sometimes quickly fixed and then forgotten. Certain defects recur repeatedly because new designers do not have the past experience or because a defect was not reported because of the lack of a measurement system. If this defects are not recorded, then experiences are lost. This lost of information has a high cost and must be reversed. The method for addressing this problem involves collecting information regarding defects and their causes in the process of designing, producing, and using a product such as a mobile robot. When extracted and analyzed through the use of a data collection, data visualization, and data interpretation system, this information can be used to improve a product. That is, processes can be improved based on analyses of defect data. = However, there are problems using common analysis techniques (both quantitative and qualitative). Quantitative analysis does not consider origin, cause, or the effect of defects. Qualitative analysis does not abstract from details, so it is difficult to quantify process- related data. In order to improve a product, a methodology is needed that will draw on the advantages of these two systems while minimizing the disadvantages. The process measurement recommended here gives developers fast feedback that takes advantage of the benefits of each method; that is, it extracts cause-effect relations and enables reliability predictions from quantifiable data. The method suggested here is Orthogonal Defect Classification (ODC) which links statistical defect models and qualitative analysis in a systematic methodology. The goal of ODC is to generate an in-process measurement system that will extract information from classified defects with cause-effect relationships. The proposed work extends the ODC concept to the development of mobile robots including the necessary tools for interactive use. The end-product of this research is an interactive methodology for in-process feedback for mobile robot development. = This proposed methodology differs from IBM=92s ODC methodology in that th= e new methodology address issues of complex electromechanical systems and allows extraction of components reliability information. The validation of this methodology will be accomplished by examining the defect rate differences when the methodology is applied vs. when not applied. Another benefits of this research is the development of tools that will allow monitoring of project maturity (that is, the indication of when a product is mature enough to be released).