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From: kwleung2@cuse14.se.cuhk.hk (tail)
Subject: Expert System in stock market prediction
Message-ID: <CvrIr3.LLw@eng_ser1.ie.cuhk.hk>
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Sender: news@eng_ser1.ie.cuhk.hk
Organization: Engineering Faculty, The Chinese U. of Hong Kong
X-Newsreader: TIN [version 1.2 PL2]
Date: Wed, 7 Sep 1994 13:57:03 GMT

Hi,
I'm going to do a project in expert system(CLIPS) to predict the stock
market, but i'm quite new to both expert system and stock market.
I have some questions if someone can answer for me.

In general prediction of stock market, data analysis, like fundamental
analysis method and technical analysis, is the most popular way. But
actually, stock market always reflect the confidence of the investors to
the economy (isn't it), so it is very depends on human factor, not just
some previous data or history. Will it be useless or inaccurate to build
a software just presenting some charts, graphs but without any
human-factors?

I hope expert system can help me to put some news or human factors for
more concrete and accurate analysis.
So the questions are :
How can I add some human-factors to the expert system? You know there
are many news in each day, it is very difficult and impossible to
implement such system accepting input news to it for analysis. Maybe I
can classify the news in certain class, but still the database is very
very large. Any suggestion to it ?

I dont want to use expert system to just calculate some mathematical
functions or just plotting some graphs and charts without any
human-factors. We can build such a system in any procedural language,
like BASIC !

I really hope that someone can give me some suggestions !

Thank you

Leung Ka Wai

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